Product Family Concept Generation and Validation Through Predictive Decision Tree Data Mining and Multi-Level Optimization

Author(s):  
Conrad S. Tucker ◽  
Harrison M. Kim

The formulation of a product family requires extensive knowledge about the product market space and also the technical limitations of a company’s engineering design and manufacturing processes. We present a methodology to significantly reduce the computational time required to achieve an optimal product portfolio by eliminating the need for an exhaustive search of all possible product concepts. This is achieved through a data mining decision tree technique that generates a set of product concepts that are subsequently validated in the engineering design level using multi-level optimization techniques. The final optimal product portfolio evaluates products based on the following three criteria: 1) The ability to satisfy customer’s price and performance expectations (based on predictive model) defined here as the feasibility criterion. 2) The feasible set of products/variants validated at the engineering level must generate positive profit that we define as the optimality criterion. 3) The optimal set of products/variants should be a manageable size as defined by the enterprise decisions makers and should therefore not exceed the product portfolio limit. The strength of our work is to reveal the tremendous savings in time and resources that exist when data mining predictive techniques are applied to the formulation of an optimal product portfolio. Using data mining tree generation techniques, a customer response data set of 40,000 individual product preferences is narrowed down to 46 product family concepts and then validated through the multilevel engineering design response of feasible architectures. A cell phone example is presented and an optimal product portfolio solution is achieved that maximizes company profit, while concurrently satisfying customer product performance expectations.

Author(s):  
Conrad S. Tucker ◽  
Harrison M. Kim

The formulation of a product portfolio requires extensive knowledge about the product market space and also the technical limitations of a company’s engineering design and manufacturing processes. A design methodology is presented that significantly enhances the product portfolio design process by eliminating the need for an exhaustive search of all possible product concepts. This is achieved through a decision tree data mining technique that generates a set of product concepts that are subsequently validated in the engineering design using multilevel optimization techniques. The final optimal product portfolio evaluates products based on the following three criteria: (1) it must satisfy customer price and performance expectations (based on the predictive model) defined here as the feasibility criterion; (2) the feasible set of products/variants validated at the engineering level must generate positive profit that we define as the optimality criterion; (3) the optimal set of products/variants should be a manageable size as defined by the enterprise decision makers and should therefore not exceed the product portfolio limit. The strength of our work is to reveal the tremendous savings in time and resources that exist when decision tree data mining techniques are incorporated into the product portfolio design and selection process. Using data mining tree generation techniques, a customer data set of 40,000 responses with 576 unique attribute combinations (entire set of possible product concepts) is narrowed down to 46 product concepts and then validated through the multilevel engineering design response of feasible products. A cell phone example is presented and an optimal product portfolio solution is achieved that maximizes company profit, without violating customer product performance expectations.


2008 ◽  
Vol 130 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Conrad S. Tucker ◽  
Harrison M. Kim

This paper addresses two important fundamental areas in product family formulation that have recently begun to receive great attention. First is the incorporation of market demand that we address through a data mining approach where realistic customer preference data are translated into performance design targets. Second is product architecture reconfiguration that we model as a dynamic design entity. The dynamic approach to product architecture optimization differs from conventional static approaches in that a product architecture is not fixed at the initial stage of product design, but rather evolves with fluctuations in customer performance preferences. The benefits of direct customer input in product family design will be realized through the cell phone product family example presented in this work. An optimal family of cell phones is created with modularity decisions made analytically at the engineering level that maximize company profit.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 275-280
Author(s):  
Agus Setiyono ◽  
Hilman F Pardede

It is now common for a cellphone to receive spam messages. Great number of received messages making it difficult for human to classify those messages to Spam or no Spam.  One way to overcome this problem is to use Data Mining for automatic classifications. In this paper, we investigate various data mining techniques, named Support Vector Machine, Multinomial Naïve Bayes and Decision Tree for automatic spam detection. Our experimental results show that Support Vector Machine algorithm is the best algorithm over three evaluated algorithms. Support Vector Machine achieves 98.33%, while Multinomial Naïve Bayes achieves 98.13% and Decision Tree is at 97.10 % accuracy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Haekal ◽  
Henki Bayu Seta ◽  
Mayanda Mega Santoni

