Calculation of biomass trend, exploitation rate, and surplus production from survey and catch data
If survey data and historical catches are available, it is possible to estimate the history of surplus production from a fishery as long as the scalar between the survey and absolute biomass can be estimated. Alternative hypotheses about present stock size correspond to alternative hypotheses about the scalar, so that by specifying an estimate of the current stock size or exploitation rate, the entire trend of surplus production can be calculated. An example, using monkfish (Lophius americanus) in the eastern United States, is given that shows quite robust conclusions to alternative assumptions about current stock size, and the analysis suggests that the surplus production from monkfish has been the highest during the period of lowest stock size.