Reliability-Based Design Optimization on Qualitative Objective With Limited Information

2018 ◽  
Vol 140 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Khaldon T. Meselhy ◽  
G. Gary Wang
Keyword(s):  
Objective Function ◽  
Design Optimization ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Limited Information ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Mathematical Formula ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Structure ◽  
Design Variables

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) algorithms typically assume a designer's prior knowledge of the objective function along with its explicit mathematical formula and the probability distributions of random design variables. These assumptions may not be valid in many industrial cases where there is limited information on variable variability and the objective function is subjective without mathematical formula. A new methodology is developed in this research to model and solve problems with qualitative objective functions and limited information about random variables. Causal graphs and design structure matrix are used to capture designer's qualitative knowledge of the effects of design variables on the objective. Maximum entropy theory and Monte Carlo simulation are used to model random variables' variability and derive reliability constraint functions. A new optimization problem based on a meta-objective function and transformed deterministic constraints is formulated, which leads close to the optimum of the original mathematical RBDO problem. The developed algorithm is tested and validated with the Golinski speed reducer design case. The results show that the algorithm finds a near-optimal reliable design with less initial information and less computation effort as compared to other RBDO algorithms that assume full knowledge of the problem.

Barrier Function Method in Reliability Based Design Optimization

2005 ◽  
Vol 297-300 ◽  
pp. 1882-1887
Author(s):  
Tae Hee Lee ◽  
Jung Hun Yoo
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Barrier Function ◽  
Reliability Index ◽  
Feasible Solution ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
User Requirement ◽  
Mean Values ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Reliability Method

In practical design applications, most design variables such as thickness, diameter and material properties are not deterministic but stochastic numbers that can be represented by their mean values with variances because of various uncertainties. When the uncertainties related with design variables and manufacturing process are considered in engineering design, the specified reliability of the design can be achieved by using the so-called reliability based design optimization. Reliability based design optimization takes into account the uncertainties in the design in order to meet the user requirement of the specified reliability while seeking optimal solution. Reliability based design optimization of a real system becomes now an emerging technique to achieve reliability, robustness and safety of the design. It is, however, well known that reliability based design optimization can often have so multiple local optima that it cannot converge into the specified reliability. To overcome this difficulty, barrier function approach in reliability based design optimization is proposed in this research and feasible solution with specified reliability index is always provided if a feasible solution is available. To illustrate the proposed formulation, reliability based design optimization of a bracket design is performed. Advanced mean value method and first order reliability method are employed for reliability analysis and their optimization results are compared with reliability index approach based on the accuracy and efficiency.

Reliability-based design optimization of electromagnetic shielding structure using neural networks and real-coded genetic algorithm

2014 ◽  
Vol 228 (18) ◽  
pp. 3471-3481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heeralal Gargama ◽  
Sanjay K Chaturvedi ◽  
Awalendra K Thakur
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Design Optimization ◽  
Electromagnetic Shielding ◽  
Optimization Approach ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Real Coded Genetic Algorithm

The conventional approaches for electromagnetic shielding structures’ design, lack the incorporation of uncertainty in the design variables/parameters. In this paper, a reliability-based design optimization approach for designing electromagnetic shielding structure is proposed. The uncertainties/variability in the design variables/parameters are dealt with using the probabilistic sufficiency factor, which is a factor of safety relative to a target probability of failure. Estimation of probabilistic sufficiency factor requires performance function evaluation at every design point, which is extremely computationally intensive. The computational burden is reduced greatly by evaluating design responses only at the selected design points from the whole design space and employing artificial neural networks to approximate probabilistic sufficiency factor as a function of design variables. Subsequently, the trained artificial neural networks are used for the probabilistic sufficiency factor evaluation in the reliability-based design optimization, where optimization part is processed with the real-coded genetic algorithm. The proposed reliability-based design optimization approach is applied to design a three-layered shielding structure for a shielding effectiveness requirement of ∼40 dB, used in many industrial/commercial applications, and for ∼80 dB used in the military applications.

