Identifying the Stock–Recruitment Relationship for Age-Structured Populations Using Time-Invariant Matched Linear Filters

1986 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. Welch
Keyword(s):  
Substantial Improvement ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Standard Errors ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Linear Filters ◽  
Statistical Precision ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Time Invariant

Theory is introduced which permits the identification and removal of part of the environmental (density-independent) noise influencing the recruitment to age-structured populations. The biological assumptions under which this noise may be safely removed from the recruitment data without distorting the analysis of the density-dependent dynamics are outlined, and the permissible level of filtering is shown to depend on the age structure of the population in question. As examples of the method, filters were designed and applied to stock–recruitment data available for 16 commercially exploited marine fish populations. A substantial improvement is demonstrated in the statistical precision with which the stock–recruitment relationship can be defined, with standard errors on parameter estimates frequently decreasing by a factor of 2 or 3 after filtering. In general, use of filtering theory should allow a more precise definition of the nature of the stock–recruitment relationship in essentially all age-structured populations.

Estimating walleye (Sander vitreus) density, gear catchability, and mortality using three fishery-independent data sets for Oneida Lake, New York

2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (7) ◽  
pp. 1366-1378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian J. Irwin ◽  
Theodore J. Treska ◽  
Lars G. Rudstam ◽  
Patrick J. Sullivan ◽  
James R. Jackson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Adult Population ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Sander Vitreus ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Oneida Lake ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Size Limits ◽  
Time Invariant

We used three long-term data sets (gill nets, trawls, and adult population estimates) for walleye ( Sander vitreus ) to simultaneously estimate density, gear catchabilities, and mortality using an age-structured, nonlinear model. Model constraints included a fixed natural mortality rate and age- and gear-specific but time-invariant catchabilities. Trawl catchability decreased with age, whereas gillnet catchability increased towards a maximum by age-4. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to investigate how the information content of the different data sets influenced parameter estimates. Estimated catchability values were relatively robust to changes in data weighting. Estimated gillnet catchability values were fairly consistent with those derived from more conventional methods. An additional mortality term was added to reflect double-crested cormorant ( Phalacrocorax auritus ) predation, and vulnerabilities associated with angling and cormorants were calculated using independent length frequency information. Estimated subadult mortality increased and the influence of fishing mortality slightly decreased during recent years when double-crested cormorants were abundant and more restrictive size limits were in place. Walleye density in Oneida Lake (New York, USA) in the last decade is estimated to be approximately half of that before 1990.

Frequency Domain Filtering of Age-Structured Population Data

1987 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 605-618 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. Welch
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Frequency Domain ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Complete Removal ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Structured Population ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Frequency Domain Filtering

A new approach is described for removing part of the density-independent noise present in stock–recruitment (SR) data. The method is based on filtering the time series of recruitment data in the frequency domain, an approach that allows complete removal of the identifiable environmental noise without reducing the length of the time series. Results from Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that recruitment filtering allows more reliable estimation of SR parameters than is possible without filtering and that negligible bias is introduced into the parameter estimates obtained for commonly used SR models.

Missing Data - Better "Not to Have Them", but What If You Do? (Part 1)

Marketing ZFP ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 21-32
Author(s):  
Dirk Temme ◽  
Sarah Jensen
Keyword(s):  
Missing Data ◽  
Statistical Power ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Graphical Representation ◽  
Marketing Research ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Full Information Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Traditional Approaches

Missing values are ubiquitous in empirical marketing research. If missing data are not dealt with properly, this can lead to a loss of statistical power and distorted parameter estimates. While traditional approaches for handling missing data (e.g., listwise deletion) are still widely used, researchers can nowadays choose among various advanced techniques such as multiple imputation analysis or full-information maximum likelihood estimation. Due to the available software, using these modern missing data methods does not pose a major obstacle. Still, their application requires a sound understanding of the prerequisites and limitations of these methods as well as a deeper understanding of the processes that have led to missing values in an empirical study. This article is Part 1 and first introduces Rubin’s classical definition of missing data mechanisms and an alternative, variable-based taxonomy, which provides a graphical representation. Secondly, a selection of visualization tools available in different R packages for the description and exploration of missing data structures is presented.

scholarly journals Frequency responses of age-structured populations: Pacific salmon as an example

2010 ◽  
Vol 78 (4) ◽  
pp. 239-249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lee Worden ◽  
Louis W. Botsford ◽  
Alan Hastings ◽  
Matthew D. Holland
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Salmon ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Frequency Responses ◽  
Age Structured

POTENTIAL YIELD OF A ROCK SHRIMP STOCK, SICYONIA PENICILLATA IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA

Crustaceana ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 72 (6) ◽  
pp. 581-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juana Lopez-Martinez ◽  
Edgar Alcantara-Razo ◽  
Sergio Hernandez-Vazquez ◽  
Ernesto Chavez
Keyword(s):  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Potential Yield ◽  
Natural Oscillations ◽  
Recruitment Pattern ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Stochastic Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured Model ◽  
Compensatory Effect

