Limit States Design for Onshore Pipelines: Design Rules for Operating Pressure and Equipment Impact Loads

Author(s):  
Maher A. Nessim ◽  
Riski H. Adianto

Reliability-based design rules have been developed for the key ultimate limit states applicable to onshore pipeline, including burst under operating pressure and failure due to equipment impact. The design rules are characterized by three elements; the formulas used to calculate the characteristic demand and capacity; the criteria used to define the characteristic values of the key input parameters to these formulas (such as diameter, material strength, pressure and impact load); and the safety factors defining the required excess capacity over the demand. The overall methodology used in developing the design rules and the practical implications of applying them are described in a companion paper. This paper describes the process used to calibrate safety factors and characteristic input parameter values that meet the desired reliability levels. The final design rules are described in the paper and an assessment of their accuracy and consistency in meeting the reliability targets is included.

Author(s):  
Riski H. Adianto ◽  
Maher A. Nessim

Reliability-based design rules have been developed for the key serviceability limit states applicable to onshore pipeline including local buckling due to thermal expansion and excessive plastic deformation under hydrostatic test pressure. The design rules are characterized by three elements: the formulas used to calculate the characteristic demand and capacity; the criteria used to define the characteristic values of the key input parameters to these formulas (such as diameter and material strength); and the safety factors defining the required excess capacity over the demand. The overall methodology used in developing the design rules and the practical implications of applying them are described in a companion paper. This paper describes the process used to calibrate safety factors and characteristic input parameter values that meet the desired reliability levels. The results show that local buckling under restrained thermal expansion is only potentially relevant for a small sub-set of cases and based on this, an explicit design rule was not developed. For excessive deformation under hydrostatic test pressure, two alternate design rules are provided; one stress based and the other strain based. The final design rules are described and an assessment of their accuracy and consistency in meeting the reliability targets is included. Guidance is also provided on the conditions in which each check is used.


Author(s):  
Riski Adianto ◽  
Maher Nessim ◽  
Dongliang Lu

Reliability-based corrosion assessment criteria were developed for onshore natural gas and low vapor pressure (LVP) pipelines as part of a joint industry project. The criteria are based on the limit states design (LSD) approach and are designed to achieve consistent safety levels for a broad range of pipeline designs and corrosion conditions. The assessment criteria were developed for two corrosion limit states categories: ultimate limit state, representing large leaks and ruptures; and leakage limit state, representing small leaks. For the ultimate limit state, a safety class system is used to characterize pipelines based on the anticipated severity of failure consequences as determined by pressure, diameter, product, population density and environmental sensitivity. Since the leakage limit state does not result in significant safety or environmental consequences, a single reliability target, applicable for all pipelines at all locations is used. The assessment criteria formulations are characterized by three elements: the equations used to calculate the characteristic demand (i.e. operating pressure) and capacity (i.e. burst pressure resistance at a corrosion feature); the characteristic values of the key input parameters for these formulas (such as diameter, pressure and feature depth); and the safety factors defining the characteristic demand as a ratio of characteristic capacity. The process used to calibrate safety factors and characteristic input parameter values that meet the desired reliability levels is described, and an assessment of the accuracy and consistency of the resulting checks in meeting the reliability targets is included. The assessment criteria include two methods of application: feature-based and section-based. The feature-based method divides the allowable failure probability equally between all features. It is simple to use, but conservative in nature. It is suitable for pipelines with a small number of corrosion features. The section-based method considers the failure probability of the corrosion features in a pipeline section as a group, and ensures that the total group failure probability is below the allowable threshold for the section. This method produces less conservative results than the feature-based method, but it requires more detailed calculations. It is suitable for all pipelines, and is particularly useful for those with a large number of features. The practical implications of the application of these criteria are described in the companion paper IPC2018-78608 Implementation of Reliability-based Criteria for Corrosion Assessment.