Development of a Multistage Reliability-Based Design Optimization Method

2013 ◽  
Vol 136 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric J. Paulson ◽  
Ryan P. Starkey
Keyword(s):  
Objective Function ◽  
Design Optimization ◽  
Technology Development ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Comparison Method ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Numerical Example ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
System Acquisition

Complex system acquisition and its associated technology development have a troubled recent history. The modern acquisition timeline consists of conceptual, preliminary, and detailed design followed by system test and production. The evolving nature of the estimates of system performance, cost, and schedule during this extended process may be a significant contribution to recent issues. The recently proposed multistage reliability-based design optimization (MSRBDO) method promises improvements over reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) in achieved objective function value. In addition, its problem formulation more closely resembles the evolutionary nature of epistemic design uncertainties inherent in system design during early system acquisition. Our goal is to establish the modeling basis necessary for applying this new method to the engineering of early conceptual/preliminary design. We present corrections in the derivation and solutions to the single numerical example problem published by the original authors, Nam and Mavris, and examine the error introduced under the reduced-order reliability sampling used in the original publication. MSRBDO improvements over the RBDO solution of 10–36% for the objective function after first-stage optimization are shown for the original second-stage example problem. A larger 26–40% improvement over the RBDO solution is shown when an alternative comparison method is used than in the original. The specific implications of extending the method to arbitrary m-stage problems are presented, together with a solution for a three-stage numerical example. Several approaches are demonstrated to mitigate the computational cost increase of MSRBDO over RBDO, resulting in a net decrease in calculation time of 94% from an initial MSRBDO baseline algorithm.

Reliability-Based Design Optimization With Confidence Level for Non-Gaussian Distributions Using Bootstrap Method

2011 ◽  
Vol 133 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoojeong Noh ◽  
Kyung K. Choi ◽  
Ikjin Lee ◽  
David Gorsich ◽  
David Lamb
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Model ◽  
Design Optimization ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Confidence Level ◽  
Bootstrap Method ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Gaussian Distributions ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Non Gaussian

For reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), generating an input statistical model with confidence level has been recently proposed to offset inaccurate estimation of the input statistical model with Gaussian distributions. For this, the confidence intervals for the mean and standard deviation are calculated using Gaussian distributions of the input random variables. However, if the input random variables are non-Gaussian, use of Gaussian distributions of the input variables will provide inaccurate confidence intervals, and thus yield an undesirable confidence level of the reliability-based optimum design meeting the target reliability βt. In this paper, an RBDO method using a bootstrap method, which accurately calculates the confidence intervals for the input parameters for non-Gaussian distributions, is proposed to obtain a desirable confidence level of the output performance for non-Gaussian distributions. The proposed method is examined by testing a numerical example and M1A1 Abrams tank roadarm problem.

A Modified Reliability Index Approach for Reliability-Based Design Optimization

2011 ◽  
Vol 133 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Po Ting Lin ◽  
Hae Chang Gea ◽  
Yogesh Jaluria
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Reliability Index ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Second Moment ◽  
Reliability Indices ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Index Approach ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Code Format

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems have been intensively studied for many decades. Since Hasofer and Lind [1974, “Exact and Invariant Second-Moment Code Format,” J. Engrg. Mech. Div., 100(EM1), pp. 111–121] defined a measure of the second-moment reliability index, many RBDO methods utilizing the concept of reliability index have been introduced as the reliability index approach (RIA). In the RIA, reliability analysis problems are formulated to find the reliability indices for each performance constraint and the solutions are used to evaluate the failure probability. However, the traditional RIA suffers from inefficiency and convergence problems. In this paper, we revisited the definition of the reliability index and revealed the convergence problem in the traditional RIA. Furthermore, a new definition of the reliability index is proposed to correct this problem and a modified reliability index approach is developed based on this definition. The strategies to solve RBDO problems with non-normally distributed design variables by the modified RIA are also investigated. Numerical examples using both the traditional and modified RIAs are compared and discussed.

