Techniques for comprehensive risk assessment of climatic drought in winter wheat production in Northern China

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronghua Liu ◽  
Zixi Zhu ◽  
Wensong Fang ◽  
Youhe Wang ◽  
Zhihong Ma ◽  
...  
2016 ◽  
Vol 42 (8) ◽  
pp. 1143 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin-Xin KONG ◽  
Yan ZHANG ◽  
De-Hui ZHAO ◽  
Xian-Chun XIA ◽  
Chun-Ping WANG ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1687-1700
Author(s):  
Li-chao ZHAI ◽  
Li-hua LÜ ◽  
Zhi-qiang DONG ◽  
Li-hua ZHANG ◽  
Jing-ting ZHANG ◽  
...  

2004 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 441-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liangliang Jia ◽  
Xinping Chen ◽  
Fusuo Zhang ◽  
Andreas Buerkert ◽  
Volker Römheld

2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 858-867 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan-min Yang ◽  
Xiao-jing Liu ◽  
Wei-qiang Li ◽  
Cun-zhen Li

2021 ◽  
Vol 310 ◽  
pp. 108631
Author(s):  
Pradeep Wagle ◽  
Prasanna H. Gowda ◽  
Brian K. Northup ◽  
James P.S. Neel ◽  
Patrick J. Starks ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengkai Liu ◽  
Xiaoxia Dong ◽  
Hui Guo

AbstractIce dams are among the important risks affecting the operational safety and water conveyance efficiency of water diversion projects in northern China. However, no evaluation indicator system for ice dam risk assessment of water diversion projects has been proposed. Therefore, in this paper, based on the formation mechanism of ice dams, the risk assessment indicator system and the possibility calculation model of ice dams were both proposed for water diversion projects based on the fuzzy fault tree analysis method. The ice dam risk fault tree constructed in this study mainly includes three aspects: ice production, ice transport, and ice submergence conditions. Eighteen basic risk indicators were identified, and 72 minimum cut sets were obtained by using the mountain climb method. Eight risk indicators were determined as the key risk indicators for ice dams, including meteorological conditions, narrowed cross section, sluice incident, erroneous scheduling judgment, ice cover influence, flat bed slope, control structures, and ice flow resistance of piers. Then, the canal from the Fenzhuanghe sluice to the Beijumahe sluice of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project was taken as the research object. Combined with the expert scoring method, the ice dam risk probability of the canal was determined to be 0.2029 × 10−2, which was defined as a level III risk, which is an occasionally occurring risk. The study results can support ice dam risk prevention and canal system operation in winter for water diversion projects.


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