Mechanistic Model for Spade Drills for Wood Drilling Operations, Part 1: Model Development

2003 ◽  
Vol 125 (2) ◽  
pp. 226-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanxin Zhao ◽  
Kornel F. Ehmann
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Mechanistic Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Calibration Method ◽  
Technical Literature ◽  
Force System ◽  
Force Prediction ◽  
Drilling Operations ◽  
Improved Performance

The purpose of this work is to present an investigation of the force system generated during spade drill-bit drilling processes that is a prerequisite for the design of spade-drills with improved performance. The technical literature offers no references to this type of bit and process; hence an approach based on the well-established mechanistic force prediction methods will be used. The force and torque prediction models are based on a complete analytical model of a generalized spade bit that takes into account the cutting action of all the characteristic cutting edges of the spade bit, namely of its chisel edge, tip and major cutting edges. In conjunction with the model an efficient model calibration method is also introduced and experimentally verified.

Mechanistic Model for Spade Drills for Wood Drilling Operations, Part 2: Analysis of Spade Bit Geometry and Performance

2003 ◽  
Vol 125 (2) ◽  
pp. 236-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanxin Zhao ◽  
Kornel F. Ehmann
Keyword(s):  
Performance Measures ◽  
Thrust Force ◽  
Simulation Analysis ◽  
Mechanistic Model ◽  
Geometric Model ◽  
Analytical Models ◽  
Force System ◽  
Topological Features ◽  
Drilling Operations ◽  
And Performance

In this part of the paper the analytical models for the prediction of the force system, established in Part 1, in conjunction with a complete geometric model of the spade bit, will be used in a systematic simulation analysis of the spade drill’s performance. The aim of this analysis is to identify the most desirable geometric characteristics of the different topological features of the spade bit that would result in desirable performance measures expressed in terms of reduced torque and thrust force. The obtained results are intended to guide the development of more efficient tools of this type.

Local Calibration of Pavement Mechanistic-Empirical Faulting Reliability using Pavement Management Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110013
Author(s):  
Lucio Salles de Salles ◽  
Lev Khazanovich
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Plain Concrete ◽  
Performance Model ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Pavement Design ◽  
Reliability Model ◽  
Transverse Joint ◽  
Design Characteristics ◽  
And Performance

The Pavement ME transverse joint faulting model incorporates mechanistic theories that predict development of joint faulting in jointed plain concrete pavements (JPCP). The model is calibrated using the Long-Term Pavement Performance database. However, the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) encourages transportation agencies, such as state departments of transportation, to perform local calibrations of the faulting model included in Pavement ME. Model calibration is a complicated and effort-intensive process that requires high-quality pavement design and performance data. Pavement management data—which is collected regularly and in large amounts—may present higher variability than is desired for faulting performance model calibration. The MEPDG performance prediction models predict pavement distresses with 50% reliability. JPCP are usually designed for high levels of faulting reliability to reduce likelihood of excessive faulting. For design, improving the faulting reliability model is as important as improving the faulting prediction model. This paper proposes a calibration of the Pavement ME reliability model using pavement management system (PMS) data. It illustrates the proposed approach using PMS data from Pennsylvania Department of Transportation. Results show an increase in accuracy for faulting predictions using the new reliability model with various design characteristics. Moreover, the new reliability model allows design of JPCP considering higher levels of traffic because of the less conservative predictions.

122 A Mechanistic Model of Growth and Amino Acid Deposition in the Pregnant Sow: Model Development, Evaluation, and Application

2021 ◽  
Vol 99 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 55-56
Author(s):  
Christian D Ramirez-Camba ◽  
Crystal L Levesque
Keyword(s):  
Weight Gain ◽  
Amino Acid ◽  
Mechanistic Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Allantoic Fluid ◽  
Late Gestation ◽  
Maternal Body ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Development Evaluation ◽  
Model Weight

