Some Methods for Estimating Exploited Populations

1966 ◽  
Vol 23 (10) ◽  
pp. 1553-1574 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Radway Allen

Three methods of estimating population and one of estimating recruitment are described which are suitable for use where data are available on annual age composition, the numbers caught, and the effort expended in taking a known part of the catch.The recruitment rate is estimated, as the proportion of new recruits in the recruited population, from age composition data year by year without regard to the sizes of the parent populations, and from the approximate fishing mortality rate.The "q" population method estimates q, the coefficient of catchability, by comparing the rate of disappearance of a fixed group of year-classes with the rate of accumulation of fishing effort, using the rate of disappearance with age in a similar, unexploited population to eliminate the effects of natural mortality. The annual populations are then estimated from q and the catch per unit effort.The natural mortality and reproduction method is basically a modification of the DeLury method with an allowance for natural reproduction and recruitment. It obtains a series of estimates of the base year population by considering each of the periods beginning in this year and ending in each successive subsequent year, the final estimate being the mean of this series.The expected catch method takes as unknowns the initial population and the value of q, estimates the expected catches in each year, and compares them with the actual catches. It determines the values of the initial population and q which minimize the sum of the squares of the differences.Examples are worked out in full for all methods.

1986 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex T. Bielak ◽  
Geoffrey Power

A weight-age classification, based on recent catches, was retroactively applied to angled Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) catches recorded in the log of the Godbout salmon club between 1859 and 1983. Over this period, numbers of salmon caught have fluctuated with a periodicity of 20–30 yr but catches have been maintained. There has been a big increase in fishing effort, and the proportion of two-sea-year to previously spawned fish has increased. The mean weight of these age groups has declined 0.005–0.009 kg∙yr−1. These changes are attributed to the selective effects of commercial fisheries on the stock.


1973 ◽  
Vol 30 (11) ◽  
pp. 1667-1682 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. B. Davidoff ◽  
R. W. Rybicki ◽  
K. H. Doan

Whitefish catches have fluctuated since 1952, and except in 1964 each successive peak has decreased in magnitude. Recently the overall trend has been a diminishing fishery with increasing effort.There has been a drastic change in age composition with time. Age-groups 5, 6, and 7 accounted for 81% of the catch from 1944 to 1948, age-groups 4, 5, and 6 for 89% from 1949 to 1955, age-groups 4 and 5 for 86% from 1959 to 1968, and age-groups 3 and 4 for 88% in 1969. The fishery is now dependent upon two age-groups instead of three. Natural failure of one or more important year-classes would result in a serious decline in catch, and partial or complete collapse of this fishery.Annual survival rate decreased from 34%, 1944–48 to 12%, 1959–69. Instantaneous natural mortality rate was estimated to be 0.72, and may be overestimated. The 1938–39, 1945–47, 1949, and 1957 year-classes were strong, while the 1940–44, and 1956, 1958, and 1961 year-classes were weak. The 1959 and 1960 year-classes appeared to be somewhat above average. Examination of data on total dissolved solids and temperature indicated that ecological changes were not responsible for the decline of whitefish in Lake Winnipeg.We judge that the optimum rate of fishing has been exceeded, and that the fishery itself is largely responsible for the depleted condition of the whitefish stocks in Lake Winnipeg. Fishing effort must be reduced to the point where the fishery is again dependent upon three year-classes. This should result in higher catches, and provide less fluctuation in annual catches.


2017 ◽  
Vol 75 (2) ◽  
pp. 610-620 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy Y Then ◽  
John M Hoenig ◽  
Quang C Huynh

Abstract Gedamke and Hoenig (2006) (Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 135: 476–487) developed a non-equilibrium version of the Beverton and Holt estimator of total mortality rate, Z, based on mean length and thereby increased the usefulness of length-based methods. In this study, we extend their model by replacing period-specific Z parameters with the year-specific parameterization Zy = qfy + M where q is the catchability coefficient, fy is the fishing effort in year y, F (=qf) is the fishing mortality rate, and M is the natural mortality rate. Thus, the problem reduces to estimating just three parameters: q, M and residual variance. We used Monte Carlo simulation to study the model behaviour. Estimates of q and M are highly negatively correlated and may or may not be reliable; however, the estimates of corresponding Z’s are more precise than estimates of F and are generally reliable, even when uncertainty about the mean lengths is high. This length-based method appears to work best for stocks with rapid growth rate. Contrast in effort data may not be necessary for reliable estimates of Z’s. This approach forms a bridge between data-limited models and more complex models. We apply the method to the Norway lobster Nephrops norvegicus stock in Portugal as an example.


