Variance of Fatigue Damage During Transportation

Author(s):  
Limin Yang ◽  
Tormod Bøe ◽  
Erik Falkenberg ◽  
Florus Korbijn

Fatigue damage prediction of offshore structures during transportation is today commonly based on long term scatter diagram for the sea route. This gives a mean value for the expected fatigue. The deviation from the mean value may however be significant due to the large variability in metocean conditions for the typical short duration of the transport. The actual fatigue damage experienced during the voyage may therefore be much higher than predicted. Hence, it is recommended to take into account the variability of environmental conditions in the calculation of transportation fatigue. The aim of this paper is to establish a method for estimating transportation fatigue where the fatigue damage is computed with a specified level of non-exceedance. The fatigue damage is quantified by a measure as defined in OMAE2017 /1/. The distribution of this measure is obtained through Monte Carlo simulation of around 300 separate sea route scatter diagrams derived from hindcast data. The 90% percentile value (10% probability of exceedance) of the fatigue measure is then taken as target value and used for establishing a limited set of design fatigue sea states to be used in the structural fatigue damage calculations.

2012 ◽  
pp. 66-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. A. Lavrinenko ◽  
O. V. Lavrinenko ◽  
D. V. Dobrynin

The satellite images show that the area of marshes in the Kolokolkova bay was notstable during the period from 1973 up to 2011. Until 2010 it varied from 357 to 636 ha. After a severe storm happened on July 24–25, 2010 the total area of marshes was reduced up to 43–50 ha. The mean value of NDVI for studied marshes, reflecting the green biomass, varied from 0.13 to 0.32 before the storm in 2010, after the storm the NDVI decreased to 0.10, in 2011 — 0.03. A comparative analysis of species composition and structure of plant communities described in 2002 and 2011, allowed to evaluate the vegetation changes of marshes of the different topographic levels. They are fol­lowing: a total destruction of plant communities of the ass. Puccinellietum phryganodis and ass. Caricetum subspathaceae on low and middle marches; increasing role of halophytic species in plant communities of the ass. Caricetum glareosae vic. Calamagrostis deschampsioides subass. typicum on middle marches; some changes in species composition and structure of plant communities of the ass. Caricetum glareosae vic. Calamagrostis deschampsioides subass. festucetosum rubrae on high marches and ass. Parnassio palustris–Salicetum reptantis in transition zone between marches and tundra without changes of their syntaxonomy; a death of moss cover in plant communities of the ass. Caricetum mackenziei var. Warnstorfia exannulata on brackish coastal bogs. The possible reasons of dramatic vegetation dynamics are discussed. The dating of the storm makes it possible to observe the directions and rates of the succession of marches vegetation.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 2738
Author(s):  
Roland Pawliczek ◽  
Tadeusz Lagoda

The literature in the area of material fatigue indicates that the fatigue properties may change with the number of cycles. Researchers recommend taking this into account in fatigue life calculation algorithms. The results of simulation research presented in this paper relate to an algorithm for estimating the fatigue life of specimens subjected to block loading with a nonzero mean value. The problem of block loads using a novel calculation model is presented in this paper. The model takes into account the change in stress–strain curve parameters caused by mean strain. Simulation tests were performed for generated triangular waveforms of strains, where load blocks with changed mean strain values were applied. During the analysis, the degree of fatigue damage was compared. The results of calculations obtained for standard values of stress–strain parameters (for symmetric loads) and those determined, taking into account changes in the curve parameters, are compared and presented in this paper. It is shown that by neglecting the effect of the mean strain value on the K′ and n′ parameters and by considering only the parameters of the cyclic deformation curve for εm = 0 (symmetric loads), the ratio of the total degree of fatigue damage varies from 10% for εa = 0.2% to 3.5% for εa = 0.6%. The largest differences in the calculation for ratios of the partial degrees of fatigue damage were observed in relation to the reference case for the sequence of block n3, where εm = 0.4%. The simulation results show that higher mean strains change the properties of the material, and in such cases, it is necessary to take into account the influence of the mean value on the material response under block loads.


