Run reconstruction of mixed-stock salmon fisheries using age-composition data

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (11) ◽  
pp. 1479-1490 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brandon Chasco ◽  
Ray Hilborn ◽  
André E Punt

A method for using age-composition data to determine stock-specific migration timing and abundance in a mixed-stock salmon fishery is developed. The Chignik sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) fishery has two stocks, but only aggregate catch and escapement data are available. The age composition of the two stocks, however, is known to be consistently different, and age-composition data are collected from one stock at the beginning of the commercial fishing season and from the commercial catch throughout the season. Using the changes in age composition in the commercial catch throughout the season, we estimate the total abundance and migration timing for the two Chignik stocks using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. The outcomes of this stock separation model are highly correlated with that of scale pattern analysis for most years from 1978 to 2002 (r = 0.89). The results suggest that age composition may provide salmon managers with a reliable and inexpensive method for determining stock-specific migration timing and abundance in a mixed-stock fishery.

2003 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 297-303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aanes Sondre ◽  
Michael Pennington

Abstract Assessment of Northeast Arctic cod is based on estimates of the commercial catch in numbers at age. The age structure of the catch is estimated by sampling fish from commercial fishing trips. Although it is commonly assumed that a sample of individuals is a random sample from the population, fish sampled from the same trip (i.e. from a “cluster” of fish) tend to be more similar in age than those in the total catch. For Northeast Arctic cod, the intracluster correlation for age is positive, and therefore the effective sample size is much smaller than the number of fish aged. Given the number of fish aged, the precision of the estimated age distribution is rather low, and the number of fish aged from each trip could be reduced from approximately 85 to 20 without a significant loss in precision.


2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
pp. 886-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trevor A. Branch ◽  
Ray Hilborn

A general model is developed for salmon run reconstruction based on catch, escapement, and age composition data. The model is based on “groups” of salmon, each of which share the same characteristics but can differ from other groups in run timing, abundance, gear selectivity, and migration routes. The model is highly flexible so that it can be adapted to a variety of fisheries and can compare the fits of alternative hypotheses to available data. The model is applied to three sockeye salmon ( Oncorhynchus nerka ) districts in Bristol Bay, Alaska, USA, to show the effect of allowing age classes to arrive at different times and the impact of including process errors to mimic day-to-day arrival variability. The model predicts that in 2005, Wood River salmon comprised only 54% of the catch in the Nushagak fishing district (but 71% of the escapement), although these predictions are contradicted by genetic data for 2006–2008 showing high harvest rates of Wood River and Nushagak River fish but only light harvest rates of Igushik River fish. The genetics highlight the importance of including stock-specific availability parameters in future versions of the model to account for differences in harvest rates among stocks caught in the same fishing district.


2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (3) ◽  
pp. 439-451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Curry J. Cunningham ◽  
Trevor A. Branch ◽  
Tyler H. Dann ◽  
Matt Smith ◽  
James E. Seeb ◽  
...  

Understanding population-specific spawner–recruit relationships is necessary for sustainable salmon management. Where multiple populations are harvested together, run reconstruction methods partition mixed-stock catches and allocate recruits back to their populations of origin. Traditional run reconstruction methods often use age composition data to inform catch partitioning. However age-only methods do not account for stock-specific differences in the availability of fish to harvest within fishing areas or the incidental harvest of nontarget stocks in nearby fishing areas. Advances in molecular genetic techniques permit genetic stock identification (GSI) of both contemporary and historical catch samples. We present a statistical model for salmon run reconstruction that utilizes both age composition and GSI data to estimate differences in the availability of stocks within, and interception rates among, terminal fisheries. When applied to the commercial sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) fishery in Bristol Bay, Alaska, new estimates of population productivity differed from those generated using previous age-only methods by 0.1%–155.1%, with stock-specific mean absolute percent differences of 9.7%–38.7% across years, underscoring the value of genetic data for run reconstruction. With more accurate run reconstruction methods, spawner–recruit relationships can be identified more precisely, thus providing more accurate management targets for salmon fisheries.


2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (9) ◽  
pp. 2311-2321 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian R. Bradbury ◽  
Lorraine C. Hamilton ◽  
Timothy F. Sheehan ◽  
Gerald Chaput ◽  
Martha J. Robertson ◽  
...  

