Observational Seismic Fragility Curves for Steel Cylindrical Tanks

2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta D'Amico ◽  
Nicola Buratti

The evaluation of seismic vulnerability of atmospheric above ground steel storage tanks is a fundamental topic in the context of industrial safety. Depending on the shell portion affected, on the extent of damage, and on toxicity, flammability, and reactivity of stored substances, liquid leakages can trigger hazardous chains of events whose consequences affect not only the plant but also the surrounding environment. In light of that, the study proposed herein provides an analysis of the seismic fragility of cylindrical above ground storage tanks based on observational damage data. The first phase of this work has consisted in collecting a large empirical dataset of information on failures of atmospheric tanks during past earthquakes. Two sets of damage states have then been used in order to characterize the severity of damage and the intensity of liquid releases. Empirical fragility curves have been fitted by using Bayesian regression. The advantage of this approach is that it is well suited to treat direct and indirect information obtained from field observations and to incorporate subjective engineering judgement. Different models have been employed in order to investigate the effects of tank aspect ratio, filling level, and base anchorage. Moreover, the effects of interaction between these critical aspects are included in fragility analysis. The hazard parameter used is the peak ground acceleration (PGA). Seismic fragility curves obtained from the described procedure are compared to those available in the technical literature.

2014 ◽  
Vol 638-640 ◽  
pp. 1848-1853
Author(s):  
Lin Qing Huang ◽  
Li Ping Wang ◽  
Chao Lie Ning

The hill buildings sited on slopes have been widely constructed in mountainous regions. In order to estimate the seismic vulnerability of the hill buildings with uneven ground column heights under the effect of potential earthquakes, the exceedance probabilities of the hill buildings sited on different angle slopes in peak ground acceleration (PGA) are calculated and compared by using the incremental dynamic analysis method. The fragility curves show the slope angle has considerable influence on the seismic performance. Specifically, the exceedance probability increases with the increasing of the slope angle at the same performance level.


2014 ◽  
Vol 578-579 ◽  
pp. 1551-1555
Author(s):  
Li Ping Wang ◽  
Chao Lie Ning ◽  
Lin Qing Huang

The hill buildings sited on slopes has been widely constructed in mountainous regions. In order to estimate the seismic vulnerability for this type of building under the effect of potential earthquakes, the exceedance probabilities of hill buildings and normal buildings in peak ground acceleration are calculated and compared by using the incremental dynamic analysis method. The fragility curves show the layout of hill buildings has considerable influence on the seismic performance. Specifically, due to the different layout for the hill buildings, the probabilistic characteristic at the collapse prevention level is significantly different from the characteristic of fragility curves at the initial performance level.


2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoang Nam Phan ◽  
Fabrizio Paolacci ◽  
Silvia Alessandri

Catastrophic failure of the above ground steel storage tanks was observed during past earthquakes, which caused serious economic and environmental consequences. Many of the existing tanks were designed in the past with outdated analysis methods and with underestimated seismic loads. Therefore, the evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of these tanks, especially ones located in seismic prone areas, is extremely important. Seismic fragility functions are useful tools to quantify the seismic vulnerability of structures in the framework of probabilistic seismic risk assessment. These functions give the probability that a seismic demand on a given structural component meets or exceeds its capacity. The objective of this study is to examine the seismic vulnerability of an unanchored steel storage tank, considering the uncertainty of modeling parameters that are related to material and geometric properties of the tank. The significance of uncertain modeling parameters is first investigated with a screening study, which is based on nonlinear static pushover analyses of the tank using the abaqus software. In this respect, a fractional factorial design and an analysis of variance (ANOVA) have been adopted. The results indicate that the considered modeling parameters have significant effects on the uplift behavior of the tank. The fragility curves of two critical failure modes, i.e., the buckling of the shell plate and the plastic rotation of the shell-to-bottom plate joint, are then developed based on a simplified model of the tank, where the uplift behavior is correctly modeled from the static pushover analysis. The uncertainty associated with the significant parameters previously identified are considered in the fragility analysis using a sampling procedure to generate statistically significant samples of the model. The relative importance of different treatment levels of the uncertainty on the fragility curves of the tank is assessed and discussed in detail.


Author(s):  
A. Sandoli ◽  
G. P. Lignola ◽  
B. Calderoni ◽  
A. Prota

AbstractA hybrid seismic fragility model for territorial-scale seismic vulnerability assessment of masonry buildings is developed and presented in this paper. The method combines expert-judgment and mechanical approaches to derive typological fragility curves for Italian residential masonry building stock. The first classifies Italian masonry buildings in five different typological classes as function of age of construction, structural typology, and seismic behaviour and damaging of buildings observed following the most severe earthquakes occurred in Italy. The second, based on numerical analyses results conducted on building prototypes, provides all the parameters necessary for developing fragility functions. Peak-Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Ultimate Limit State attainable by each building’s class has been chosen as an Intensity Measure to represent fragility curves: three types of curve have been developed, each referred to mean, maximum and minimum value of PGAs defined for each building class. To represent the expected damage scenario for increasing earthquake intensities, a correlation between PGAs and Mercalli-Cancani-Sieber macroseismic intensity scale has been used and the corresponding fragility curves developed. Results show that the proposed building’s classes are representative of the Italian masonry building stock and that fragility curves are effective for predicting both seismic vulnerability and expected damage scenarios for seismic-prone areas. Finally, the fragility curves have been compared with empirical curves obtained through a macroseismic approach on Italian masonry buildings available in literature, underlining the differences between the methods.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiming He ◽  
Qingjun Chen

