Integration of Possibility-Based Optimization and Robust Design for Epistemic Uncertainty

2006 ◽  
Vol 129 (8) ◽  
pp. 876-882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byeng D. Youn ◽  
Kyung K. Choi ◽  
Liu Du ◽  
David Gorsich

In practical engineering applications, there exist two different types of uncertainties: aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. This study attempts to develop a robust design optimization with epistemic uncertainty. For epistemic uncertainties, a possibility-based design optimization improves the failure rate, while a robust design optimization minimizes the product quality loss. In general, product quality loss is described using the first two statistical moments for aleatory uncertainty: mean and standard deviation. However, there is no metric for product quality loss defined when having epistemic uncertainty. This paper first proposes a new metric for product quality loss with epistemic uncertainty, and then a possibility-based robust design optimization. For numerical efficiency and stability, an enriched performance measure approach is employed for possibility-based robust design optimization, and the maximal possibility search is used for a possibility analysis. Three different types of robust objectives are considered for possibility-based robust design optimization: smaller-the-better type (S-Type), larger-the-better type (L-Type), and nominal-the-better type (N-Type). Examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of possibility-based robust design optimization using the proposed metric for product quality loss with epistemic uncertainty.

Author(s):  
Byeng D. Youn ◽  
Kyung K. Choi

Reliability-based robust design optimization deals with two objectives of structural design methodologies subject to various uncertainties: reliability-based design and robust design. A reliability-based design optimization deals with the probability of failure, while a robust design optimization minimizes the product quality loss. In general, the product quality loss is described by using the first two statistical moments: mean and standard deviation. In this paper, a performance moment integration (PMI) method is proposed by using numerical integration scheme for output response to estimate the product quality loss. For the reliability part of the reliability-based robust design optimization, the performance measure approach (PMA) and its numerical method, hybrid-mean value (HMV) method, are used. New formulations of reliability-based robust design optimization are presented for three different types of robust objectives, such as smaller-the-better, larger-the-better, and nominal-the-better types. Examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of reliability-based robust design optimization using the proposed PMI method for different types of robust objective.


Author(s):  
Xiaoping Du

Quality characteristics (QC’s) are often treated static in robust design optimization while many of them are time dependent in reality. It is therefore desirable to define new robustness metrics for time-dependent QC’s. This work shows that using the robustness metrics of static QC’s for those of time-dependent QC’s may lead to erroneous design results. To this end, we propose the criteria of establishing new robustness metrics for time-dependent QC’s and then define new robustness metrics. Instead of using a point expected quality loss over the time period of interest, we use the expectation of the maximal quality loss over the time period to quantify the robustness for time-dependent QC’s. Through a four-bar function generator mechanism analysis, we demonstrate that the new robustness metrics can capture the full information of robustness of a time-dependent QC over a time interval. The new robustness metrics can then be used as objective functions for time-dependent robust design optimization.


2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinpeng Wei ◽  
Xiaoping Du

Abstract Product performance varies with respect to time and space in many engineering applications. This paper discusses how to measure and evaluate the robustness of a product or component when its quality characteristics (QCs) are functions of random variables, random fields, temporal variables, and spatial variables. At first, the existing time-dependent robustness metric is extended to the present time- and space-dependent problem. The robustness metric is derived using the extreme value of the quality characteristics with respect to temporal and spatial variables for the nominal-the-better type quality characteristics. Then, a metamodel-based numerical procedure is developed to evaluate the new robustness metric. The procedure employs a Gaussian Process regression method to estimate the expected quality loss that involves the extreme quality characteristics. The expected quality loss is obtained directly during the regression model building process. Four examples are used to demonstrate the robustness analysis method. The proposed method can be used for robustness analysis during robust design optimization (RDO) under time- and space-dependent uncertainty.


