Efficient Global Surrogate Modeling for Reliability-Based Design Optimization

2012 ◽  
Vol 135 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Barron J. Bichon ◽  
Michael S. Eldred ◽  
Sankaran Mahadevan ◽  
John M. McFarland

Determining the optimal (lightest, least expensive, etc.) design for an engineered component or system that meets or exceeds a specified level of reliability is a problem of obvious interest across a wide spectrum of engineering fields. Various formulations and methods for solving this reliability-based design optimization problem have been proposed, but they typically involve accepting a tradeoff between accuracy and efficiency in the reliability analysis. This paper investigates the use of the efficient global optimization and efficient global reliability analysis methods to construct surrogate models at both the design optimization and reliability analysis levels to create methods that are more efficient than existing methods without sacrificing accuracy. Several formulations are proposed and compared through a series of test problems.

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 6386-6409
Author(s):  
Xiaoke Li ◽  
◽  
Qingyu Yang ◽  
Yang Wang ◽  
Xinyu Han ◽  
...  

<abstract> <p>Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is applied to handle the unavoidable uncertainties in engineering applications. To alleviate the huge computational burden in reliability analysis and design optimization, surrogate models are introduced to replace the implicit objective and performance functions. In this paper, the commonly used surrogate modeling methods and surrogate-assisted RBDO methods are reviewed and discussed. First, the existing reliability analysis methods, RBDO methods, commonly used surrogate models in RBDO, sample selection methods and accuracy evaluation methods of surrogate models are summarized and compared. Then the surrogate-assisted RBDO methods are classified into global modeling methods and local modeling methods. A classic two-dimensional RBDO numerical example are used to demonstrate the performance of representative global modeling method (Constraint Boundary Sampling, CBS) and local modeling method (Local Adaptive Sampling, LAS). The advantages and disadvantages of these two kinds of modeling methods are summarized and compared. Finally, summary and prospect of the surrogate–assisted RBDO methods are drown.</p> </abstract>


Author(s):  
Yoshihiro Kanno

AbstractThis study considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, in which the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when it is only known that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the input distribution belong to a given convex set, it is required that the failure probability of a structure should be no greater than a specified target value for any realization of the input distribution. We demonstrate that this distributionally-robust reliability constraint can be reduced equivalently to deterministic constraints. By using this reduction, we can handle a reliability-based design optimization problem under the distributionally-robust reliability constraint within the framework of deterministic optimization; in particular, nonlinear semidefinite programming. Two numerical examples are solved to demonstrate the relation between the optimal value and either the target reliability or the uncertainty magnitude.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 168781401879333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiliang Huang ◽  
Tongguang Yang ◽  
Fangyi Li

Conventional decoupling approaches usually employ first-order reliability method to deal with probabilistic constraints in a reliability-based design optimization problem. In first-order reliability method, constraint functions are transformed into a standard normal space. Extra non-linearity introduced by the non-normal-to-normal transformation may increase the error in reliability analysis and then result in the reliability-based design optimization analysis with insufficient accuracy. In this article, a decoupling approach is proposed to provide an alternative tool for the reliability-based design optimization problems. To improve accuracy, the reliability analysis is performed by first-order asymptotic integration method without any extra non-linearity transformation. To achieve high efficiency, an approximate technique of reliability analysis is given to avoid calculating time-consuming performance function. Two numerical examples and an application of practical laptop structural design are presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.


Author(s):  
Rami Mansour ◽  
Mårten Olsson

In reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), an optimal design which minimizes an objective function while satisfying a number of probabilistic constraints is found. As opposed to deterministic optimization, statistical uncertainties in design variables and design parameters have to be taken into account in the design process in order to achieve a reliable design. In the most widely used RBDO approaches, the First-Order Reliability Method (FORM) is used in the probability assessment. This involves locating the Most Probable Point (MPP) of failure, or the inverse MPP, either exactly or approximately. If exact methods are used, an optimization problem has to be solved, typically resulting in computationally expensive double loop or decoupled loop RBDO methods. On the other hand, locating the MPP approximately typically results in highly efficient single loop RBDO methods since the optimization problem is not necessary in the probability assessment. However, since all these methods are based on FORM, which in turn is based on a linearization of the deterministic constraints at the MPP, they may suffer inaccuracies associated with neglecting the nonlinearity of deterministic constraints. In a previous paper presented by the authors, the Response Surface Single Loop (RSSL) Reliability-based design optimization method was proposed. The RSSL-method takes into account the non-linearity of the deterministic constraints in the computation of the probability of failure and was therefore shown to have higher accuracy than existing RBDO methods. The RSSL-method was also shown to have high efficiency since it bypasses the concept of an MPP. In RSSL, the deterministic solution is first found by neglecting uncertainties in design variables and parameters. Thereafter quadratic response surface models are fitted to the deterministic constraints around the deterministic solution using a single set of design of experiments. The RBDO problem is thereafter solved in a single loop using a closed-form second order reliability method (SORM) which takes into account all elements of the Hessian of the quadratic constraints. In this paper, the RSSL method is used to solve the more challenging system RBDO problems where all constraints are replaced by one constraint on the system probability of failure. The probabilities of failure for the constraints are assumed independent of each other. In general, system reliability problems may be more challenging to solve since replacing all constraints by one constraint may strongly increase the non-linearity in the optimization problem. The extensively studied reliability-based design for vehicle crash-worthiness, where the provided deterministic constraints are general quadratic models describing the system in the whole region of interest, is used to demonstrate the capabilities of the RSSL method for problems with system reliability constraints.


2018 ◽  
Vol 140 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pinar Acar

Microstructures are stochastic by their nature. These aleatoric uncertainties can alter the expected material performance substantially and thus they must be considered when designing materials. One safe approach would be assuming the worst case scenario of uncertainties in design. However, design under the worst case conditions can lead to over-conservative solutions that provide less effective material properties. Here, a more powerful design approach can be developed by implementing reliability constraints into the optimization problem to achieve superior material properties while satisfying the prescribed design criteria. This is known as reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), and it has not been studied for microstructure design before. In this work, an analytical formulation that models the propagation of microstructural uncertainties to the material properties is utilized to compute the probability of failure. Next, the analytical uncertainty solution is integrated into the optimization problem to define the reliability constraints. The presented optimization under uncertainty scheme is exercised to maximize the yield stress of α-Titanium and magnetostriction of Galfenol, respectively.


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