Author(s):  
Smitha D. Koduru ◽  
Maher A. Nessim

A limit states design approach for onshore pipelines has been developed as part of a multi-year joint industry project (JIP). As part of this project, reliability-based design rules were developed for geotechnical loads, including landslides, slope creep, seismic loads, frost heave and thaw settlement. In consideration of the modelling complexity of the soil movement mechanisms and pipe-soil interaction, and to allow for flexibility to incorporate future model developments, the design rule formulation is directly based on the distribution parameters of the strain demand and capacity of the pipeline. This paper describes the approach used to develop the strain demand and capacity distributions that are required to apply the design rules, as well as the applicable range of distribution parameters. Slope creep was selected as a basis for demonstrating the proposed process, as this loading mechanism occurs more frequently and the data to characterize the necessary uncertainties is available. General guidance related to the development of the strain demand distribution parameters for other geotechnical loads is also provided.


Author(s):  
Maher Nessim

In 2005, guidelines for the application of reliability-based design and assessment (RBDA) to natural gas pipelines were developed under PRCI sponsorship. The methodology underlying these guidelines has since been adopted as a non-mandatory Annex in the CSA Z662 standard (Annex O). The benefits of reliability-based methods include consistent safety levels, optimized solutions that make best use of available resources and flexibility in addressing non-standard problems. The key limitations of the methodology are that it requires specialized expertise, good data and a significant analysis effort. One approach that has been successfully used to simplify the application of reliability-based methods is to develop simple design and assessment rules that are designed to meet specified safety levels. In this approach, which is referred to here as limit states design and assessment, the checking rules incorporate safety factors that are “calibrated” to meet pre-selected reliability targets, within a specified tolerance, over a wide range of possible design and assessment cases. Probabilistic analyses are performed as part of the development stage, but the resulting checks are deterministic. The basic elements required to calibrate limit states design and assessment checks have been developed as part of the RBDA methodology, making the development of a limit states approach feasible. This paper provides an overview of an ongoing Joint Industry Project to develop a limit states design and assessment standard that addresses the key threats to the safety of onshore pipelines. The benefits and limitations of this approach are discussed in comparison to the full RBDA approach, and the expected outcomes of the project are described.


Author(s):  
Michael P. H. Marohl ◽  
Rasko Ojdrovic

Buried piping is subject to unique environmental exposure, loading, and restricted access once put into service. Buried piping is susceptible to various corrosion mechanisms on the outside of the pipe as well as internal corrosion mechanisms similar to other aboveground piping. Inspection, repair and replacement of buried piping to address such issues are inherently difficult and costly due to the access issues. To address such difficulties and avoid excavation, a carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) repair can be applied to the internal diameter of a buried pipe to provide a structural pressure boundary to strengthen or replace the existing piping over a specified length. Pipe repairs using CFRP have traditionally been designed using a Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) approach for determining the demand and the strength of the repair. However, inclusion of CFRP design rules into allowable stress design (ASD) based Section XI of the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, which has not adopted LRFD, requires use of safety factors applied to the strength for the appropriate design rules. Both ASD and LRFD have the same philosophy that the stress from the applied loads must be less than the material strength by a certain factor, and the basic difference between the two approaches is how to determine the appropriate factor of safety to cover all unknown variations in load, material strength, installation, and other. This paper provides a basis for development of safety factors for design of CFRP repairs of nuclear safety related buried metallic piping to meet the required maximum acceptable probability of failure and reliability in accordance with NEI 96-07.


2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (8) ◽  
pp. 869-883
Author(s):  
Gil Robinson ◽  
James Graham ◽  
Ken Skaftfeld ◽  
Ron Sorokowski

Limit states design methods and engineering judgement have been used to assess buoyancy issues for remediation of the 85 year old Shoal Lake Aqueduct in Manitoba. The study demonstrates how these methods can be applied to non-codified engineering problems. Four separate buoyancy analyses were completed using (i) partial safety factors from the Ontario Highway Bridge Design Code, (ii) project-specific partial safety factors, (iii) Monte Carlo simulation techniques, and (iv) working stress design (WSD) methods. Engineering judgement was required to develop a buoyancy model, interpret data for modeling parameters, and provide meaningful values for parameters that could not be measured. Results from the analyses show that more uniform reliability is provided when measured variability of the model parameters is accounted for. The reliability is not quantifiable when working stress design methods are used. Key words: limit states, probability, non-codified problem, aqueduct, buoyancy.