2021 ◽  
Vol 82 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sana Sharifian ◽  
Vahid Malekzadeh ◽  
Ehsan Kamrani ◽  
Mohsen Safaie

Abstract Background Dotillid crabs are introduced as one common dwellers of sandy shores. We studied the ecology and growth of the sand bubbler crab Scopimera crabricauda Alcock, 1900, in the Persian Gulf, Iran. Crabs were sampled monthly by excavating nine quadrats at three intertidal levels during spring low tides from January 2016 to January 2017. Results Population data show unimodal size-frequency distributions in both sexes. The Von Bertalanffy function was calculated at CWt = 8.76 [1 − exp (− 0.56 (t + 0.39))], CWt = 7.90 [1 − exp (− 0.59 (t + 0.40))] and CWt = 9.35 [1 − exp (− 0.57 (t + 0.41))] for males, females, and both sexes, respectively. The life span appeared to be 5.35, 5.07, and 5.26 years for males, females, and both sexes, respectively. The cohorts were identified as two age continuous groups, with the mean model carapace width 5.39 and 7.11 mm for both sexes. The natural mortality (M) coefficients stood at 1.72 for males, 1.83 for females, and 1.76 years−1 for both sexes, respectively. The overall sex ratio (1:0.4) was significantly different from the expected 1:1 proportion with male-biased. Recruitment occurred with the highest number of annual pulse once a year during the summer. Conclusions The results, which show slow growth, emphasize the necessity of proper management for the survival of the stock of S. crabricauda on the Iranian coast of the Persian Gulf.


2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 86-101
Author(s):  
Paweł Buras ◽  
Wiesław Wiśniewolski

Abstract Fisheries simulation models are tools used for forecasting the effects of exploitation and determining the directions of managing fisheries resources. The Numerical Model of Fish Exploitation (NMFE) and its capabilities were tested on a population of common bream, Abramis brama (L.) in a dam reservoir that is exploited by commercial and recreational fisheries. Based on the designated population parameters of N0, Fij, Mi, and ei and the size and structure of the common bream population in the reservoir, the model was used to examine hypothetical simulation variants of changes in fishing intensity E1 with nets and rods, changes in fishing intensity based on actual fishing effort with nets, changes in natural mortality, changes in the size of fish caught, and the impact of this on the size of the resources. Initial catches with nets and rods were calculated. Increasing fishing effort did not translate proportionally to increased catches, and the function was curvilinear. The results of simulations that reduced the intensity of fishing with nets and decreased catch sizes concurred with data from actual catches. Simulations of changes in natural mortality had various effects on the size of catches. Reducing parameter M did not impact the level of catches, while increasing parameter M reduced the size of catches significantly.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-62
Author(s):  
Gildas G.B. Todinanahary ◽  
Nomeniarivelo Hasintantely ◽  
Igor Eeckhaut ◽  
Thierry Lavitra

The distribution of larvae and recruitment of scleractinians in the southwest region of Madagascar were evaluated for the first time between October 2013 and September 2014 at 3 sites. The presence of coral larvae (planulae) was monitored through weekly sampling using a plankton net and the recruitment rate evaluated by monthly sampling of the newly settled corals (<1 year stage) on recruitment tiles and by a monitoring of the recruitment of juveniles (1< Juveniles < 2 years) using the quadrat method. Planulae were present in the plankton for 9 months during the survey. The recorded mean annual density of planula varied from 0.43 ± 0.41 larvae m-3 to 3.23 ± 5.72 larvae m-3 depending on site, with a peak in larval density towards the end of November and the beginning of December. The variability in the occurrence of planula is very high and implied that the density observed in the year does not present a significant difference between the sites (pKW=0.33). The average density of total recruits was 620.13 ± 621.30 recruits m-2, 40.28 ± 50.97 recruits m-2 and 36.34 ± 33.82 recruits m-2, respectively at the sites of Nosy Tafara, Grande Vasque and Rose Garden. Seasonal distribution of coral recruitment was different between the sites. The mean annual density of newly settled recruits (< 1 month stage) was significantly higher at Nosy Tafara with 94.91±101.08 recruits m-2 compared to Grande Vasque and Rose Garden with 18.75±34.32 recruits m-2 and 11.57±18.47 recruits m-2 (pKW<0.001), respectively. The highest density of newly settled recruits was observed between October to December. Higher density of recruits was also observed in March at Nosy Tafara and in May at all three sites. Results of juvenile monitoring showed high rates (> 10 juveniles m-2) compared to other regions and the threshold, but it revealed high mortality among recruits. Coral recruitment in the southwest region of Madagascar was found to be high and could result in increased resilience of the coral reef assemblages.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Tirtadanu Tirtadanu ◽  
Suprapto Suprapto ◽  
Ali Suman