Abstract A mechanistic model was developed with the objective to characterize weight gain and essential amino acid (EAA) deposition in the different tissue pools that make up the pregnant sow: placenta, allantoic fluid, amniotic fluid, fetus, uterus, mammary gland, and maternal body were considered. The data used in this modelling approach were obtained from published scientific articles reporting weights, crude protein (CP), and EAA composition in the previously mentioned tissues; studies reporting not less than 5 datapoints across gestation were considered. A total of 12 scientific articles published between 1977 and 2020 were selected for the development of the model and the model was validated using 11 separate scientific papers. The model consists of three connected sub-models: protein deposition (Pd) model, weight gain model, and EAA deposition model. Weight gain, Pd, and EAA deposition curves were developed with nonparametric statistics using splines regression. The validation of the model showed a strong agreement between observed and predicted growth (r2 = 0.92, root mean square error = 3%). The proposed model also offered descriptive insights into the weight gain and Pd during gestation. The model suggests that the definition of time-dependent Pd is more accurately described as an increase in fluid deposition during mid-gestation coinciding with a reduction in Pd. In addition, due to differences in CP composition between pregnancy-related tissues and maternal body, Pd by itself may not be the best measurement criteria for the estimation of EAA requirement in pregnant sows. The proposed model also captures the negative maternal Pd that occurs in late gestation and indicates that litter size influences maternal tissue mobilization more than parity. The model predicts that the EAA requirements in early and mid-gestation are 75, 55 and 50% lower for primiparous sows than parity 2, 3 and 4+ sows, respectively, which suggest the potential benefits of parity segregated feeding.

scholarly journals Viscosity Model for Nanoparticulate Suspensions Based on Surface Interactions

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 2752
Author(s):  
Benedikt Finke ◽  
Clara Sangrós Sangrós Giménez ◽  
Arno Kwade ◽  
Carsten Schilde
Keyword(s):  
Mechanistic Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Rheological Behaviour ◽  
Hybrid Modelling ◽  
Shear Rates ◽  
Drag Forces ◽  
Boehmite Nanoparticles ◽  
Data Points ◽  
Two Parameters ◽  
Physical Phenomena

In this paper, a widely mechanistic model was developed to depict the rheological behaviour of nanoparticulate suspensions with solids contents up to 20 wt.%, based on the increase in shear stress caused by surface interaction forces among particles. The rheological behaviour is connected to drag forces arising from an altered particle movement with respect to the surrounding fluid. In order to represent this relationship and to model the viscosity, a hybrid modelling approach was followed, in which mechanistic relationships were paired with heuristic expressions. A genetic algorithm was utilized during model development, by enabling the algorithm to choose among several hard-to-assess model options. By the combination of the newly developed model with existing models for the various physical phenomena affecting viscosity, it can be applied to model the viscosity over a broad range of solids contents, shear rates, temperatures and particle sizes. Due to its mechanistic nature, the model even allows an extrapolation beyond the limits of the data points used for calibration, allowing a prediction of the viscosity in this area. Only two parameters are required for this purpose. Experimental data of an epoxy resin filled with boehmite nanoparticles were used for calibration and comparison with modelled values.

A Novel Multi-Objective Model Calibration Method for Ecohydrological Applications

2021 ◽  
pp. 105161
Author(s):  
J. Sebastian Hernandez-Suarez ◽  
A. Pouyan Nejadhashemi ◽  
Kalyanmoy Deb
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Calibration Method ◽  
Multi Objective ◽  
Objective Model

scholarly journals Cutting Force Prediction Models by FEA and RSM When Machining X56 Steel with Single Diamond Grit

Micromachines ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 326
Author(s):  
Lan Zhang ◽  
Xianbin Sha ◽  
Ming Liu ◽  
Liquan Wang ◽  
Yongyin Pang
Keyword(s):  
Cutting Force ◽  
Coefficient Of Friction ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Pipeline Steel ◽  
Cutting Speed ◽  
Depth Of Cut ◽  
Cutting Force Prediction ◽  
Force Prediction ◽  
Diamond Wire Saw

In the field of underwater emergency maintenance, submarine pipeline cutting is generally performed by a diamond wire saw. The process, in essence, involves diamond grits distributed on the surface of the beads cutting X56 pipeline steel bit by bit at high speed. To find the effect of the different parameters (cutting speed, coefficient of friction and depth of cut) on cutting force, the finite element (FEA) method and response surface method (RSM) were adopted to obtain cutting force prediction models. The former was based on 64 simulations; the latter was designed according to DoE (Design of Experiments). Confirmation experiments were executed to validate the regression models. The results indicate that most of the prediction errors were within 10%, which were acceptable in engineering. Based on variance analyses of the RSM models, it could be concluded that the depth of the cut played the most important role in determining the cutting force and coefficient the of friction was less influential. Despite making little direct contribution to the cutting force, the cutting speed is not supposed to be high for reducing the coefficient of friction. The cutting force models are instructive in manufacturing the diamond beads by determining the protrusion height of the diamond grits and the future planning of the cutting parameters.