The Response Surface Single Loop Reliability-Based Design Optimization Method With Reliability Requirement on System Failure

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rami Mansour ◽  
Mårten Olsson
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Optimization Problem ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Single Loop ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Deterministic Solution

In reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), an optimal design which minimizes an objective function while satisfying a number of probabilistic constraints is found. As opposed to deterministic optimization, statistical uncertainties in design variables and design parameters have to be taken into account in the design process in order to achieve a reliable design. In the most widely used RBDO approaches, the First-Order Reliability Method (FORM) is used in the probability assessment. This involves locating the Most Probable Point (MPP) of failure, or the inverse MPP, either exactly or approximately. If exact methods are used, an optimization problem has to be solved, typically resulting in computationally expensive double loop or decoupled loop RBDO methods. On the other hand, locating the MPP approximately typically results in highly efficient single loop RBDO methods since the optimization problem is not necessary in the probability assessment. However, since all these methods are based on FORM, which in turn is based on a linearization of the deterministic constraints at the MPP, they may suffer inaccuracies associated with neglecting the nonlinearity of deterministic constraints. In a previous paper presented by the authors, the Response Surface Single Loop (RSSL) Reliability-based design optimization method was proposed. The RSSL-method takes into account the non-linearity of the deterministic constraints in the computation of the probability of failure and was therefore shown to have higher accuracy than existing RBDO methods. The RSSL-method was also shown to have high efficiency since it bypasses the concept of an MPP. In RSSL, the deterministic solution is first found by neglecting uncertainties in design variables and parameters. Thereafter quadratic response surface models are fitted to the deterministic constraints around the deterministic solution using a single set of design of experiments. The RBDO problem is thereafter solved in a single loop using a closed-form second order reliability method (SORM) which takes into account all elements of the Hessian of the quadratic constraints. In this paper, the RSSL method is used to solve the more challenging system RBDO problems where all constraints are replaced by one constraint on the system probability of failure. The probabilities of failure for the constraints are assumed independent of each other. In general, system reliability problems may be more challenging to solve since replacing all constraints by one constraint may strongly increase the non-linearity in the optimization problem. The extensively studied reliability-based design for vehicle crash-worthiness, where the provided deterministic constraints are general quadratic models describing the system in the whole region of interest, is used to demonstrate the capabilities of the RSSL method for problems with system reliability constraints.

Reliability-Based Design Optimization of a Cemented Prosthesis in a Femur Undergoing Bone Remodeling

2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Leandro Luis Corso ◽  
Herbert Martins Gomes ◽  
Leandro de Freitas Spinelli ◽  
Crisley Dossin Zanrosso ◽  
Rogério José Marczak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Bone Remodeling ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Young Modulus ◽  
Fe Model ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Bone Mass Loss ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Three Dimensional Finite Element

Abstract This study proposes a numerical methodology to minimize the bone mass loss in a femur with a total hip arthroplasty procedure, considering uncertainties in the material parameters and using a reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) procedure. A genetic algorithm (GA) is applied for optimization, and a three-dimensional finite element (FE) model associated with the bone remodeling procedure is proposed and described to account for the internal and external femoral bone behavior. An example of a femoral prosthesis design is presented as a basis for discussion of the proposed methodologies, and the corresponding reliability level is evaluated. Constraints on the strength of all materials and target reliability levels are inputs to the optimization model. The main prosthesis dimensions and Young modulus are the design variables. The proposed methodology is compared with a well-known deterministic optimization (DO) procedure and the results show that it is important to consider the uncertainties in this kind of problem since in this case, the a posteriori reliability may be low.

Reliability-based design optimization of 3D orthogonal woven composite automobile shock tower

2021 ◽  
pp. 002199832110476
Author(s):  
Zhao Liu ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Ping Zhu ◽  
Mushi Li
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Composite Structures ◽  
Optimization Design ◽  
Optimization Procedure ◽  
Woven Composite ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
3D Orthogonal Woven

Three-dimensional orthogonal woven composites are noted for their excellent mechanical properties and delamination resistance, so they are expected to have promising prospects in lightweight applications in the automobile industry. The multi-scale characteristics and inherent uncertainty of design variables pose great challenges to the optimization procedure for 3D orthogonal woven composite structures. This paper aims to propose a reliability-based design optimization method for guidance on the lightweight design of 3D orthogonal woven composite automobile shock tower, which includes design variables from material and structure. An analytical model was firstly set up to accurately predict the elastic and strength properties of composites. After that, a novel optimization procedure was established for the multi-scale reliability optimization design of composite shock tower, based on the combination of Monte Carlo reliability analysis method, Kriging surrogate model, and particle swarm optimization algorithm. According to the results, the optimized shock tower meets the requirements of structural performance and reliability, with a weight reduction of 37.83%.

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