Author(s):  
Eric Brehm ◽  
Robert Hertle ◽  
Markus Wetzel

In common structural design, random variables, such as material strength or loads, are represented by fixed numbers defined in design codes. This is also referred to as deterministic design. Addressing the random character of these variables directly, the probabilistic design procedure allows the determination of the probability of exceeding a defined limit state. This probability is referred to as failure probability. From there, the structural reliability, representing the survival probability, can be determined. Structural reliability thus is a property of a structure or structural member, depending on the relevant limit states, failure modes and basic variables. This is the basis for the determination of partial safety factors which are, for sake of a simpler design, applied within deterministic design procedures. In addition to the basic variables in terms of material and loads, further basic variables representing the structural model have to be considered. These depend strongly on the experience of the design engineer and the level of detailing of the model. However, in the clear majority of cases [1] failure does not occur due to unexpectedly high or low values of loads or material strength. The most common reasons for failure are human errors in design and execution. This paper will provide practical examples of original designs affected by human error and will assess the impact on structural reliability.


2010 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianye Ching ◽  
Kok-Kwang Phoon ◽  
Yi-Chu Chen

Quantifications of uncertainties in soil shear strengths, including undrained shear strength of clay, are essential for geotechnical reliability-based design. In particular, how to reduce the uncertainties in undrained shear strengths based on all available information by correlation is a practical research subject, given the considerable cost of a typical site investigation. Although it is simple to reduce the uncertainties by correlation when the information is one dimensional (or univariate), it is quite challenging to reduce the uncertainties by using multivariate information through multiple correlations. This study proposes a systematic way of achieving multivariate correlations on undrained shear strengths. A set of simplified equations are obtained through Bayesian analysis for the purpose of reducing uncertainties: the inputs to the equations are the results of in situ or laboratory tests and the outputs are the updated mean values and coefficients of variation (c.o.v.s) of the undrained shear strengths. Two case studies are used to demonstrate the consistency of the proposed simplified equations. Results show that uncertainties in undrained shear strengths can be effectively reduced by incorporating multivariate information. Given that reliability-based design can justify more economical design with reduced uncertainties, the proposed equations essentially link the value of more and better tests directly to final design savings.


2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noor N.M. ◽  
Yahaya N. ◽  
Ozman N.A.N ◽  
Othman S.R.

In general, the prediction of pipeline residual life can effectively assist pipeline operators to evaluate future safe operating strategies including re-inspection and appropriate maintenance schedule. As a result it can minimize the possibility of pipeline failures until it reaches its designed lifetime. A semi-probabilistic methodology for predicting the remaining strength of submarine pipelines subjected to internal corrosion based on Recommended Practice RP-F101 by Det Norske Veritas (DNV) is described in this paper. It is used to estimate the maximum allowable operating pressure of the corroding pipelines based on series of pigging data, which represents corrosion pit location and dimension. The introduction of partial safety factors in the DNV code to minimise the effect of uncertainties due to the defect sizing has improved the reliability of pipeline assessment methodology. Nevertheless, the code is still regarded as a fully deterministic approach due to its incapability of predicting the remaining life of corroded pipeline. Thus, we have added prediction capabilities to the capacity equation by introducing a standard deviation model of future defect depth. By doing so, the variation of safety factors of the capacity equation can be fully manipulated in which prediction of future pipeline residual life becomes feasible. The paper demonstrates calculation and prediction of pipeline residual life subjects to internal corrosion. The results shows the standard deviation of corrosion parameter affected the value of partial safety factor as corrosion progressing, hence amplify the conservatism of time to failure.


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