Author(s):  
Ikjin Lee ◽  
Kyung K. Choi ◽  
Liu Du

The objective of reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) is to minimize the product quality loss function subject to probabilistic constraints. Since the quality loss function is usually expressed in terms of the first two statistical moments, mean and variance, many methods have been proposed to accurately and efficiently estimate the moments. Among the methods, the univariate dimension reduction method (DRM), performance moment integration (PMI), and percentile difference method (PDM) are recently proposed methods. In this paper, estimation of statistical moments and their sensitivities are carried out using DRM and compared with results obtained using PMI and PDM. In addition, PMI and DRM are also compared in terms of how accurately and efficiently they estimate the statistical moments and their sensitivities of a performance function. In this comparison, PDM is excluded since PDM could not even accurately estimate the statistical moments of the performance function. Also, robust design optimization using DRM is developed and then compared with the results of RBRDO using PMI and PDM. Several numerical examples are used for the two comparisons. The comparisons show that DRM is efficient when the number of design variables is small and PMI is efficient when the number of design variables is relatively large. For the inverse reliability analysis of reliability-based design, the enriched performance measure approach (PMA+) is used.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
xiongming lai ◽  
Ju Huang ◽  
Cheng Wang ◽  
Yong Zhang

Abstract When carrying out robust design optimization for complex engineering structures, they are computed by finite element software and are always computation-intensive. Aim at this problem, the paper proposes an efficient integrated framework of Reliability-based Robust Design Optimization (RBRDO). Firstly, the conventional RBRDO problem is changed as percentile form, that is, the improved percentile formulation of computing the objective robustness and probabilistic constraints is presented by resorting to the employment of Performance Measure Approach (PMA). Secondly, the above improved RBRDO problem is simplified by a series of new approximation methods due to the need of reducing computation. An efficient approximation method is proposed to estimate PMA functions of the RBRDO formulation. Based on it, the above improved RBRDO problem can be transformed into a sequence of approximate deterministic sub-optimization problems, whose objective function and constraints are expressed as the approximate explicit form only in relation to the design variables. Furthermore, use the trust region method to solve the above sequence of sub-optimization. Lastly, several examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method.


2012 ◽  
Vol 134 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuanfu Tang ◽  
Jianqiao Chen ◽  
Junhong Wei

In practical applications, there may exist a disparity between real values and optimal results due to uncertainties. This kind of disparity may cause violations of some probabilistic constraints in a reliability based design optimization (RBDO) problem. It is important to ensure that the probabilistic constraints at the optimum in a RBDO problem are insensitive to the variations of design variables. In this paper, we propose a novel concept and procedure for reliability based robust design in the context of random uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. The epistemic uncertainty of design variables is first described by an info gap model, and then the reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) is formulated. To reduce the computational burden in solving RBRDO problems, a sequential algorithm using shifting factors is developed. The algorithm consists of a sequence of cycles and each cycle contains a deterministic optimization followed by an inverse robustness and reliability evaluation. The optimal result based on the proposed model satisfies certain reliability requirement and has the feasible robustness to the epistemic uncertainty of design variables. Two examples are presented to demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.


Author(s):  
Xinpeng Wei ◽  
Xiaoping Du

Abstract Product performance varies with respect to time and space in many engineering applications. This work discusses how to measure and evaluate the robustness of a product or component when its quality characteristics are functions of random variables, random fields, temporal variables, and spatial variables. At first, the existing time-dependent robustness metric is extended to the present time- and space-dependent problem. The robustness metric is derived using the extreme value of the quality characteristics with respect to temporal and spatial variables for the nominal-the-better type quality characteristics. Then a metamodel-based numerical procedure is developed to evaluate the new robustness metric. The procedure employs a Gaussian Process regression method to estimate the expected quality loss that involves the extreme quality characteristics. The expected quality loss is obtained directly during the regression model building process. Three examples are used to demonstrate the robustness analysis method. The proposed method can be used for robustness assessment during robust design optimization under time- and space-dependent uncertainty.


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