Untuk memprediksi kualitas air sungai Ciliwung, telah dilakukan pengolahan data-data hasil pemantauan secara Online Monitoring dengan menggunakan Metode Data Mining. Pada metode ini, pertama-tama data-data hasil pemantauan dibuat dalam bentuk tabel Microsoft Excel, kemudian diolah menjadi bentuk Pohon Keputusan yang disebut Algoritma Pohon Keputusan (Decision Tree) mengunakan aplikasi WEKA. Metode Pohon Keputusan dipilih karena lebih sederhana, mudah dipahami dan mempunyai tingkat akurasi yang sangat tinggi. Jumlah data hasil pemantauan kualitas air sungai Ciliwung yang diolah sebanyak 5.476 data. Hasil klarifikasi dengan Pohon Keputusan, dari 5.476 data ini diperoleh jumlah data yang mengindikasikan sungai Ciliwung Tidak Tercemar sebanyak 1.059 data atau sebesar 19,3242%, dan yang mengindikasikan Tercemar sebanyak 4.417 data atau 80,6758%. Selanjutnya data-data hasil pemantauan ini dievaluasi menggunakan 4 Opsi Tes (Test Option) yaitu dengan Use Training Set, Supplied Test Set, Cross-Validation folds 10, dan Percentage Split 66%. Hasil evaluasi dengan 4 opsi tes yang digunakan ini, semuanya menunjukkan tingkat akurasi yang sangat tinggi, yaitu diatas 99%. Dari data-data hasil peneltian ini dapat diprediksi bahwa sungai Ciliwung terindikasi sebagai sungai tercemar bila mereferensi kepada Peraturan Pemerintah Republik Indonesia nomor 82 tahun 2001 dan diketahui pula bahwa penggunaan aplikasi WEKA dengan Algoritma Pohon Keputusan untuk mengolah data-data hasil pemantauan dengan mengambil tiga parameter (pH, DO dan Nitrat) adalah sangat akuran dan tepat. Kata Kunci : Kualitas air sungai, Data Mining, Algoritma Pohon Keputusan, Aplikasi WEKA.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 200
Author(s):  
Puji Santoso ◽  
Rudy Setiawan

One of the tasks in the field of marketing finance is to analyze customer data to find out which customers have the potential to do credit again. The method used to analyze customer data is by classifying all customers who have completed their credit installments into marketing targets, so this method causes high operational marketing costs. Therefore this research was conducted to help solve the above problems by designing a data mining application that serves to predict the criteria of credit customers with the potential to lend (credit) to Mega Auto Finance. The Mega Auto finance Fund Section located in Kotim Regency is a place chosen by researchers as a case study, assuming the Mega Auto finance Fund Section has experienced the same problems as described above. Data mining techniques that are applied to the application built is a classification while the classification method used is the Decision Tree (decision tree). While the algorithm used as a decision tree forming algorithm is the C4.5 Algorithm. The data processed in this study is the installment data of Mega Auto finance loan customers in July 2018 in Microsoft Excel format. The results of this study are an application that can facilitate the Mega Auto finance Funds Section in obtaining credit marketing targets in the future


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 849
Author(s):  
Sung-An Kim

A modeling of a turbo air compressor system (TACS), with a multi-level inverter for driving variable speed, combining an electrical model of an electric motor drive system (EMDS) and a mechanical model of a turbo air compressor, is essential to accurately analyze dynamics characteristics. Compared to the mechanical model, the electrical model has a short sampling time due to the high frequency switching operation of the numerous power semiconductors inside the multi-level inverter. This causes the problem of increased computational time for dynamic characteristics analysis of TACS. To solve this problem, the conventional model of the multi-level inverter has been proposed to simplify the switching operation of the power semiconductors, however it has low accuracy because it does not consider pulse width modulation (PWM) operation. Therefore, this paper proposes an improved modeling of the multi-level inverter for TACS to reduce computational time and improve the accuracy of electrical and mechanical responses. In order to verify the reduced computational time of the proposed model, the conventional model using the simplified model is compared and analyzed using an electronic circuit simulation software PSIM. Then, the improved accuracy of the proposed model is verified by comparison with the experimental results.


2009 ◽  
Vol 147-149 ◽  
pp. 588-593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcin Derlatka ◽  
Jolanta Pauk

In the paper the procedure of processing biomechanical data has been proposed. It consists of selecting proper noiseless data, preprocessing data by means of model’s identification and Kernel Principal Component Analysis and next classification using decision tree. The obtained results of classification into groups (normal and two selected pathology of gait: Spina Bifida and Cerebral Palsy) were very good.


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