Udang jinga (Metapenaeus affinis H. Milne Edwards, 1837) merupakan salah satu jenis udang ekonomis penting yang diusahakan di perairan Kotabaru dan saat ini produksinya cenderung mengalami penurunan. Salah satu data dan informasi yang diperlukan dalam mengkaji tingkat pemanfaatan dan dasar pengelolaannya adalah aspek biologi dan parameter populasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengkaji aspek biologi dan parameter populasi udang jinga sebagai bahan kebijakan pengelolaan perikanan udang di perairan Kotabaru, Kalimantan Selatan. Penelitian dilakukan pada bulan Januari – November 2016 di perairan Kotabaru. Parameter pertumbuhan diestimasi berdasarkan pergeseran modus struktur ukuran panjang dengan metode ELEFAN I. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan rata-rata ukuran udang jinga (M. affinis) betina yang tertangkap adalah 23,6 ± 3,45 mmCL dengan modus ukuran 24 mmCL dan rata-rata ukuran udang jantan adalah 20,7 ± 2,9 mm dengan modus ukuran 18 mmCL. Nisbah kelamin udang jinga jantan dan betina adalah 1 : 2,5. Musim pemijahan udang jinga diduga berlangsung sepanjang tahun dan puncak pada bulan Maret. Ukuran rata-rata pertama kali tertangkap (Lc) udang lebih kecil dari ukuran rata-rata pertama kali matang gonad (Lm) (21,7 < 28,5 mm CL) sehingga sebagian besar udang tertangkap berukuran kecil dan belum memijah. Persamaan pertumbuhan udang jinga jantan  CL(t)=35,95(1-e-2.02(t+0,31) dan udang jinga betina CL(t)= 38,3(1-e-1,92(t+0,29)). Tingkat pemanfaatan udang (E) menunjukkan lebih tangkap (overfishing) yakni 0,70/tahun pada jantan dan 0,73/tahun pada betina. Dengan demikian disarankan untuk melakukan pengurangan upaya penangkapan sebesar 40% dan penutupan musim penangkapan di bulan Maret.The jinga shrimp (Metapenaeus affinis H. Milne Edwards, 1837) was one of important commodity that was exploited in Kotabaru Waters, yet the production tend to be declined recently. The data and information on biological aspects and population parameters are needed to investigate the exploitation level and the basis of management measures. This research aims to investigate the biological aspects and population parameters of jinga shrimp Kotabaru waters, South of Kalimantan. This research was conducted on January – November 2016. The growth parameters were estimated as movement of length frequency mode by ELEFAN I method. The results showed that the mean size of female jinga shrimp (M. affinis) was 23,6 ± 3,45 mm CL and the mode was 24 mmCL. While, the mean size of male jinga shrimp was 20,7 ± 2.9 mm CL and the mode was 18 mmCL. The sex ratio of male and female shrimp was 1 : 2,5 . Spawning season of jinga shrimp was estimated throughout the year and the peak was in March. The length at first captured (Lc) was shorter than length at first matured (Lm) (21,7 < 28,5 mm CL). That means most of the catches was immature. The growth function of male and female jinga shrimp were and, CL(t)=35,95(1-e-2.02(t+0,31) respectively and CL(t)= 38,3(1-e-1,92(t+0,29)). The exploitation rate (E) of male and female shrimp fishing were  0,70/year 0,73/year, respectively. The reduction of fishing effort needed by 40% of the actual combined with the temporal fishing closure March.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Theparambil Mohamed Najmudeen ◽  
Pallangattu Kochukandan Seetha ◽  
Payiyappanal Ulahannan Zacharia

The brushtooth lizardfish Saurida undosquamis (Richardson, 1848) is a high trophic level benthic predator and is one among the most exploited demersal finfish species from eastern Arabian Sea by Indian trawlers. However, in recent years, the landings of many top predator fishes including S. undosquamis showed a declining trend resulting in a steady decline in the mean trophic levels of the fishes caught commercially in the region. We investigated the growth, mortality and stock dynamics of S. undosquamis harvested by mechanised trawls in the southeastern Arabian Sea, using length-based methods for the data collected during 2012–2016. Besides, Bayesian state-space implementation of the Schaefer model (BSM) and catch-based MSY (CMSY) estimation were also made using the data for the period 1985–2016. Total length of the fish ranged from 5.5 to 34.5 cm with average annual mean length of 22.0 cm during 2012–2016. The growth parameters L∞ and K were 37.3 cm and 0.41 year−1, respectively. The natural, fishing and total mortality coefficients were 0.92, 2.58 and 3.5, respectively and exploitation ratio was 0.82. The length at first maturity was estimated at 21.4 cm for females. The mean size in the catch is lower than the optimum length for exploitation. Fisheries reference points (MSY, Fmsy, Bmsy) as well as relative stock size (B/Bmsy) and exploitation (F/Fmsy) estimated from catch data and broad priors for resilience (r), implies an exploitation of 30% below Bmsy level. Results from the length-based Thompson and Bell prediction model indicates that reducing the present level of fishing effort by 40% would lead to a harvest of the species at a sustainable level. As “fishing down food web” is reported in recent years from eastern Arabian Sea, the exploitation of top predators need to be maintained at sustainable levels to prevent ecosystem changes along the region.


