scholarly journals The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: A prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabel M.A. Brüggenwirth ◽  
Maureen J.M. Werner ◽  
René Adam ◽  
Wojciech G. Polak ◽  
Vincent Karam ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Adult Liver ◽  
Liver Retransplantation

scholarly journals Integrated analysis of methylation-driven genes and pretreatment prognostic factors in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongsheng He ◽  
Shengyin Liao ◽  
Lifang Cai ◽  
Weiming Huang ◽  
Xuehua Xie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
The Cancer Genome Atlas ◽  
Integrated Analysis ◽  
Calibration Plot ◽  
Clinical Parameters ◽  
T Stage

Abstract Background The potential reversibility of aberrant DNA methylation indicates an opportunity for oncotherapy. This study aimed to integrate methylation-driven genes and pretreatment prognostic factors and then construct a new individual prognostic model in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Methods The gene methylation, gene expression dataset and clinical information of HCC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Methylation-driven genes were screened with a Pearson’s correlation coefficient less than − 0.3 and a P value less than 0.05. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to construct a risk score model and identify independent prognostic factors from the clinical parameters of HCC patients. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) technique was used to construct a nomogram that might act to predict an individual’s OS, and then C-index, ROC curve and calibration plot were used to test the practicability. The correlation between clinical parameters and core methylation-driven genes of HCC patients was explored with Student’s t-test. Results In this study, 44 methylation-driven genes were discovered, and three prognostic signatures (LCAT, RPS6KA6, and C5orf58) were screened to construct a prognostic risk model of HCC patients. Five clinical factors, including T stage, risk score, cancer status, surgical method and new tumor events, were identified from 13 clinical parameters as pretreatment-independent prognostic factors. To avoid overfitting, LASSO analysis was used to construct a nomogram that could be used to calculate the OS in HCC patients. The C-index was superior to that from previous studies (0.75 vs 0.717, 0.676). Furthermore, LCAT was found to be correlated with T stage and new tumor events, and RPS6KA6 was found to be correlated with T stage. Conclusion We identified novel therapeutic targets and constructed an individual prognostic model that can be used to guide personalized treatment in HCC patients.

scholarly journals Identification of a two-gene prognostic model associated with cytolytic activity for colon cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoye Jiang ◽  
Zhongxiang Jiang ◽  
Lichun Xiang ◽  
Xuenuo Chen ◽  
Jiao Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Immune Checkpoint ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction ◽  
Cytolytic Activity ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Aberrant Expression ◽  
Immune Activity

Abstract Background Increasing evidence has shown that cytolytic activity (CYT) is a new immunotherapy biomarker that characterises the antitumour immune activity of cytotoxic T cells and macrophages. In this study, we established a prognostic model associated with CYT. Methods A prognostic model based on CYT-related genes was developed. Furthermore, aberrant expression of genes of the model in colon cancer (CC) was identified by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) and immunohistochemistry (IHC) assays. Next, the correlation between the model and T-cell infiltration in the CC microenvironment was analysed. The Tumour Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE) algorithm and subclass mapping were used to predict clinical responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Results In total, 280 of the 1418 genes were differentially expressed based on CYT. A prognostic model (including HOXC8 and MS4A2) was developed based on CYT-related genes. The model was validated using the testing set, the whole set and a Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohort (GSE41258). Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and other analyses showed that the levels of immune infiltration and antitumour immune activation in low-risk-score tumours were greater than those in high-risk-score tumours. CC patients with a low-risk-score showed more promise in the response to anti-immune checkpoint therapy. Conclusions Overall, our model may precisely predict the overall survival of CC and reflect the strength of antitumour immune activity in the CC microenvironment. Furthermore, the model may be a predictive factor for the response to immunotherapy.

scholarly journals A prognostic model based on seven immune-related genes predicts the overall survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Yan ◽  
Wenjiang Zheng ◽  
Boqing Wang ◽  
Baoqian Ye ◽  
Huiyan Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Immune Cells ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prognostic Performance ◽  
Immune Related Genes

