A maximum likelihood approach for estimating growth from tag–recapture data

1995 ◽  
Vol 52 (2) ◽  
pp. 252-259 ◽  
Author(s):  
You-Gan Wang ◽  
Mervyn R. Thomas ◽  
Ian F. Somers

The Fabens method is commonly used to estimate growth parameters k and l∞ in the von Bertalanffy model from tag–recapture data. However, the Fabens method of estimation has an inherent bias when individual growth is variable. This paper presents an asymptotically unbiassed method using a maximum likelihood approach that takes account of individual variability in both maximum length and age-at-tagging. It is assumed that each individual's growth follows a von Bertalanffy curve with its own maximum length and age-at-tagging. The parameter k is assumed to be a constant to ensure that the mean growth follows a von Bertalanffy curve and to avoid overparameterization. Our method also makes more efficient use of the measurements at tag and recapture and includes diagnostic techniques for checking distributional assumptions. The method is reasonably robust and performs better than the Fabens method when individual growth differs from the von Bertalanffy relationship. When measurement error is negligible, the estimation involves maximizing the profile likelihood of one parameter only. The method is applied to tag–recapture data for the grooved tiger prawn (Penaeus semisulcatus) from the Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia.

1995 ◽  
Vol 52 (7) ◽  
pp. 1368-1375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoy-Gan Wang ◽  
Mervyn R. Thomas

Estimation of von Bertalanffy growth parameters has received considerable attention in fisheries research. Since Sainsbury (1980, Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 37: 241–247) much of this research effort has centered on accounting for individual variability in the growth parameters. In this paper we demonstrate that, in analysis of tagging data, Sainsbury's method and its derivatives do not, in general, satisfactorily account for individual variability in growth, leading to inconsistent parameter estimates (the bias does not tend to zero as sample size increases to infinity). The bias arises because these methods do not use appropriate conditional expectations as a basis for estimation. This bias is found to be similar to that of the Fabens method. Such methods would be appropriate only under the assumption that the individual growth parameters that generate the growth increment were independent of the growth parameters that generated the initial length. However, such an assumption would be unrealistic. The results are derived analytically, and illustrated with a simulation study. Until techniques that take full account of the appropriate conditioning have been developed, the effect of individual variability on growth has yet to be fully understood.


2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Matsunaga ◽  
S. Sakaguchi ◽  
M. Yamashita ◽  
S. Miyahara ◽  
S. Nishitani ◽  
...  

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