AbstractA stock of rock shrimp Sicyonia penicillata was assessed in a fishery recently opened at Bahoa Kino, Sonora, Mexico. An age-structured model with stochastic recruitment was developed, which considers growth rate, natural mortality, and fishing mortality by age. Age groups were followed year by year with a stock-recruitment Ricker function where the seasonal recruitment pattern was defined as well. Simulations might be interpreted as showing a stable population with four year cycles, reflecting a density-dependent process. In 1996, fishing intensity had an apparent compensatory effect on the stock, decreasing the amplitude of natural oscillations and maintaining the stock at a biomass level similar to the size observed in a condition of no exploitation. The stock was found currently underexploited. As a result of the seasonal accessibility and the age of first-catch fishing (adult shrimp), the stock might be capable to withstand high fishing pressure without being overexploited. Se evaluo una poblacion de camaron de roca Sicyonia penicillata, de una pesqueroa recientemente abierta en Bahoa Kino, Sonora, Mexico. Se desarrollo un modelo basado en la estructura por edades que considera reclutamiento estocastico, tasa de crecimiento, mortalidad natural y mortalidad por pesca por grupo de edad. Estos grupos de edad fueron determinados ano tras ano mediante la funcion de reclutamiento de Ricker, en los que tambien se definio el patron estacional de reclutamiento. Las simulaciones muestran una poblacion estable con ciclos de cuatro anos, que indican un proceso de densodependencia. En 1996, la intensidad de pesca tuvo un efecto compensatorio sobre la poblacion, reduciendo la amplitud de las oscilaciones naturales y manteniendo al stock en un nivel de biomasa similar al observado en la condicion sin explotacion. Se encontro que el recurso esta subexplotado. Como resultado de la accesibilidad estacional y de que la edad de primera captura corresponde a camaron adulto, el recurso soporta alta presion de pesca sin dar evidencias de sobreexplotacion.

scholarly journals The status of Japanese fisheries relative to fisheries around the world

2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (5) ◽  
pp. 1277-1287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Momoko Ichinokawa ◽  
Hiroshi Okamura ◽  
Hiroyuki Kurota
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽  
Production Model ◽  
Structured Population Model ◽  
Total Allowable Catch ◽  
Quick Recovery ◽  
Stock Status ◽  
Surplus Production Model ◽  
The Status ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured

We present the first quantitative review of the stock status relative to the stock biomass (B) and the exploitation rate (U) that achieved the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) (BMSY and UMSY, respectively) for 37 Japanese stocks contributing 61% of the total marine capture production in Japan. BMSY and UMSY were estimated by assuming three types of stock-recruitment (S-R) relationships and an age-structured population model or by applying a surplus production model. The estimated stock status shows that approximately half of the stocks were overfishing (U/UMSY > 1), and approximately half of the stocks were overfished (B/BMSY < 0.5) during 2011–2013. Over the past 15 years, U decreased and B slightly increased on average. The rate of decrease in the U of the stocks managed by the total allowable catch (TAC) was significantly greater than that of the other stocks, providing evidence of the effectiveness of TAC management in Japan. The above statuses and trends were insensitive to the assumption of the S-R relationship. The characteristics of Japanese stocks composed mainly of resources with relatively high natural mortality, i.e. productivity, suggest that Japanese fisheries have great potential of exhibiting a quick recovery and increasing their yield by adjusting the fishing intensity to an appropriate level.

The Four-States Model of Memory Retrieval Experiences

2007 ◽  
Vol 215 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edgar Erdfelder ◽  
Lutz Cüpper ◽  
Tina-Sarah Auer ◽  
Monika Undorf
Keyword(s):  
Signal Detection ◽  
Memory Retrieval ◽  
Measurement Model ◽  
Standard Errors ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Unequal Variances ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Detection Model ◽  
Memory States ◽  
The One

Abstract. A memory measurement model is presented that accounts for judgments of remembering, knowing, and guessing in old-new recognition tasks by assuming four disjoint latent memory states: recollection, familiarity, uncertainty, and rejection. This four-states model can be applied to both Tulving's (1985) remember-know procedure (RK version) and Gardiner and coworker's ( Gardiner, Java, & Richardson-Klavehn, 1996 ; Gardiner, Richardson-Klavehn, & Ramponi, 1997 ) remember-know-guess procedure (RKG version). It is shown that the RK version of the model fits remember-know data approximately as well as the one-dimensional signal detection model does. In contrast, the RKG version of the four-states model outperforms the corresponding detection model even if unequal variances for old and new items are allowed for.We show empirically that the two versions of the four-statesmodelmeasure the same state probabilities. However, the RKG version, requiring remember-know-guess judgments, provides parameter estimates with smaller standard errors and is therefore recommended for routine use.

scholarly journals The effect of life-history and mode of inheritance on neutral genetic variability

2001 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
BRIAN CHARLESWORTH
Keyword(s):  
Sequence Variation ◽  
Adult Mortality ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Human Populations ◽  
Effective Population ◽  
Transmission Modes ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Infinite Sites Model ◽  
Site Diversity

Formulae for the effective population sizes of autosomal, X-linked, Y-linked and maternally transmitted loci in age-structured populations are developed. The approximations used here predict both asymptotic rates of increase in probabilities of identity, and equilibrium levels of neutral nucleotide site diversity under the infinite-sites model. The applications of the results to the interpretation of data on DNA sequence variation in Drosophila, plant, and human populations are discussed. It is concluded that sex differences in demographic parameters such as adult mortality rates generally have small effects on the relative effective population sizes of loci with different modes of inheritance, whereas differences between the sexes in variance in reproductive success can have major effects, either increasing or reducing the effective population size for X-linked loci relative to autosomal or Y-linked loci. These effects need to be accounted for when trying to understand data on patterns of sequence variation for genes with different transmission modes.

Evolution in Age-Structured Populations.

1995 ◽  
Vol 83 (3) ◽  
pp. 548
Author(s):  
Tom J. de Jong ◽  
B. Charlesworth
Keyword(s):  
Structured Populations ◽  
Age Structured
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