Abstract Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a disease with a high incidence and a poor prognosis. Growing amounts of evidence have shown that the immune system plays a critical role in the biological processes of HCC such as progression, recurrence, and metastasis, and some have discussed using it as a weapon against a variety of cancers. However, the impact of immune-related genes (IRGs) on the prognosis of HCC remains unclear. Methods Based on The Cancer Gene Atlas (TCGA) and Immunology Database and Analysis Portal (ImmPort) datasets, we integrated the ribonucleic acid (RNA) sequencing profiles of 424 HCC patients with IRGs to calculate immune-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Survival analysis was used to establish a prognostic model of survival- and immune-related DEGs. Based on genomic and clinicopathological data, we constructed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of HCC patients. Gene set enrichment analysis further clarified the signalling pathways of the high-risk and low-risk groups constructed based on the IRGs in HCC. Next, we evaluated the correlation between the risk score and the infiltration of immune cells, and finally, we validated the prognostic performance of this model in the GSE14520 dataset. Results A total of 100 immune-related DEGs were significantly associated with the clinical outcomes of patients with HCC. We performed univariate and multivariate least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression analyses on these genes to construct a prognostic model of seven IRGs (Fatty Acid Binding Protein 6 (FABP6), Microtubule-Associated Protein Tau (MAPT), Baculoviral IAP Repeat Containing 5 (BIRC5), Plexin-A1 (PLXNA1), Secreted Phosphoprotein 1 (SPP1), Stanniocalcin 2 (STC2) and Chondroitin Sulfate Proteoglycan 5 (CSPG5)), which showed better prognostic performance than the tumour/node/metastasis (TNM) staging system. Moreover, we constructed a regulatory network related to transcription factors (TFs) that further unravelled the regulatory mechanisms of these genes. According to the median value of the risk score, the entire TCGA cohort was divided into high-risk and low-risk groups, and the low-risk group had a better overall survival (OS) rate. To predict the OS rate of HCC, we established a gene- and clinical factor-related nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve showed that this model had moderate accuracy. The correlation analysis between the risk score and the infiltration of six common types of immune cells showed that the model could reflect the state of the immune microenvironment in HCC tumours. Conclusion Our IRG prognostic model was shown to have value in the monitoring, treatment, and prognostic assessment of HCC patients and could be used as a survival prediction tool in the near future.

A Six CT83-Related Genes Based Prognostic Signature for Lung Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongmei Wang ◽  
Guimin Zhang ◽  
Ruixian Wang
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Differential Expression ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Differential Expression Analysis ◽  
Functional Enrichment ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Background: This study aims to explore the prognostic values of CT83 and CT83-related genes in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Methods: We downloaded the mRNA profiles of 513 LUAD patients (RNA sequencing data) and 246 NSCLC patients (Affymetrix Human Genome U133 Plus 2.0 Array) from TCGA and GEO databases. According to the median expression of CT83, the TCGA samples were divided into high and low expression groups, and differential expression analysis between them was performed. Functional enrichment analysis of differential expression genes (DEGs) was conducted. Univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO Cox regression analysis were performed to screen the optimal prognostic DEGs. Then we established the prognostic model. A Nomogram model was constructed to predict the overall survival (OS) probability of LUAD patients. Results: CT83 expression was significantly correlated to the prognosis of LUAD patients. A total of 59 DEGs were identified, and a predictive model was constructed based on six optimal CT83-related DEGs, including CPS1, RHOV, TNNT1, FAM83A, IGF2BP1, and GRIN2A, could effectively predict the prognosis of LUAD patients. The nomogram could reliably predict the OS of LUAD patients. Moreover, the six important immune checkpoints (CTLA4, PD1, IDO1, TDO2, LAG3, and TIGIT) were closely correlated with the Risk Score, which was also differentially expressed between the LUAD samples with high and low-Risk Scores, suggesting that the poor prognosis of LUAD patients with high-Risk Score might be due to the immunosuppressive microenvironments. Conclusion: A prognostic model based on six optimal CT83 related genes could effectively predict the prognosis of LUAD patients.

scholarly journals An Immune Risk Score Predicts Survival of Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndrome

Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 33-34
Author(s):  
Yang Liang ◽  
Fang Hu ◽  
Yu-Jun Dai ◽  
Yun Wang ◽  
Huan Li
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Myelodysplastic Syndrome ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Validation Cohort ◽  
Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Type I ◽  
Immune Gene ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Immune Score

