Flood Risk Pattern Recognition Using Chemometric Technique: A Case Study In Kuantan River Basin

2014 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Shakir Mohd Saudi ◽  
Hafizan Juahir ◽  
Azman Azid ◽  
Mohd Khairul Amri Kamarudin ◽  
Mohd Fadhil Kasim ◽  
...  

Integrated Chemometric and Artificial Neural Network were being applied in this study to identify the main contributor for flood, predicting hydrological modelling and risk of flood occurrence at the Kuantan river basin. Based on the Correlation Test analysis, the relationship for Suspended Solid and Stream Flow with Water Level were very high with Pearson correlation of coefficient value more than 0.5. Factor Analysis had been carried out and based on the result, variables such as Stream Flow, Suspended Solid and Water Level turned out to be the major factors and had a strong factor pattern with the results of factor score with >0.7 respectively. Time series analysis was being employed and the limitation had been set up where the Upper Control Limit for Stream Flow, Suspended Solid and Water Level where at this level, it was predicted by using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to be High Risk Class. The accuracy of prediction from this method stood at 97.8%.

2015 ◽  
Vol 74 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Shakir Mohd Saudi ◽  
Azman Azid ◽  
Hafizan Juahir ◽  
Mohd Ekhwan Toriman ◽  
Mohammad Azizi Amran ◽  
...  

Flood is a major problem in Johor river basin, which normally happened during monsoon season. However in this study, it shows that rainfall did not have a strong relationship for the changes of water level compared to suspended solid and stream flow, where both variables have p-values of <0.0001 and these variables also became the main factors in contributing to the flood occurrence based on Factor Analysis result. Time Series Analysis was being carried out and based on Statistical Process Control, the limitation has been set up for mitigation in controlling flood. All data beyond the Upper Control Limit was predicted to have High Risk to face flood and Emergency Response Plan should be implemented to prevent complication and destruction because of flood. The prediction for the risk level was carried out using the application of Artificial Neural Network (ANN), where the accuracy of prediction was very high, with the result of 96% for the level of accuracy in the prediction of risk class.


The correct assessment of amount of sediment during design, management and operation of water resources projects is very important. Efficiency of dam has been reduced due to sedimentation which is built for flood control, irrigation, power generation etc. There are traditional methods for the estimation of sediment are available but these cannot provide the accurate results because of involvement of very complex variables and processes. One of the best suitable artificial intelligence technique for modeling this phenomenon is artificial neural network (ANN). In the current study ANN techniques used for simulation monthly suspended sediment load at Vijayawada gauging station in Krishna river basin, Andhra Pradesh, India. Trial & error method were used during the optimization of parameters that are involved in this model. Estimation of suspended sediment load (SSL) is done using water discharge and water level data as inputs. The water discharge, water level and sediment load is collected from January 1966 to December 2005. This approach is used for modelled the SSL. By considering the results, ANN has the satisfactory performance and more accurate results in the simulation of monthly SSL for the study location.


Author(s):  
Samuel Lucky Arubi ◽  
Bibobra Ikporo ◽  
Sunday Igbani ◽  
Ann Obuebute ◽  
Sylvester Okotie

2010 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Othman Jaafar ◽  
Mohd Ekhwan Hj. Toriman ◽  
Mushrifah Hj. Idris ◽  
S.A. Sharifah M ◽  
Hafizan Hj. Juahir ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 255-260 ◽  
pp. 3620-3625
Author(s):  
Hai Wei ◽  
Hua Shu Yang ◽  
Liang Wu ◽  
Yue Gui

There are many factors, such as climate, flood, material, geology, structure, management, to influence dam safety. So dam safety evaluation, involving many fields, is very complicated, and very difficult to establish mathematic model for assessment. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has many obvious advantages to deal with these problems influenced by multi-factor, consequently is widely used in engineering fields. This paper considered water level, temperature, main factors influencing dam deformation, as random variables, employed ANN and statistical model to establish performance function of dam hidden trouble deformation and abnormal deformation. Then reliability theory was used to analyze dam safety reliability and sensitivity. The results show that temperature has great effect on probability of dam hidden trouble deformation and abnormal deformation than reservoir water level, due to great variability of temperature. Change of Reliability index of dam is contrary to reservoir water level. Temperature, especially average temperature in 10 days and 5 days, has great effect on sensitivity of reliability index than water level.


Proceedings ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 578
Author(s):  
Thomas Papalaskaris ◽  
Theologos Panagiotidis

Only a few scientific research studies with reference to extremely low stream flow conditions, have been conducted in Greece, so far. Forecasting future low stream flow rate values is a crucial and desicive task when conducting drought and watershed management plans, designing water reservoirs and general hydraulic works capacity, calculating hydrological and drought low flow indices, separating groundwater base flow and storm flow of storm hydrographs etc. Artificial Neural Network modeling simulation method generates artificial time series of simulated values of a random (hydrological in this specific case) variable. The present study produces artificial low stream flow time series of both a part of the past year (2016) as well as the present year (2017) considering the stream flow data observed during two different respecting interval period of the years 2016 and 2017. We compiled an Artificial Neural Network to simulate low stream flow rate data, acquired at a certain location of the partly regulated semi-urban stream which runs through the eastern exit of Kavala city, NE Greece, using a 3-inches U.S.G.S. modified portable Parshall flume, a 3-inches conventional portable Parshall flume, a 3-inches portable Montana (short Parshall) flume and a 90° V-notched triangular shaped sharp crested portable weir plate. The observed data were plotted against the predicted one and the results were demonstrated through interactive tables providing us the ability to effectively evaluate the ANN model simulation procedure performance. Finally, we plot the recorded against the simulated low stream flow rate data, compiling a log-log scale chart which provides a better visualization of the discrepancy ratio statistical performance metrics and calculate the derived model statistics featuring the comparison between the recorded and the forecasted low stream flow rate data.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Parsa Ghannadi ◽  
Seyed Sina Kourehli

This article proposes a new damage detection method using Modal Test Analysis Model and artificial neural networks. A challenge in damage detection problems is lack of measured degrees of freedom, as well as limitations of attached sensors. Modal Test Analysis Model has been used in order to estimate unmeasured degrees of freedom. An experimental cantilever beam was used to show Modal Test Analysis Model’s efficiency in estimation of unmeasured mode shapes. To solve the inverse problem of damage detection, mode shapes estimated by Modal Test Analysis Model were used as inputs, and characteristics of the damage served as outputs of the artificial neural network. The sensitivity analysis carried out for each example showing the performance of artificial neural network after mode shape expansion was efficiently improved. Three numerical examples for plane and space truss structures are considered, in order to verify effectiveness of the proposed method. Results demonstrate a high accuracy of Modal Test Analysis Model and artificial neural network for structural damage detection.


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