Interannual variability and species turnover of crustacean zooplankton in Shield lakes
We estimated apparent species turnover rates and richness of the zooplankton annually over a 12-year period in eight lakes in south-central Ontario. Although species richness varied little among years (CV = 13%), apparent species turnover rates averaged 16%/year. This apparent turnover varied among years and was influenced by census interval, the number of censuses, the occurrence of rare species, and lake pH. However, Monte Carlo simulations indicated that turnover attributable to sampling error was high. That is, despite high apparent turnover rates, we cannot be certain whether interannual changes in community composition result from immigration and extinction of species because sampling error could largely account for all apparent turnover. Regardless of the source of apparent turnover (sampling or immigrations and extinctions), high turnover rates imply that zooplankton biodiversity can be underestimated in short-term studies because we detect a different assemblage of species every year. Only one third of the total species pool for each lake was detected every year. Annual data underestimated long-term species pools by 33-50%.