The measured vertical peak ground acceleration was larger than the horizontal peak ground acceleration. It is essential to consider the vertical seismic effect in seismic fragility evaluation of large-space underground structures. In this research, an approach is presented to construct fragility curves of large-space underground structures considering the vertical seismic effect. In seismic capacity, the soil-underground structure pushover analysis method which considers the vertical seismic loading is used to obtain the capacity curve of central columns. The thresholds of performance levels are quantified through a load-drift backbone curve model. In seismic demand, it is evaluated through incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method under the excitation of horizontal and vertical acceleration, and the soil-structure-interaction and ground motion characteristics are also considered. The IDA results are compared in terms of peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity. To construct the fragility curves, the evolutions of performance index versus the increasing earthquake intensity are performed, considering related uncertainties. The result indicates that if we ignore the vertical seismic effect to the fragility assessment of large-space underground structures, the exceedance probabilities of damage of large-space underground structures will be underestimated, which will result in an unfavorable assessment result.


2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. AbulHasan ◽  
Md. Abdur Rahman Bhuiyan

Chittagong Medical College Hospital (CMCH) is one of the most important government hospitals in Bangladesh. It is located in the heart of Chittagong city, the only port city of Bangladesh. Bangladesh National Building Code (BNBC) is the only official document, which has been used since 1993 as guidelines for seismic design of buildings. As per the guidelines of BNBC, the CMCH building was designed for an earthquake ground motion having a return period of 200 years. However, the revised version of BNBC has suggested that the building structures shall be designed for an earthquake ground motion having a return period of 2475 years. It is mentioned that a single seismic performance objective, the life safety, of the building is considered in both versions of BNBC. Considering the significant importance of CMCH building in providing the emergency facilities during and after the earthquake, it is indispensable to evaluate its seismic vulnerability for the two types of earthquake ground motion records having return period of 200 (Type-I) and 2475 (Type-II) years. In this regard, this paper deals with the seismic vulnerability assessment of the existing ancillary building (AB) of CMCH. The seismic vulnerability of building is usually expressed in the form of fragility curves, which display the conditional probability that the structural demand (structural response) caused by various levels of ground shaking exceeds the structural capacity defined by a damage state. The analytical method based on elastic response spectrum analyses results is used in evaluating the seismic fragility curves of the building. To the end, 3-D finite element model of the building subjected to 18 ground motion records having PGA of 0.325g to 0.785g has been used in theresponse spectrum analysis in order to evaluate its inter-story-drift ratio (IDR), an engineeringdemand parameter (EDP) for developing fragility curves. The analytical results have shown thatstructural deficiencies exist in the existing ancillary building (AB) for the Type-II earthquakeground motion record, which requires the building to be retrofitted to ensure that the existingancillary building (AB) becomes functional during and after the Type-II earthquake groundmotion record.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Sandoli ◽  
Gian Piero Lignola ◽  
Bruno Calderoni ◽  
Andrea Prota

Abstract A hybrid seismic fragility model for territorial-scale seismic vulnerability assessment of masonry buildings is developed and presented in this paper. The method combines expert-judgment and mechanical approaches to derive typological fragility curves for Italian residential masonry building stock. The first classifies Italian masonry buildings in five different typological classes as function of age of construction, structural typology, and seismic behaviour and damaging of buildings observed following the most severe earthquakes occurred in Italy. The second, based on numerical analyses results conducted on building prototypes, provides all the parameters necessary for developing fragility functions.Peak-Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Ultimate Limit State attainable by each building’s class has been chosen as an Intensity Measure (IM) to represent fragility curves: three types of curve have been developed, each referred to mean, maximum and minim value of PGAs defined for each buildings class.To represent the expected damage scenario for increasing earthquake intensities, a correlation between PGAs and Mercalli-Cancani-Sieber (MCS) macroseismic intensity scale has been used and the corresponding fragility curves developed.Results show that the proposed building’s classes are representative of the Italian masonry building stock and that fragility curves are effective for predicting both seismic vulnerability and expected damage scenarios for seismic-prone areas. Finally, the fragility curves have been compared with empirical curves obtained through a macroseismic approach on Italian masonry buildings available in literature, underlining the differences between the methods.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 251-260
Author(s):  
Duy-Duan Nguyen ◽  
Md Samdani Azad ◽  
Byung H. Choi ◽  
Tae-Hyung Lee

The purpose of this study is to identify efficient earthquake intensity measures (IMs) for evaluating the seismic vulnerability of integral abutment bridges. A total of 90 ground motion records and 20 typical IMs were employed for the numerical analyses. A series of nonlinear time-history analyses was performed on the bridges to observe the lateral displacement of the bridge piers. Statistical parameters such as the coefficient of determination, standard deviation, and correlation coefficient were calculated to identify the strongly correlated IMs with the seismic performance of the bridges. The numerical results show that the efficient IMs are spectral acceleration, spectral velocity, spectral displacement at the fundamental period, acceleration spectrum intensity, effective peak acceleration, peak ground acceleration, and A95. Moreover, a set of fragility curves of the bridges was developed with respect to the efficient IMs.


2017 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-189
Author(s):  
Thuat-Cong Dang ◽  
Thien-Phu Le ◽  
Pascal Ray

A seismic fragility curve that shows the probability of failure of a structure in function of a seismic intensity, for example peak ground acceleration (PGA), is a powerful tool for the evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of the structures in nuclear engineering and civil engineering. The common assumption of existing approaches is that the fragility curve is a cumulative probability log-normal function. In this paper, we propose a new technique for construction of seismic fragility curves by numerical simulation using the Probability Density Evolution Method (PDEM). From the joint probability density function between structural response and random variables of a system and/or excitations, seismic fragility curves can be derived without the log-normal assumption. The validation of the proposed technique is performed on two numerical examples.


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