Parametric Estimation for Delayed Nonlinear Time-Varying Dynamical Systems

Author(s):  
Venkatesh Deshmukh

A constructive algorithm is proposed and illustrated for parametric estimation in delayed nonlinear time-varying dynamic system models from available data. The algorithm uses Chebyshev spectral collocation and optimization. The problems addressed are estimations with complete state vector and incomplete state vector availability. Using an equivalent algebraic description of dynamical systems by Chebyshev spectral collocation and data, a standard least-squares residual cost function is set up for complete and incomplete information cases. Minimization of this cost yields the unique solution for the unknown parameters for estimation with complete state availability, only owing to the fact that the cost function is quadratic and positive definite. Such arguments cannot be made for estimation with incomplete state availability as the cost function is positive definite albeit a nonlinear function of the unknown parameters and states. All the algorithms are presented stepwise and are illustrated using suitable examples.

Author(s):  
Venkatesh Deshmukh

A constructive optimization algorithm using Chebyshev spectral collocation and quadratic programming is proposed for unknown parameter estimation in nonlinear time-varying dynamic system models to be constructed from available data. The parameters to be estimated are assumed to be identifiable from the data which also implies that the assumed system models with known parameter values have a unique solution corresponding to every initial condition and parameter set. The nonlinear terms in the dynamic system models are assumed to have a known form, and the models are assumed to be parameter affine. Using an equivalent algebraic description of dynamical systems by Chebyshev spectral collocation and data, a residual quadratic cost is set up which is a function of unknown parameters only. The minimization of this cost yields the unique solution for the unknown parameters since the models are assumed to have a unique solution for a particular parameter set. An efficient algorithm is presented step-wise and is illustrated using suitable examples.


Author(s):  
Venkatesh Deshmukh

A constructive optimization algorithm using Chebyshev spectral collocation and quadratic programming is proposed for unknown parameter estimation in nonlinear time-varying dynamic system models to be constructed from available data. The parameters to be estimated are assumed to be identifiable from the data, which also implies that the assumed system models with known parameter values have a unique solution corresponding to every initial condition and parameter set. The nonlinear terms in the dynamic system models are assumed to have a known form, and the models are assumed to be parameter affine. Using an equivalent algebraic description of dynamical systems by Chebyshev spectral collocation and data, a residual quadratic cost is set up, which is a function of unknown parameters only. The minimization of this cost yields the unique solution for the unknown parameters since the models are assumed to have a unique solution for a particular parameter set. An efficient algorithm is presented stepwise and is illustrated using suitable examples. The case of parameter estimation with incomplete or partial data availability is also illustrated with an example.


2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (12) ◽  
pp. 2669-2691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terence D. Sanger

Human movement differs from robot control because of its flexibility in unknown environments, robustness to perturbation, and tolerance of unknown parameters and unpredictable variability. We propose a new theory, risk-aware control, in which movement is governed by estimates of risk based on uncertainty about the current state and knowledge of the cost of errors. We demonstrate the existence of a feedback control law that implements risk-aware control and show that this control law can be directly implemented by populations of spiking neurons. Simulated examples of risk-aware control for time-varying cost functions as well as learning of unknown dynamics in a stochastic risky environment are provided.


Author(s):  
Saeid Bashash

This paper presents a dynamic programming approach to optimize energy cost of multiple interacting household appliances such as air conditioning systems and refrigerators with temperature flexibility, under time varying electricity price signals. We adopt a first order differential equation model with a binary (ON-OFF) switching control function for each load. An energy cost minimization problem is then formulated with a pair of constraints on the temperature lower and upper bounds, as well as an equality condition on the initial and final temperature states. We use dynamic programming to compute cost-optimal control inputs and temperature trajectories for a given electricity price profile and ambient temperature condition. To account for temperature deviation from its desired setpoint, a quadratic temperature deviation penalty is added to the cost function. Moreover, to minimize the control input chattering for equipment protection, the cost function is expanded to also minimize the number of on-off switching events. Results for the different weighting combinations of the optimization objectives provide useful insights on the optimal operation of individual and multiple interacting HVAC loads. In particular, we observe that the loads are desynchronized under the cost-optimal operation, in the presence of local (renewable) power generation. The presented optimization algorithm and observed results can lead to the development of novel model predictive and rule-based feedback control policies for optimal energy management in households.


