Implications of Competitor Representation on Optimal Design

Author(s):  
Arthur H. C. Yip ◽  
Jeremy J. Michalek ◽  
Kate S. Whitefoot

Abstract We investigate the effect of competitor product representation on optimal design results in profit-maximization studies. Specifically, we study the implications of replacing a large set of product alternatives available in the marketplace with a reduced set of selected competitors or with composite alternatives, as is common in the literature. We derive first-order optimality conditions and show that optimal design (but not price) is independent of competitors under the logit and nested logit models (where preference coefficients are homogeneous), but optimal design results may depend on competitor representation in latent class and mixed logit models (where preference coefficients are heterogeneous). In a case study of automotive powertrain design using mixed logit demand, we find some change in the optimal acceleration performance value when competitors are modeled using a small set of alternatives rather than the larger set. The magnitude of this change depends on the specific form and parameters of the cost and demand functions assumed, ranging from 0% to 3% in our case study. We find that the magnitude of the change in optimal design variables induced by competitor representation in our case study increases with the heterogeneity of preference coefficients across consumers and changes with the curvature of the cost function.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-41
Author(s):  
Arthur Yip ◽  
Jeremy J. Michalek ◽  
Kate Whitefoot

Abstract Design optimization studies that model competition with other products in the market often use a small set of products to represent all competitors. We investigate the effect of competitor product representation on profit-maximizing design solutions. Specifically, we study the implications of replacing a large set of disaggregated elemental competitor products with a subset of competitor products or composite products. We derive first-order optimality conditions and show that optimal design (but not price) is independent of competitors when using logit and nested logit models (where preferences are homogeneous). However, this relationship differs in the case of random-coefficients logit models (where preferences are heterogeneous), and we demonstrate that profit-maximizing design solutions using latent-class or mixed-logit models can (but need not always) depend on the representation of competing products. We discuss factors that affect the magnitude of the difference between models with elemental and composite representations of competitors, including preference heterogeneity, cost function curvature, and competitor set specification. We present correction factors that ensure models using subsets or composite representation of competitors have optimal design solutions that match those of disaggregated elemental models. While optimal designs using logit and nested logit models are not affected by ad-hoc modeling decisions of competitor representation, the independence of optimal designs from competitors when using these models raises questions of when these models are appropriate to use.


2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 549-561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingxian Wu ◽  
Min Yang ◽  
Shangjue Sun ◽  
Jingyao Zhao

Urban rail transit trips usually involve multiple stages, which can be differentiated in terms of transfers that may involve distinct access and egress modes. Most studies on access and egress mode choices of urban rail transit have separately examined the two mode choices. However, in reality, the two choices are temporally correlated. This study, therefore, has sequentially applied the mixed logit to examine the contributors of access and egress mode choices of urban metro commuters using the data from a recent survey conducted in Nanjing, China. 9 typical multimodal combinations constituted by 5 main access modes (walk, bike, electric bike, bus, and car) and 2 main egress modes (walk and bus) are included in the study. The result proves that the model is reliable and reproductive in analyzing access/egress mode choices of metro commuters. Estimation results prove the existence of time constraint and service satisfaction effect of access trip on commuters’ egress mode choice and reveal the importance of transfer infrastructure and environments that serve for biking, walking, bus riding, and car parking in commuter’s connection choice. Also, policy implications are segmentally concluded for the transfer needs of commuters in different groups to encourage the use of metro multimodal trips.


2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 370-380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marek Giergiczny ◽  
Sviataslau Valasiuk ◽  
Mikolaj Czajkowski ◽  
Maria De Salvo ◽  
Giovanni Signorello

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Lu ◽  
Alireza Khani ◽  
Baoming Han

Automatic fare collection (AFC) systems have been widely used all around the world which record rich data resources for researchers mining the passenger behavior and operation estimation. However, most transit systems are open systems for which only boarding information is recorded but the alighting information is missing. Because of the lack of trip information, validation of utility functions for passenger choices is difficult. To fill the research gaps, this study uses the AFC data from Beijing metro, which is a closed system and records both boarding information and alighting information. To estimate a more reasonable utility function for choice modeling, the study uses the trip chaining method to infer the actual destination of the trip. Based on the land use and passenger flow pattern, applying k-means clustering method, stations are classified into 7 categories. A trip purpose labelling process was proposed considering the station category, trip time, trip sequence, and alighting station frequency during five weekdays. We apply multinomial logit models as well as mixed logit models with independent and correlated normally distributed random coefficients to infer passengers’ preferences for ticket fare, walking time, and in-vehicle time towards their alighting station choice based on different trip purposes. The results find that time is a combined key factor while the ticket price based on distance is not significant. The estimated alighting stations are validated with real choices from a separate sample to illustrate the accuracy of the station choice models.


Author(s):  
Arne Risa Hole

This article describes the mixlogit Stata command for fitting mixed logit models by using maximum simulated likelihood.


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