Time-Dependent Corrosion Growth Modeling Using Multiple ILI Data

Author(s):  
S. Zhang ◽  
W. Zhou ◽  
M. Al-Amin ◽  
S. Kariyawasam ◽  
H. Wang

This paper describes a non-homogeneous gamma process-based model to characterize the growth of the depth of corrosion defect on oil and gas pipelines. All the parameters in the growth model are assumed to be uncertain; the probabilistic characteristics of these parameters are evaluated using the hierarchical Bayesian methodology by incorporating the defect information reported by the multiple in-line inspections (ILIs) as well as the prior knowledge about these parameters. The bias and random measurement error associated with the ILI tools as well as the correlation between the measurement errors associated with different ILI tools are taken into account in the analysis. The application of the model is illustrated using an example involving real ILI data on a pipeline that is currently in service. The results suggest that the model in general can predict the growth of corrosion defects reasonably well. The proposed model can be used to facilitate the development and application of reliability-based pipeline corrosion management.

2014 ◽  
Vol 136 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shenwei Zhang ◽  
Wenxing Zhou ◽  
Mohammad Al-Amin ◽  
Shahani Kariyawasam ◽  
Hong Wang

This paper describes a nonhomogeneous gamma process-based model to characterize the growth of the depth of corrosion defect on oil and gas pipelines. All the parameters in the growth model are assumed to be uncertain; the probabilistic characteristics of these parameters are evaluated using the hierarchical Bayesian methodology by incorporating the defect information reported by the multiple in-line inspections (ILIs) as well as the prior knowledge about these parameters. The bias and random measurement error associated with the ILI tools as well as the correlation between the measurement errors associated with different ILI tools are taken into account in the analysis. The application of the model is illustrated using an example involving real ILI data on a pipeline that is currently in service. The results suggest that the model in general can predict the growth of corrosion defects reasonably well. The proposed model can be used to facilitate the development and application of reliability-based pipeline corrosion management.


2019 ◽  
Vol 141 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Siraj ◽  
W. Zhou

Abstract This paper proposes a framework to quantify the measurement error associated with lengths of corrosion defects on oil and gas pipelines reported by inline inspection (ILI) tools based on a relatively large set of ILI-reported and field-measured defect data collected from different in-service pipelines in Canada. A log-logistic model is proposed to quantify the likelihood of a given ILI-reported defect being a type I defect (without clustering error) or a type II defect (with clustering error). The measurement error associated with the ILI-reported length of the defect is quantified as the average of those associated with the types I and II defects, weighted by the corresponding probabilities obtained from the log-logistic model. The implications of the proposed framework for the reliability analysis of corroded pipelines given the ILI information are investigated using a realistic pipeline example.


2021 ◽  
Vol 88 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-77
Author(s):  
Andreas Michael Müller ◽  
Tino Hausotte

Abstract The measurement uncertainty characteristics of a measurement system are an important parameter when evaluating the suitability of a certain measurement system for a specific measurement task. The measurement uncertainty can be calculated from observed measurement errors, which consist of both systematic and random components. While the unfavourable influence of systematic components can be compensated by calibration, random components are inherently not correctable. There are various measurement principles which are affected by different measurement error characteristics depending on specific properties of the measurement task, e. g. the optical surface properties of the measurement object when using fringe projection or the material properties when using industrial X-ray computed tomography. Thus, it can be helpful in certain scenarios if the spatial distribution of the acquisition quality as well as uncertainty characteristics on the captured surface of a certain measurement task can be found out. This article demonstrates a methodology to determine the random measurement error solely from a series of measurement repetitions without the need of additional information, e. g. a reference measurement or the nominal geometry of the examined part.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (s1) ◽  
pp. S56-S67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah M. Nusser ◽  
Nicholas K. Beyler ◽  
Gregory J. Welk ◽  
Alicia L. Carriquiry ◽  
Wayne A. Fuller ◽  
...  

Background:Physical activity recall instruments provide an inexpensive method of collecting physical activity patterns on a sample of individuals, but they are subject to systematic and random measurement error. Statistical models can be used to estimate measurement error in activity recalls and provide more accurate estimates of usual activity parameters for a population.Methods:We develop a measurement error model for a short-term activity recall that describes the relationship between the recall and an individual’s usual activity over a long period of time. The model includes terms for systematic and random measurement errors. To estimate model parameters, the design should include replicate observations of a concurrent activity recall and an objective monitor measurement on a subsample of respondents.Results:We illustrate the approach with preliminary data from the Iowa Physical Activity Measurement Study. In this dataset, recalls tend to overestimate actual activity, and measurement errors greatly increase the variance of recalls relative to the person-to-person variation in usual activity. Statistical adjustments are used to remove bias and extraneous variation in estimating the usual activity distribution.Conclusions:Modeling measurement error in recall data can be used to provide more accurate estimates of long-term activity behavior.


2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (11) ◽  
pp. 3253-3268 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. A. Hooper ◽  
J. Nash ◽  
T. Oakley ◽  
M. Turp

Abstract. This paper describes a new signal processing scheme for the 46.5 MHz Doppler Beam Swinging wind-profiling radar at Aberystwyth, in the UK. Although the techniques used are similar to those already described in literature – i.e. the identification of multiple signal components within each spectrum and the use of radial- and time-continuity algorithms for quality-control purposes – it is shown that they must be adapted for the specific meteorological environment above Aberystwyth. In particular they need to take into account the three primary causes of unwanted signals: ground clutter, interference, and Rayleigh scatter from hydrometeors under stratiform precipitation conditions. Attention is also paid to the fact that short-period gravity-wave activity can lead to an invalidation of the fundamental assumption of the wind field remaining stationary over the temporal and spatial scales encompassed by a cycle of observation. Methods of identifying and accounting for such conditions are described. The random measurement error associated with horizontal wind components is estimated to be 3.0–4.0 m s−1 for single cycle data. This reduces to 2.0–3.0 m s−1 for data averaged over 30 min. The random measurement error associated with vertical wind components is estimated to be 0.2–0.3 m s−1. This cannot be reduced by time-averaging as significant natural variability is expected over intervals of just a few minutes under conditions of short-period gravity-wave activity.


CHEST Journal ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tanner J. Caverly ◽  
Xuefei Zhang ◽  
Rodney A. Hayward ◽  
Ji Zhu ◽  
Akbar K. Waljee

2013 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 920-929 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy T. Houle ◽  
Dana P. Turner ◽  
Todd A. Smitherman ◽  
Donald B. Penzien ◽  
Richard B. Lipton

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