2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongkui Sun ◽  
Xiaoli Yang

Time delays are ubiquitous in real world and are often sources of complex behaviors of dynamical systems. This paper addresses the problem of parameters identification and synchronization of uncertain chaotic delayed systems subject to time-varying delay. Firstly, a novel and systematic adaptive scheme of synchronization is proposed for delayed dynamical systems containing uncertainties based on Razumikhin condition and extended invariance principle for functional differential equations. Then, the proposed adaptive scheme is used to estimate the unknown parameters of nonlinear delayed systems from time series, and a sufficient condition is given by virtue of this scheme. The delayed system under consideration is a very generic one that includes almost all well-known delayed systems (neural network, complex networks, etc.). Two classical examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed adaptive scheme.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 850
Author(s):  
Dokkyun Yi ◽  
Sangmin Ji ◽  
Jieun Park

Artificial intelligence (AI) is achieved by optimizing the cost function constructed from learning data. Changing the parameters in the cost function is an AI learning process (or AI learning for convenience). If AI learning is well performed, then the value of the cost function is the global minimum. In order to obtain the well-learned AI learning, the parameter should be no change in the value of the cost function at the global minimum. One useful optimization method is the momentum method; however, the momentum method has difficulty stopping the parameter when the value of the cost function satisfies the global minimum (non-stop problem). The proposed method is based on the momentum method. In order to solve the non-stop problem of the momentum method, we use the value of the cost function to our method. Therefore, as the learning method processes, the mechanism in our method reduces the amount of change in the parameter by the effect of the value of the cost function. We verified the method through proof of convergence and numerical experiments with existing methods to ensure that the learning works well.


2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (29) ◽  
pp. 1950351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dawei Ding ◽  
Xiaolei Yao ◽  
Hongwei Zhang

In this paper, the complex projection synchronization problem of fractional complex-valued dynamic networks is investigated. Considering the time-varying coupling and unknown parameters of the fractional order complex network, several decentralized adaptive strategies are designed to adjust the coupling strength and controller feedback gain in order to investigate the complex projection synchronization problem of the system. Moreover, based on the designed identification law, the uncertain parameters in the network can be estimated. Using adaptive law which balances the time-varying coupling strength and the feedback gain of the controller, some sufficient conditions are obtained for the complex projection synchronization of complex networks. Finally, numerical simulation examples are provided to illustrate the efficiency of the complex projection synchronization strategies of the fractional order complex dynamic networks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexsandro Oliveira Alexandrino ◽  
Carla Negri Lintzmayer ◽  
Zanoni Dias

One of the main problems in Computational Biology is to find the evolutionary distance among species. In most approaches, such distance only involves rearrangements, which are mutations that alter large pieces of the species’ genome. When we represent genomes as permutations, the problem of transforming one genome into another is equivalent to the problem of Sorting Permutations by Rearrangement Operations. The traditional approach is to consider that any rearrangement has the same probability to happen, and so, the goal is to find a minimum sequence of operations which sorts the permutation. However, studies have shown that some rearrangements are more likely to happen than others, and so a weighted approach is more realistic. In a weighted approach, the goal is to find a sequence which sorts the permutations, such that the cost of that sequence is minimum. This work introduces a new type of cost function, which is related to the amount of fragmentation caused by a rearrangement. We present some results about the lower and upper bounds for the fragmentation-weighted problems and the relation between the unweighted and the fragmentation-weighted approach. Our main results are 2-approximation algorithms for five versions of this problem involving reversals and transpositions. We also give bounds for the diameters concerning these problems and provide an improved approximation factor for simple permutations considering transpositions.


2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (6) ◽  
pp. 1710-1726 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milija Zupanski

Abstract A new ensemble-based data assimilation method, named the maximum likelihood ensemble filter (MLEF), is presented. The analysis solution maximizes the likelihood of the posterior probability distribution, obtained by minimization of a cost function that depends on a general nonlinear observation operator. The MLEF belongs to the class of deterministic ensemble filters, since no perturbed observations are employed. As in variational and ensemble data assimilation methods, the cost function is derived using a Gaussian probability density function framework. Like other ensemble data assimilation algorithms, the MLEF produces an estimate of the analysis uncertainty (e.g., analysis error covariance). In addition to the common use of ensembles in calculation of the forecast error covariance, the ensembles in MLEF are exploited to efficiently calculate the Hessian preconditioning and the gradient of the cost function. A sufficient number of iterative minimization steps is 2–3, because of superior Hessian preconditioning. The MLEF method is well suited for use with highly nonlinear observation operators, for a small additional computational cost of minimization. The consistent treatment of nonlinear observation operators through optimization is an advantage of the MLEF over other ensemble data assimilation algorithms. The cost of MLEF is comparable to the cost of existing ensemble Kalman filter algorithms. The method is directly applicable to most complex forecast models and observation operators. In this paper, the MLEF method is applied to data assimilation with the one-dimensional Korteweg–de Vries–Burgers equation. The tested observation operator is quadratic, in order to make the assimilation problem more challenging. The results illustrate the stability of the MLEF performance, as well as the benefit of the cost function minimization. The improvement is noted in terms of the rms error, as well as the analysis error covariance. The statistics of innovation vectors (observation minus forecast) also indicate a stable performance of the MLEF algorithm. Additional experiments suggest the amplified benefit of targeted observations in ensemble data assimilation.


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