Assessing landslide vulnerability using bivariate statistical analysis and the frequency ratio model. Case study: Transylvanian Plain (Romania)

2016 ◽  
Vol 60 (4) ◽  
pp. 359-371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gheorghe Roşian ◽  
Horváth Csaba ◽  
Réti Kinga-Olga ◽  
Cristian-Nicolae Boţan ◽  
Ionela Georgiana Gavrilă
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Predisposing Factors ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Ratio Model ◽  
Statistical Index ◽  
Model Case ◽  
Frequency Ratio Model

Landslides are among the most destructive natural hazards in several regions. Here we summarize our findings regarding this phenomenon in the Transylvanian Plain (Romania) using two susceptibility models: the statistical index and the frequency ratio model. Using Esri's ArcGIS Raster Calculator tool we generated susceptibility maps by summarizing the following twelve landslide predisposition factors: lithology, soil type, fault distance, drainage network distance, roads distance, land use (Corrine Land Cover and NDVI), slope angle, aspect, elevation, plan curvature and soil erosion (RUSLE). The landslide susceptibility has been assessed by computing the values for each class of the predisposing factors and thus evaluating the distribution of the landslide zones within each factor, using Esri's Tabulate Area Tool. The extracted predisposing factors maps have then been re-classified on the basis of the computed values in a raster format. Finally, the landslide susceptibility map has been reclassified into five classes using Natural Breaks (Jenks) classification method. The model performance was assessed with Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the R-index. The models with high number of factors had the lowest accuracy (AUC values being <0.8). The best frequency ratio model (AUC = 0.884) contained only three factors (slope, aspect, elevation) while in the case of the statistical index model the best model (AUC = 0.879) contained four factors (slope, aspect, elevation and NDVI). A significant part (33%) of the study area is characterized by a high to very high degree of susceptibility for landslides.

scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility assessment using frequency ratio model in Bogor, West Java, Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Florence Elfriede Sinthauli Silalahi ◽  
Pamela ◽  
Yukni Arifianti ◽  
Fahrul Hidayat
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Gis Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Ratio Model ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Index ◽  
Frequency Ratio Model

Abstract Landslides are common natural disasters in Bogor, Indonesia, triggered by a combination of factors including slope aspect, soil type and bedrock lithology, land cover and land use, and hydrologic conditions. In the Bogor area, slopes with volcanic lithologies are more susceptible to failure. GIS mapping and analysis using a Frequency Ratio Model was implemented in this study to assess the contribution of conditioning factors to landslides, and to produce a landslide susceptibility map of the study area. A landslide inventory map was prepared from a database of historic landslides events. In addition, thematic maps (soil, rainfall, land cover, and geology map) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) were prepared to examine landslide conditioning factors. A total of 173 landslides points were mapped in the area and randomly subdivided into a training set (70%) with 116 points and test set with 57 points (30%). The relationship between landslides and conditioning factors was statistically evaluated with FR analysis. The result shows that lithology, soil, and land cover are the most important factors generating landslides. FR values were used to produce the Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) and the study area was divided into five zones of relative landslide susceptibility. The result of landslide susceptibility from the mid-region area of Bogor to the southern part was categorized as moderate to high landslide susceptibility zones. The results of the analysis have been validated by calculating the Area Under a Curve (AUC), which shows an accuracy of success rate of 90.10% and an accuracy of prediction rate curve of 87.30%, which indicates a high-quality susceptibility map obtained from the FR model.

Application of Airborne LiDAR-Derived Parameters and Probabilistic-Based Frequency Ratio Model in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2012 ◽  
Vol 225 ◽  
pp. 442-447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biswajeet Pradhan ◽  
Zulkiflee Abd. Latif ◽  
Siti Nur Afiqah Aman
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Airborne Lidar ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Ratio Model ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Frequency Ratio Model

The escalating number of occurrences of natural hazards such as landslides has raised a great interest among the geoscientists. Due to the extremely high number of point’s returns, airborne LiDAR permits the formation of more accurate DEM compared to other space borne and airborne remote sensing techniques. This study aims to assess the capability of LiDAR derived parameters in landslide susceptibility mapping. Due to frequent occurrence of landslides, Ulu Klang in Selangor state in Malaysia has been considered as application site. A high resolution of airborne LiDAR DEM was constructed to produce topographic attributes such as slope, curvature and aspect. These data were utilized to derive secondary deliverables of landslide parameters such as topographic wetness index (TWI), surface area ratio (SAR) and stream power index (SPI). A probabilistic based frequency ratio model was applied to establish the spatial relationship between the landslide locations and each landslide related factors. Subsequently, factor ratings were summed up to yield Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) and finally a landslide susceptibility map was prepared. To test the model performance, receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was carried out together with area under curve (AUC) analysis. The produced landslide susceptibility map demonstrated that high resolution airborne LiDAR data has huge potential in landslide susceptibility mapping.

scholarly journals A Comparison of an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy and Frequency Ratio Model to Landslide-Susceptibility Mapping along with Forest Road Networks

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1087
Author(s):  
Nastaran Zare ◽  
Seyed Ata Ollah Hosseini ◽  
Mohammad Kazem Hafizi ◽  
Akbar Najafi ◽  
Baris Majnounian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Road Networks ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Ratio Model ◽  
Forest Road ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Frequency Ratio Model

