The response of leaf area index to climate change during 1981-2000 in China

Author(s):  
Zhiqiang Gao ◽  
Wei Gao ◽  
James Slusser
2006 ◽  
Vol 82 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
R J Hall ◽  
F. Raulier ◽  
D T Price ◽  
E. Arsenault ◽  
P Y Bernier ◽  
...  

Forest yield forecasting typically employs statistically derived growth and yield (G&Y) functions that will yield biased growth estimates if changes in climate seriously influence future site conditions. Significant climate warming anticipated for the Prairie Provinces may result in increased moisture deficits, reductions in average site productivity and changes to natural species composition. Process-based stand growth models that respond realistically to simulated changes in climate can be used to assess the potential impacts of climate change on forest productivity, and hence can provide information for adapting forest management practices. We present an application of such a model, StandLEAP, to estimate stand-level net primary productivity (NPP) within a 2700 km2 study region in western Alberta. StandLEAP requires satellite remote-sensing derived estimates of canopy light absorption or leaf area index, in addition to spatial data on climate, topography and soil physical characteristics. The model was applied to some 80 000 stand-level inventory polygons across the study region. The resulting estimates of NPP correlate well with timber productivity values based on stand-level site index (height in metres at 50 years). This agreement demonstrates the potential to make site-based G&Y estimates using process models and to further investigate possible effects of climate change on future timber supply. Key words: forest productivity, NPP, climate change, process-based model, StandLEAP, leaf area index, above-ground biomass


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 106-122
Author(s):  
J. Alam ◽  
R. K. Panda

 Any change in climate will have implications for climate-sensitive systems such as agriculture, forestry and some other natural resources. Changes in solar radiation, temperature and precipitation will produce changes in crop yields and hence economics of agriculture. It is possible to understand the phenomenon of climate change on crop production and to develop adaptation strategies for sustainability in food production, using a suitable crop simulation model. CERES-Maize model of DSSAT v4.0 was used to simulate the maize yield of the region under climate change scenarios using the historical weather data at Kharagpur (1977-2007), Damdam (1974-2003) and Purulia (1986-2000), West Bengal, India. The model was calibrated using the crop experimental data, climate data and soil data for two years (1996-1997) and was validated by using the data of the year 1998 at Kharagpur. The change in values of weather parameters due to climate change and its effects on the maize crop growth and yield was studied. It was observed that increase in mean temperature and leaf area index have negative impacts on maize yield. When the maximum leaf area index increased, the grain yield was found to be decreased. Increase in CO2 concentration with each degree incremental temperature decreased the grain yield but increase in CO2 concentration with fixed temperature increased the maize yield. Adjustments were made in the date of sowing to investigate suitable option for adaptation under the future climate change scenarios. Highest yield was obtained when the sowing date was advanced by a week at Kharagpur and Damdam whereas for Purulia, the experimental date of sowing was found to be beneficial.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1966 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ligita Baležentienė ◽  
Ovidijus Mikša ◽  
Tomas Baležentis ◽  
Dalia Streimikiene

Intelligent agricultural solutions require data on the environmental impacts of agriculture. In order for operationalize decision-making for sustainable agriculture, one needs to establish the corresponding datasets and protocols. Increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions into the atmosphere force the choice of growing crops aimed at mitigating climate change. For this reason, investigations of seasonal carbon exchange were carried out in 2013–2016 at the Training Farm of the Vytautas Magnus University (former Aleksandras Stulginskis University), Lithuania. This paper compares the carbon exchange rate for different crops, viz., maize, ley, winter wheat, spring rapeseed and barley under conventional farming. This study focuses on the carbon exchange rate. We measure the emitted and absorbed CO2 fluxes by applying the closed chamber method. The biomass measurement and leaf area index (LAI) calculations at different plant growth stages are used to evaluate carbon exchange in different agroecosystems. The differences in photosynthetically assimilated CO2 rates were significantly impacted by the leaf area index (p = 0.04) during the plant vegetation period. The significantly (p = 0.02–0.05) strong correlation (r = 0.6–0.7) exists between soil respiration and LAI. Soil respiration composed only 21% of the agroecosystem carbon exchange. Plant respiration ranged between 0.034 and 3.613 µmol m−2 s−1 during the vegetation period composed of a negligible ratio (mean 16%) of carbon exchange. Generally, respiration emissions were obviously recovered by the gross primary production (GPP) of crops. Therefore, the ecosystems were acting as an atmospheric CO2 sink. Barley accumulated the lowest mean GPP 12.77 µmol m−2 s−1. The highest mean GPP was determined for ley (14.28 µmol m−2 s−1) and maize (15.68 µmol m−2 s−1) due to the biggest LAI and particular bio-characteristics. Due to the highest NEP, the ley (12.66 µmol m−2 s−1) and maize (12.76 µmol m−2 s−1) agroecosystems sank the highest C from the atmosphere and, thus, they might be considered the most sustainable items between crops. Consequently, the appropriate choice of crops and their area in crop rotations may reduce CO2 emissions and their impact on the environment and climate change.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuang Zhu