Abstract The West Greenland Atlantic Salmon (Salmo salar) fishery represents the largest remaining mixed-stock fishery for Atlantic Salmon in the Northwest Atlantic and targets multi-sea-winter (MSW) salmon from throughout North America and Europe. We evaluated stock composition of salmon harvested in the waters off West Greenland (n = 5684 individuals) using genetic mixture analysis and individual assignment to inform conservation of North American populations, many of which are failing to meet management targets. Regional contributions to this fishery were estimated using 2169 individuals sampled throughout the fishery between 2011 and 2014. Of these, 22% were identified as European in origin. Major North American contributions were detected from Labrador (∼20%), the Southern Gulf/Cape Breton (29%), and the Gaspe Peninsula (29%). Minor contributions (∼5%) were detected from Newfoundland, Ungava, and Quebec regions. Region-specific catches were extrapolated using estimates of composition and fishery catch logs and harvests ranged from 300 to 600 and 2000 to 3000 individuals for minor and major constituents, respectively. To evaluate the temporal stability of the observed fishery composition, we extended the temporal coverage through the inclusion of previously published data (1995–2006, n = 3095) and data from archived scales (1968–1998, n = 420). Examination of the complete time-series (47 years) suggests relative stability in stock proportions since the late 1980s. Genetic estimates of stock composition were significantly associated with model-based estimates of returning MSW salmon (individual years r = 0.69, and overall mean r = 0.96). This work demonstrates that the analysis of both contemporary and archived samples in a mixed-stock context can disentangle levels of regional exploitation and directly inform assessment and conservation of Atlantic Salmon in the West Greenland interceptory Atlantic Salmon fishery.


2017 ◽  
Vol 146 (5) ◽  
pp. 983-995
Author(s):  
Joshua Weinheimer ◽  
Joseph H. Anderson ◽  
Mark Downen ◽  
Mara Zimmerman ◽  
Thom Johnson

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (16) ◽  
pp. 7891-7906 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. Jurányi ◽  
M. Gysel ◽  
E. Weingartner ◽  
P. F. DeCarlo ◽  
L. Kammermann ◽  
...  

Abstract. Atmospheric aerosol particles are able to act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and are therefore important for the climate and the hydrological cycle, but their properties are not fully understood. Total CCN number concentrations at 10 different supersaturations in the range of SS=0.12–1.18% were measured in May 2008 at the remote high alpine research station, Jungfraujoch, Switzerland (3580 m a.s.l.). In this paper, we present a closure study between measured and predicted CCN number concentrations. CCN predictions were done using dry number size distribution (scanning particle mobility sizer, SMPS) and bulk chemical composition data (aerosol mass spectrometer, AMS, and multi-angle absorption photometer, MAAP) in a simplified Köhler theory. The predicted and the measured CCN number concentrations agree very well and are highly correlated. A sensitivity study showed that the temporal variability of the chemical composition at the Jungfraujoch can be neglected for a reliable CCN prediction, whereas it is important to know the mean chemical composition. The exact bias introduced by using a too low or too high hygroscopicity parameter for CCN prediction was further quantified and shown to be substantial for the lowest supersaturation. Despite the high average organic mass fraction (~45%) in the fine mode, there was no indication that the surface tension was substantially reduced at the point of CCN activation. A comparison between hygroscopicity tandem differential mobility analyzer (HTDMA), AMS/MAAP, and CCN derived κ values showed that HTDMA measurements can be used to determine particle hygroscopicity required for CCN predictions if no suitable chemical composition data are available.


2002 ◽  
Vol 59 (12) ◽  
pp. 1845-1850 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luc A Comeau ◽  
Steven E Campana ◽  
Martin Castonguay

The migration patterns of marine fishes are poorly known, in part owing to the technical limitations associated with tracking the movements of animals in deep water. Here we document a large-scale, directed, migration of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) off eastern Canada. Our approach was based on the acoustic tagging of 126 fish and the deployment of 69 subsurface receivers, stretching over a 160-km distance along the edge of the Laurentian Channel. After 1 year of automated recording, we found that 65% of the fish migrated out of coastal waters in two distinct runs during the summer–autumn period. The offshore-migrating fish overwintered in deep Laurentian Channel waters, returning inshore in April. Individual migration routes and migration timing were variable, indicating that the cod did not aggregate in large schools during the seasonal migration events.


Author(s):  
Emilie Laurin ◽  
Julia Bradshaw ◽  
Laura Hawley ◽  
Ian A. Gardner ◽  
Kyle A Garver ◽  
...  

Proper sample size must be considered when designing infectious-agent prevalence studies for mixed-stock fisheries, because bias and uncertainty complicate interpretation of apparent (test)-prevalence estimates. Sample size varies between stocks, often smaller than expected during wild-salmonid surveys. Our case example of 2010-2016 survey data of Sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) from different stocks of origin in British Columbia, Canada, illustrated the effect of sample size on apparent-prevalence interpretation. Molecular testing (viral RNA RT-qPCR) for infectious hematopoietic necrosis virus (IHNv) revealed large differences in apparent-prevalence across wild salmon stocks (much higher from Chilko Lake) and sampling location (freshwater or marine), indicating differences in both stock and host life-stage effects. Ten of the 13 marine non-Chilko stock-years with IHNv-positive results had small sample sizes (< 30 samples per stock-year) which, with imperfect diagnostic tests (particularly lower diagnostic sensitivity), could lead to inaccurate apparent-prevalence estimation. When calculating sample size for expected apparent prevalence using different approaches, smaller sample sizes often led to decreased confidence in apparent-prevalence results and decreased power to detect a true difference from a reference value.


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