In this research, we used the integration of frequency ratio and adaptive neuro-fuzzy modeling (ANFIS) to predict landslide susceptibility along forest road networks in the Hyrcanian Forest, northern Iran. We began our study by first mapping landslide locations during an extensive field survey. In addition, we then selected landslide-conditioning factors, such as slope, aspect, altitude, rainfall, geology, soil, road age, and slip position from the available Geographic Information System (GIS) data. Following this, we developed Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models with two different membership functions (MFs) in order to generate landslide susceptibility maps. We applied a frequency ratio model to the landslide susceptibility mapping and compared the results with the probabilistic ANFIS model. Finally, we calculated map accuracy by evaluating receiver-operating characteristics (ROC). The validation results yielded 70.7% accuracy using the triangular MF model, 67.8% accuracy using the Gaussian MF model, and 68.8% accuracy using the frequency ratio model. Our results indicated that the ANFIS is an effective tool for regional landslide susceptibility assessment, and the maps produced in the study area can be used for natural hazard management in the landslide-prone area of the Hyrcanian region.

scholarly journals Landslides susceptibility modelling using Multivariate Logistic Regression Model in the Sahla Watershed in Northern Morocco

2021 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed El-Fengour ◽  
Hanifa El Motaki ◽  
Aissa El Bouzidi
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Potential Hazard ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence

This study aimed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Sahla watershed in northern Morocco. Landslides hazard is the most frequent phenomenon in this part of the state due to its mountainous precarious environment. The abundance of rainfall makes this area suffer mass movements led to a notable adverse impact on the nearby settlements and infrastructures. There were 93 identified landslide scars. Landslide inventories were collected from Google Earth image interpretations. They were prepared out of landslide events in the past, and future landslide occurrence was predicted by correlating landslide predisposing factors. In this paper, landslide inventories are divided into two groups, one for landslide training and the other for validation. The Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) is prepared by Logistic Regression (LR) Statistical Method. Lithology, stream density, land use, slope curvature, elevation, topographic wetness index, slope aspect, and slope angle were used as conditioning factors. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) was employed to examine the performance of the model. In the analysis, the LR model results in 96% accuracy in the AUC. The LSM consists of the predicted landslide area. Hence it can be used to reduce the potential hazard linked with the landslides in the Sahla watershed area in Rif Mountains in northern Morocco.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Different GIS-Based Bivariate Models

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nohani ◽  
Moharrami ◽  
Sharafi ◽  
Khosravi ◽  
Pradhan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Bivariate Models

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping using Bivariate Statistical Models and GIS in Chattagram District, Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sharafat Chowdhury ◽  
Bibi Hafsa
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Conditioning Factors

Abstract This study attempts to produce Landslide Susceptibility Map for Chattagram District of Bangladesh by using five GIS based bivariate statistical models, namely the Frequency Ratio (FR), Shanon’s Entropy (SE), Weight of Evidence (WofE), Information Value (IV) and Certainty Factor (CF). A secondary landslide inventory database was used to correlate the previous landslides with the landslide conditioning factors. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors of Slope Aspect, Slope Angle, Geology, Elevation, Plan Curvature, Profile Curvature, General Curvature, Topographic Wetness Index, Stream Power Index, Sediment Transport Index, Topographic Roughness Index, Distance to Stream, Distance to Anticline, Distance to Fault, Distance to Road and NDVI were used. The Area Under Curve (AUC) was used for validation of the LSMs. The predictive rate of AUC for FR, SE, WofE, IV and CF were 76.11%, 70.11%, 78.93%, 76.57% and 80.43% respectively. CF model indicates 15.04% of areas are highly susceptible to landslide. All the models showed that the high elevated areas are more susceptible to landslide where the low-lying river basin areas have a low probability of landslide occurrence. The findings of this research will contribute to land use planning, management and hazard mitigation of the CHT region.

scholarly journals A new approach in the development and analysis of the landslide susceptibility map of the hillslopes of Bujumbura, Burundi

2021 ◽  
pp. 26-34
Author(s):  
Desire Kubwimana ◽  
Lahsen Ait Brahim ◽  
Abdellah Abdelouafi
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Aerial Photos ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Tropical Environments

As in other hilly and mountainous regions of the world, the hillslopes of Bujumbura are prone to landslides. In this area, landslides impact human lives and infrastructures. Despite the high landslide-induced damages, slope instabilities are less investigated. The aim of this research is to assess the landslide susceptibility using a probabilistic/statistical data modeling approach for predicting the initiation of future landslides. A spatial landslide inventory with their physical characteristics through interpretation of high-resolution optic imageries/aerial photos and intensive fieldwork are carried out. Base on in-depth field knowledge and green literature, let’s select potential landslide conditioning factors. A landslide inventory map with 568 landslides is produced. Out of the total of 568 landslide sites, 50 % of the data taken before the 2000s is used for training and the remaining 50 % (post-2000 events) were used for validation purposes. A landslide susceptibility map with an efficiency of 76 % to predict future slope failures is generated. The main landslides controlling factors in ascendant order are the density of drainage networks, the land use/cover, the lithology, the fault density, the slope angle, the curvature, the elevation, and the slope aspect. The causes of landslides support former regional studies which state that in the region, landslides are related to the geology with the high rapid weathering process in tropical environments, topography, and geodynamics. The susceptibility map will be a powerful decision-making tool for drawing up appropriate development plans in the hillslopes of Bujumbura with high demographic exposure. Such an approach will make it possible to mitigate the socio-economic impacts due to these land instabilities

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