Evaluation of Uncertainties in Loadings on Offshore Structures due to Extreme Environmental Conditions

1993 ◽  
Vol 115 (4) ◽  
pp. 237-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. G. Bea
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Conditions ◽  
Epistemic Uncertainty ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Offshore Structures ◽  
Ultimate Limit State ◽  
Mackenzie Delta ◽  
Loading Effects ◽  
Load Effects ◽  
Available Information ◽  
Ultimate Limit

This paper summarizes results from a Canadian Standards Association (CSA) sponsored study of the uncertainties associated with extreme (1000 to 10,000-yr return periods) environmental loadings acting on offshore structures (Bea, 1991). The evaluations of the loadings addressed loading effects that resulted from dynamic and nonlinear interactions of the structures. Loading uncertainties were organized and characterized in two categories: 1) inherent randomness (aleatory uncertainty), and 2) analytical variability (epistemic uncertainty). The study addressed the global ultimate limit state performance of three structures designed according to the provisions of the draft CSA guidelines (1989a, 1989b) for offshore structures: 1) a concrete Gravity Base Structure (GBS) located off the East coast of Canada (Hibernia), 2) a steel pile template located on the Scotian Shelf off Sable Island, and 3) a caisson retained island located in the Mackenzie Delta area of the Beaufort Sea (Amuligak). The results of this study indicate that, based on presently available information and data, it is often not possible to develop unambiguous characterizations of uncertainties. The different technical communities that background environmental conditions and forces (storms, earthquakes, ice) recognize and integrate these uncertainties into loading characterizations in different ways. In many cases, major sources of uncertainty are not included in probabilistic characterizations. Because of the needs for design code information sensitivity and consistency in demonstrating compliance with target reliability goals, there is a need for well-organized and definitive evaluations of uncertainties in extreme environmental loadings and load effects (Bitner-Gregersen et al., 1993).

APPLICATION OF UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS TO STABILITY PROBLEMS OF STEEL-CONCRETE STRUCTURAL MEMBERS

2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Libor Puklický ◽  
Zdeněk Kala
Keyword(s):  
Epistemic Uncertainty ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Ultimate Limit State ◽  
Load Carrying Capacity ◽  
Structural Members ◽  
Load Carrying ◽  
Steel Sections ◽  
Limit Stress ◽  
Ultimate Limit

The paper deals with the fuzzy analysis of the ultimate limit state of a steel strut with an encased web in compression. The first part of the paper lists presumptions required for the determination of the theoretical load carrying capacity for the column. Stresses in the concrete and steel sections are determined according to the principles of elasticity. The ultimate limit state is given as the limit stress attained in the most stressed section of either the steel or concrete section. A general extended principle, which takes into account the epistemic uncertainty of input parameters, was utilized for the conducted analysis.

Efficient Evaluation of Long-Term Response for Design of Components of Offshore Structures

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo Mauricio Videiro ◽  
Luis Volnei Sudati Sagrilo
Keyword(s):  
Limit State ◽  
Offshore Structures ◽  
Ultimate Limit State ◽  
Wave Load ◽  
Wave Effects ◽  
Load Effects ◽  
Bracing System ◽  
Term Response ◽  
Tubular Component

This paper compares two approaches for the estimation of long-term response of wave load effects on offshore structures. These approaches are applied to estimate the extreme value of the cross section interaction ratio of a tubular component of the bracing system of a semisubmersible platform. The tubular component is subjected to axial loads and bending moments due to static loads and wave effects. The iteration ratio in the ultimate limit state is defined by applying design criteria derived from API RP-2A LRFD [6]. The approaches are also applied to estimate the long-term response of a single degree of freedom system due to wave actions. The first approach is based on the proposals of Videiro and Moan [3]. The results of the first approach are compared with a new model of long-term response estimation, based on the up-crossing rate distribution of the response process.

Determination of Environmental Conditions Relevant for the Ultimate Limit State at an Exposed Aquaculture Location

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pål Takle Bore ◽  
Jørgen Amdahl
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Conditions ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Ultimate Limit State ◽  
Distribution Method ◽  
Wave Data ◽  
Wave Conditions ◽  
One Year ◽  
Ultimate Limit

Methods for determination of environmental conditions relevant for the ultimate limit state at an exposed aquaculture location are proposed. The considered location is in Frohavet, northwest of Trondheim, Norway. Wind, waves and current are considered, but as more severe wave conditions are expected to be the most influential environmental factor when going from sheltered to more exposed locations, particular focus has been given on the description of wave conditions. The estimated long term description of wind and waves are based on 16 year of SWAN hindcast data, where the wave data have been calibrated against one year of in-situ measurements. One month of current measurements were available. The initial distribution method is used to determine the long term distribution of wind and wave conditions. The data fit the applied distributions well, but the sea state characteristics are seen to be highly directional dependent, which is important to take into account. The effect of using only one year of wave data is also investigated, showing that this can lead to significant underestimation of the extreme values. Concepts from the environmental contour line method are applied for determination of sea states corresponding to a given annual probability of exceedance. A deterministic approach from NS 9415 is used to determine the extreme current velocities. Comments on the use of directional criteria for design are also given.

Estimation of Ultimate Limit Statefor Stiffened-Plates Structures: Applying for a Very Large Ore Carrier Structures Designed by IACS Common Structural Rules

2012 ◽  
Vol 249-250 ◽  
pp. 1012-1018
Author(s):  
Hung Chien Do ◽  
Wei Jiang ◽  
Jian Xin Jin
Keyword(s):  
International Association ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Offshore Structures ◽  
Biaxial Compression ◽  
Stiffened Plates ◽  
Ultimate Limit State ◽  
Ship Structures ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Common Structural Rules ◽  
Ultimate Limit

In advanced marine industry, the reduction in weight of hull structures for a very large object ship plays an important role as the economic efficiency is the most significant aspect. In this paper, we investigate the ultimate strength of structural ship stiffened-plates designed by International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) Common Structural Rules (CSR) methods of collapse state, by applying for ANSYS nonlinear finite element analysis (FEA). Specifically, the ultimate limit assessment methods for the outer bottom of ship structures, which have drawn a significant attention from industrial marine and offshore structures, are proposed to reduce the weight of ship structures. To solve this, we study the structures of a hypothetical Very Large Ore Carrier (VLOC) designed by pre-CSR and CSR methods. In particular, the stiffened-plates under the biaxial compression and lateral pressure loads with simply supported or/and clamped boundary condition(s), the results ultimate limit state assessment performance of Nonlinear FEA methods are shown and compared to various states.

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