<p><span lang="EN-US"><span>Climate change has been proved to exacerbate drought events and further cause huge economic and ecological losses worldwide. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the long-term evolution characteristics of drought events and quantify the impact of drought events on typical ecological indexes. Based on the measured historical precipitation data, the standardized precipitation index of different time scales was extracted to measure water deficit. The leaf area index with wide range and high precision was generated based on the Modis remote sensing image and denoising processing to represent vegetation growth. Trend analysis and change point analysis were carried out to study the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the concerned drought indexes. Then, with hypothesis test, appropriate copula multivariate analysis method was innovatively introduced to construct joint distribution of the standardized precipitation index and leaf area index. The contribution of drought on vegetation growth was expected to be quantified by deriving the conditional copula and preset marginal distributions. The upper Yangtze River where biomass is extremely sensitive to climate change was taken as a study area. The results show that drought events in this region have significant spatial heterogeneity. The leaf area index is highly influenced by the meteorological drought index. From no drought to severe drought, the vegetation index is distributed more and more toward the low value. Copula is very potential to find the inner relationship of the standardized precipitation index and leaf area index. The study is useful to deepen the understanding of the internal mechanism of drought events and discuss reasonable disaster prevention and mitigation countermeasures.</span></span></p> <p> </p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Reza Ramezani ◽  
Ali Reza Massah Bavani ◽  
Mostafa Jafari ◽  
Ali Binesh ◽  
Stefan Peters

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1592-1606 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zelalem K. Tesemma ◽  
Yongping Wei ◽  
Andrew W. Western ◽  
Murray C. Peel

Abstract Previous studies have reported relationships between mean annual climatic variables and mean annual leaf area index (LAI), but the seasonal and spatial variability of this relationship for different vegetation cover types in different climate zones have rarely been explored in Australia. The authors developed simple models using remotely sensed LAI data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and gridded climatic data from the Australian Water Availability Project. They were able to relate seasonal and annual LAI of three different land cover types (tree, pasture, and crop) with climatic variables for the period 2000–09 in the Goulburn–Broken catchment, Australia. Strong relationships were obtained between annual LAI of crop, pasture, and tree with annual precipitation (R2 = 0.70, 0.65, and 0.82, respectively). Monthly LAI of each land cover type also showed a strong relationship (R2 = 0.92, 0.95, and 0.95) with the difference between precipitation P and reference crop evapotranspiration (PET; P − PET) for crop, pasture, and tree. Independent model calibration and validation showed good agreement with remotely sensed MODIS LAI. The results from the application of the developed model on the future impact of climate change suggest that under all climate scenarios crop, pasture, and tree showed consistent decreases in mean annual LAI. For the future climate change scenarios considered, crop showed a decline of 7%–38%, pasture showed a decline of 5%–24%, and tree showed a decline of 2%–11% from the historical mean annual. These results can be used to assess the impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on water resources by coupling them with hydrological models.


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 211-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natalie Mahowald ◽  
Fiona Lo ◽  
Yun Zheng ◽  
Laura Harrison ◽  
Chris Funk ◽  
...  

Abstract. The area of leaves in the plant canopy, measured as leaf area index (LAI), modulates key land–atmosphere interactions, including the exchange of energy, moisture, carbon dioxide (CO2), and other trace gases and aerosols, and is therefore an essential variable in predicting terrestrial carbon, water, and energy fluxes. Here our goal is to characterize the LAI projections from the latest generation of earth system models (ESMs) for the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios. On average, the models project increases in LAI in both RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 over most of the globe, but also show decreases in some parts of the tropics. Because of projected increases in variability, there are also more frequent periods of low LAI across broad regions of the tropics. Projections of LAI changes varied greatly among models: some models project very modest changes, while others project large changes, usually increases. Modeled LAI typically increases with modeled warming in the high latitudes, but often decreases with increasing local warming in the tropics. The models with the most skill in simulating current LAI in the tropics relative to satellite observations tend to project smaller increases in LAI in the tropics in the future compared to the average of all the models. Using LAI projections to identify regions that may be vulnerable to climate change presents a slightly different picture than using precipitation projections, suggesting LAI may be an additional useful tool for understanding climate change impacts. Going forward, users of LAI projections from the CMIP5 ESMs evaluated here should be aware that model outputs do not exhibit clear-cut relationships to vegetation carbon and precipitation. Our findings underscore the need for more attention to LAI projections, in terms of understanding the drivers of projected changes and improvements to model skill.


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