Radiocarbon ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 31 (03) ◽  
pp. 754-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ede Hertelendi ◽  
György Uchrin ◽  
Peter Ormai

We present results of airborne 14C emission measurements from the Paks PWR nuclear power plant. Long-term release of 14C in the form of carbon dioxide or carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons were simultaneously measured. The results of internal gas-proportional and liquid scintillation counting agree well with theoretical assessments of 14C releases from pressurized water reactors. The mean value of the 14C concentration in discharged air is 130Bqm-3 and the normalized release is equal to 740GBq/GWe · yr. > 95% of 14C released is in the form of hydrocarbons, ca 4% is apportioned to CO2, and <1% to CO. Tree-ring measurements were also made and indicated a minute increase of 14C content in the vicinity of the nuclear power plant.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 8880
Author(s):  
Bowen Guan ◽  
Cunbo Fan ◽  
Ning An ◽  
Ricardo Cesar Podesta ◽  
Dra Ana Pacheco ◽  
...  

As one of the major error sources, satellite signature effect should be reduced or even erased from the distribution of the post-fit residuals to improve the ranging precision. A simulation of satellite signature effect removal process for normal point algorithm is conducted based on a revised model of satellite response, which fully considers the structural and distribution characteristics of retroreflectors. In order to eliminate both long-term and short-term satellite signature effect, a clipping method for SLR data processing is proposed by defining the clipping location as 5.6 mm away from the mean value of the long-term fit residuals to select effective returns for normal points. The results indicate that, compared to normal points algorithm, the RMS per NP of LAGEOS-1 observation data processed by the clipping method is reduced from 62.90 ± 9.9 mm to 56.07 ± 4.69 mm, and the stability of RMS is improved 53%. This study improves the satellite signature effect model and simulates the fluctuation of normal points caused by satellite signature effect for the first time. The new method based on the simulation of satellite signature effect has stronger robustness and applicability, which can further minimize the influence of satellite signature effect on the SLR production and significantly improve the data property.


Author(s):  
Fredhi Agung Prasetyo ◽  
Naoki Osawa ◽  
Mohammad Arif Kurniawan ◽  
Siti Komariyah

Abstract Specific design life could be identified by using fatigue damage assessment in the structure engineering field as well as in the maritime sector. Fatigue assessment is one of the assessments to be conducted during review of ship structure design. Fatigue assessment of ship structural member is mainly conducted based on specific environmental condition. In general, specific environmental condition, which is provided by Classification Society rules, is a long term sea-state data of North Atlantic Ocean. The wave scatter diagram presents the tabulation of a long term data of sea state history in the specific ocean. Therefore, a realistic encounter of wave scatter diagram is essential to simulate the variation of wave loadings applied on the ship structure in determination of fatigue design life. Since the application of North Atlantic ocean environmental condition is commonly used by major Classification societies, this condition might give the substantial deterioration on the fatigue design life of the ship that specially operate only in specific ocean area, i.e. South East Asia area. In this work, the wave scatter diagram of various environmental conditions is chosen and the statistical characteristic is compared. The wave load sequence that is used on the fatigue damage assessment are generated by using the concept of storm model, so that the changing nature of sea state could be emulated as in real ocean. Fatigue damage of a structure member of 220 meter Bulk Carriers is calculated based on various environmental conditions.


2010 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 475-481 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.-Q. Li ◽  
Q.-S. Ge ◽  
Z.-X. Hao ◽  
J.-Y. Zheng ◽  
S.-F. He

Abstract. Using six long-term temperature proxy data series derived from different natural evidences, including pollens and lake-sediments, we reconstructed a temperature series with a 100-yr time resolution for the past 5000 yr in the Hetao region and its surrounding areas. The resulting series suggests that, on a millennial timescale, temperatures in the region were higher than the mean value of the whole series during the 5000~2600 years before present (yr BP) period, and became relatively low comparing with the average temperature of the whole series after 2600 yr BP. Within these two periods, temperature fluctuations comprising numerous short, multi-centennial intervals also existed. A comparison between our reconstructed series and other series in China and across the Northern Hemisphere indicate that, on a long-term scale, cold–warm variations had been in phase across the whole hemisphere during the past 5000 years; on the century to multi-century scale, the beginning and the ending times varied from region to region, thus implying that climate changes did not occur simultaneously in different regions.