Stepwise improvement of hydrological models using satellite-based evaporation and total water storage estimations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Hrachowitz ◽  
Petra Hulsman ◽  
Hubert Savenije
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Model Structure ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Total Water ◽  
Spatiotemporal Model ◽  
Multiple Variables

<p>Hydrological models are often calibrated with respect to flow observations at the basin outlet. As a result, flow predictions may seem reliable but this is not necessarily the case for the spatiotemporal variability of system-internal processes, especially in large river basins. Satellite observations contain valuable information not only for poorly gauged basins with limited ground observations and spatiotemporal model calibration, but also for stepwise model development. This study explored the value of satellite observations to improve our understanding of hydrological processes through stepwise model structure adaption and to calibrate models both temporally and spatially. More specifically, satellite-based evaporation and total water storage anomaly observations were used to diagnose model deficiencies and to subsequently improve the hydrological model structure and the selection of feasible parameter sets. A distributed, process based hydrological model was developed for the Luangwa river basin in Zambia and calibrated with respect to discharge as benchmark. This model was modified stepwise by testing five alternative hypotheses related to the process of upwelling groundwater in wetlands, which was assumed to be negligible in the benchmark model, and the spatial discretization of the groundwater reservoir. Each model hypothesis was calibrated with respect to 1) discharge and 2) multiple variables simultaneously including discharge and the spatiotemporal variability in the evaporation and total water storage anomalies. The benchmark model calibrated with respect to discharge reproduced this variable well, as also the basin-averaged evaporation and total water storage anomalies. However, the evaporation in wetland dominated areas and the spatial variability in the evaporation and total water storage anomalies were poorly modelled. The model improved the most when introducing upwelling groundwater flow from a distributed groundwater reservoir and calibrating it with respect to multiple variables simultaneously. This study showed satellite-based evaporation and total water storage anomaly observations provide valuable information for improved understanding of hydrological processes through stepwise model development and spatiotemporal model calibration.</p>

CORRECTION OF PREDICTION MODEL OUTPUT–APPLICATION TO GENERAL CORROSION MODEL

2021 ◽  
Vol 156 (A4) ◽  
Author(s):  
N Hifi ◽  
N Barltrop
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Model Calibration ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
General Corrosion ◽  
Model Output ◽  
Reliability Models ◽  
Corrosion Model ◽  
Recorded Data

This paper applies a newly developed methodology to calibrate the corrosion model within a structural reliability analysis. The methodology combines data from experience (measurements and expert judgment) and prediction models to adjust the structural reliability models. Two corrosion models published in the literature have been used to demonstrate the technique used for the model calibration. One model is used as a prediction for a future degradation and a second one to represent the inspection recorded data. The results of the calibration process are presented and discussed.

scholarly journals Development and validation of clinical prediction models for mortality, functional outcome and cognitive impairment after stroke: a study protocol

BMJ Open ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. e014607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marion Fahey ◽  
Anthony Rudd ◽  
Yannick Béjot ◽  
Charles Wolfe ◽  
Abdel Douiri
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Functional Outcome ◽  
Multilevel Models ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Model Development ◽  
College Hospital ◽  
Stroke Registry ◽  
Temporal Validation ◽  
Stroke Register

IntroductionStroke is a leading cause of adult disability and death worldwide. The neurological impairments associated with stroke prevent patients from performing basic daily activities and have enormous impact on families and caregivers. Practical and accurate tools to assist in predicting outcome after stroke at patient level can provide significant aid for patient management. Furthermore, prediction models of this kind can be useful for clinical research, health economics, policymaking and clinical decision support.Methods2869 patients with first-ever stroke from South London Stroke Register (SLSR) (1995–2004) will be included in the development cohort. We will use information captured after baseline to construct multilevel models and a Cox proportional hazard model to predict cognitive impairment, functional outcome and mortality up to 5 years after stroke. Repeated random subsampling validation (Monte Carlo cross-validation) will be evaluated in model development. Data from participants recruited to the stroke register (2005–2014) will be used for temporal validation of the models. Data from participants recruited to the Dijon Stroke Register (1985–2015) will be used for external validation. Discrimination, calibration and clinical utility of the models will be presented.EthicsPatients, or for patients who cannot consent their relatives, gave written informed consent to participate in stroke-related studies within the SLSR. The SLSR design was approved by the ethics committees of Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, Kings College Hospital, Queens Square and Westminster Hospitals (London). The Dijon Stroke Registry was approved by the Comité National des Registres and the InVS and has authorisation of the Commission Nationale de l’Informatique et des Libertés.

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