1995 ◽  
Vol 52 (5) ◽  
pp. 1018-1029 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert W. Hannah

Interannual variation in geographic stock area, catchability, and natural mortality of age 2 ocean shrimp (Pandalus jordani) was investigated for the years 1980–1990, using commercial catch and logbook data. Stock area changed gradually from 1980–1990, but showed wide variation, demonstrating that an assumption of constant catchability is not valid for ocean shrimp. Stock area was positively correlated with total catch, suggesting that stock area increases roughly in proportion to shrimp abundance. The time series of fishing effort and effort per unit stock area were quite different, showing that fishing effort probably gives incorrect information on time trends in ocean shrimp fishing mortality. Natural mortality rates varied widely over the study period also and were positively correlated with the abundance of age 2+ Pacific hake (Merluccius productus), a known shrimp predator. The best correlations were between natural mortality rates and the number of age 2–7 Pacific hake. Hake abundance indices that included only age 3+ fish were not significantly correlated with shrimp natural mortality rates, suggesting that if a trophic interaction exists between these two species, it may be influenced by hake recruitment events.


2008 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 104
Author(s):  
H. J. Oh ◽  
M. K. Kim ◽  
G. Jang ◽  
H. J. Kim ◽  
S. G. Hong ◽  
...  

Controversy regarding the restoration of eroded telomere length of donor cells after the nuclear transfer process has arisen from previous studies of cloned cattle, mice, and pigs. Little is known about telomere lengths in dogs from either natural breeding or somatic cell nuclear transfer (SCNT). In this study, we investigated the amount of telomeric DNA (ATD) in the lymphocytes of growing dog clones and their somatic cell donors. One cloned male Afghan hound dog [Snuppy (Lee et al. 2005 Nature 436, 641)] and 3 cloned female Afghan hound dogs (Jang et al. 2006 Theriogenology; doi:10.1016J.THERIOGENOLOGY.2006.11.006) were obtained from somatic cell nuclear transfer (SCNT) of ear skin fibroblasts. The lymphocytes were recovered from all dog clones: their nuclear donor dogs (male donor dog, female donor dog), and six normal Afghan hound dogs (control, and 10-, 20-, 26-, 49-, 55-, and 58-month-old, respectively). The ATD was analyzed by quantitative fluorescence in situ hybridization (Q-FISH) with a telomeric DNA probe. A telomeric probe containing the TTAGGG repeated DNA sequence was simultaneously amplified and labeled with digoxigenin (DIG) by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) using dog genomic DNA as template, a (GGGTAA)7 primer, and a DIG-labeling kit (Roche, Mannheim, Germany). To analyze the amount of telomeric DNA on the lymphocytes, at least 100 interphase nuclei were examined in each specimen. The image was captured by a digital camera (DP-70, Olympus) and analyzed using MetaMorph (Universal Imaging Co., Downingtown, PA, USA), an image analysis program. Our results indicated that the ATD in normal Afghan hounds gradually decreased with age. Although no difference in ATD was observed between 10- and 26-month-old dogs, the ATD in the 26-month-old dog was significantly higher than that in 49-, 55-, and 58-month-olds (P < 0.05). The mean percentage of telomeric DNA in Snuppy (18-month-old; 2.38%) was significantly higher than that in the nuclear donor dog (49-month-old; 2.12%) but less than that in the age-matched control (20-month-old; 2.72%; P < 0.05). The ATD in 3 female clone dogs (3-, 2-, and 2-month-olds; 3.47, 3.28, and 3.07%) were significantly higher than that in the nuclear donor (26-month-old; 2.65%). In conclusion, the mean percentages of telomeric DNA in dog clones were higher than in nuclear donor dogs, and the ATD of the cloned male dog was different from that in age-matched controls from natural reproduction. The results suggest that the amount of telomeric DNA in dog clones can be restored with the nuclear transfer of cultured donor fibroblasts, but further studies are required as to how telomere reprogramming occurs during the nuclear transfer process.


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