The nonlinear heart rate variability (HRV) parameter quantifies autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity based on the complexity or irregularity of an HRV dataset. At present, among various entropy-related parameters during sleep, approximate entropy (ApEn) and sample entropy (SampEn) are not as well understood as other entropy parameters such as Shannon entropy (SE) and conditional entropy (CE). Therefore, in this study, we investigated the characteristics of ApEn and SampEn to differentiate a rapid eye movement (REM) and nonrapid eye movement (NREM) for sleep stages. For nonlinear sleep HRV analysis, two target 10-minute, long-term HRV segments were obtained from each REM and NREM for 16 individual subjects. The target HRV segment was analyzed by moving the 2-minute window forward by 2 s, resulting in 240 results of each ApEn and SampEn. The ApEn and SampEn were averaged to obtain the mean value and standard deviation (SD) of all the results. SampEn provides excellent discrimination performance between REM and NREM in terms of the mean and SD (p<0.0001 and p=0.1989, respectively; 95% CI), but ApEn was inferior to SampEn (p=0.1980 and p=0.9931). The results indicate that SampEn, but not ApEn could be used to discriminate REM from NREM and detect various sleep-related incidents.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juliana Jaen ◽  
Toralf Renkwitz ◽  
Jorge L. Chau ◽  
Maosheng He ◽  
Peter Hoffmann ◽  
...  

Abstract. Specular meteor radars (SMRs) and partial reflection radars (PRRs) have been observing mesospheric winds for more than a solar cycle over Germany (~54 °N) and northern Norway (~69 °N). This work investigates the mesospheric mean zonal wind and the zonal mean geostrophic zonal wind from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) over these two regions between 2004 and 2020. Our study focuses on the summer when strong planetary waves are absent and the stratospheric and tropospheric conditions are relatively stable. We establish two definitions of the summer length according to the zonal wind reversals: (1) the mesosphere and lower thermosphere summer length (MLT-SL) using SMR and PRR winds, and (2) the mesosphere summer length (M-SL) using PRR and MLS. Under both definitions, the summer begins around April and ends around mid-September. The largest year to year variability is found in the summer beginning in both definitions, particularly at high-latitudes, possibly due to the influence of the polar vortex. At high-latitudes, the year 2004 has a longer summer length compared to the mean value for MLT-SL, as well as 2012 for both definitions. The M-SL exhibits an increasing trend over the years, while MLT-SL does not have a well-defined trend. We explore a possible influence of solar activity, as well as large-scale atmospheric influences (e.g. quasi-biennial oscillations (QBO), El Niño-southern oscillation (ENSO), major sudden stratospheric warming events). We complement our work with an extended time series of 31 years at mid-latitudes using only PRR winds. In this case, the summer length shows a breakpoint, suggesting a non-uniform trend, and periods similar to those known for ENSO and QBO.


1988 ◽  
Vol 32 (04) ◽  
pp. 297-304
Author(s):  
Y. N. Chen ◽  
S. A. Mavrakis

Spectral fatigue analysis frequently has been applied to welded joints in steel offshore structures. Although, on the theoretical basis, the spectral formulation holds certain advantages over other formulations such as the discrete, design wave type of analysis, numerical methods developed on that basis generally suffer from the shortcomings of lack of precision and high computational cost. This paper synthesizes the uncertainties resulting from modeling errors that are regarded heretofore as unavoidable in an analysis. Such errors are traced to the approximations introduced in handling of wave data, in numerical integration of the response power spectra, and in the integration that leads to the determination of cumulative fatigue damage. To each of these sources of modeling error, a transparent, closed-form method is proposed which not only eliminates the potential errors but, surprisingly, improves the computational efficiency many times. The sensitivity of fatigue damage upon the variability of the shape parameter due to variability of wave environment for the so-called simplified analysis utilizing an idealized mathematical long-term probability density function (for example, the Weibull distribution) is also discussed.


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