Background: Myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) was characterized as ineffective hematopoiesis, increased transformation to acute myeloid leukemia (AML), and accompanied by immune system dysfunction. However, the immune signature of MDS remains elusive. Methods: The clinical data (age, sex, international prognostic score system (IPSS), hemoglobin, blast, RBC transfusion dependence, and corresponding subject-level survival) as well as expression profiles of MDS (CD34+ cells) were obtained from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO: GSE 58831; GSE 114922). A robust prognosis model of immune genes was constructed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. Survival analysis for prognostic model was carried out through the Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-rank test. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of prognostic models. Immune score for different subtype were calculated further by single sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA). Result: A novel robust immune gene prognostic model indicate that subtype with lower risk score were longer overall survival (OS) than subtype with higher risk score in training cohort (Figure1 A, C). The model was further verified by the validation cohort (Figure1 B, D). The multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated the model was an independent prognostic factor for OS prediction with hazard ratios of 56.694 (95% CIs: 9.038−355.648), 3.009 (95% CIs: 1.042−8.692) both in train cohort and external validation cohort respectively (Figure1 G, H). The AUC of 5- year were 0.92 (95% CIs: 0.86 - 0.97) and 0.7 (95% CIs: 0.51 - 0.89) for OS respectively in training cohort and validation cohort (Figure1 E, F). Furthermore, ssGSEA showed higher risk score subtype was significantly associated with higher immune score of check point, human leukocyte antigen (HLA), T cell co-inhibition and type I interferon (IFN) response (Figure1 K-N), which indicating that the poor outcome might be caused by tumor-associated immune response dysfunction partly. Conclusion: We constructed a robust immune gene prognostic model, which have a potential prognostic value for MDS patients and may provide evidence for personalized immunotherapy. Figure Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals Construction and Validation of a Metabolic Reprogramming Related Prognostic Model for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohong - Liu ◽  
Qian - Xu ◽  
Zi-Jing - Li ◽  
Bin - Xiong
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Expression Profiles ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Metabolic Reprogramming ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Metabolic Genes

Abstract BackgroundMetabolic reprogramming is an important hallmark in the development of malignancies. Numerous metabolic genes have been demonstrated to participate in the progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the prognostic significance of the metabolic genes in HCC remains elusive. MethodsWe downloaded the gene expression profiles and clinical information from the GEO, TCGA and ICGC databases. The differently expressed metabolic genes were identified by using Limma R package. Univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO (Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) Cox regression analysis were utilized to uncover the prognostic significance of metabolic genes. A metabolism-related prognostic model was constructed in TCGA cohort and validated in ICGC cohort. Furthermore, we constructed a nomogram to improve the accuracy of the prognostic model by using the multivariate Cox regression analysis.ResultsThe high-risk score predicted poor prognosis for HCC patients in the TCGA cohort, as confirmed in the ICGC cohort (P < 0.001). And in the multivariate Cox regression analysis, we observed that risk score could act as an independent prognostic factor for the TCGA cohort (HR (hazard ratio) 3.635, 95% CI (confidence interval)2.382-5.549) and the ICGC cohort (HR1.905, 95%CI 1.328-2.731). In addition, we constructed a nomogram for clinical use, which suggested a better prognostic model than risk score.ConclusionsOur study identified several metabolic genes with important prognostic value for HCC. These metabolic genes can influence the progression of HCC by regulating tumor biology and can also provide metabolic targets for the precise treatment of HCC.

scholarly journals Integrated Analysis of Methylation-driven Genes and Pretreatment Prognostic Factors in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongsheng He ◽  
Lifang Cai ◽  
Weiming Huang ◽  
Xuehua Xie ◽  
Mengxing You ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
The Cancer Genome Atlas ◽  
Integrated Analysis ◽  
Calibration Plot ◽  
Clinical Parameters ◽  
T Stage

Abstract Background: The potential reversibility of aberrant DNA methylation indicates an opportunity for oncotherapy. This study aimed to integrate methylation-driven genes and pretreatment prognostic factors and then construct a new individual prognostic model in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.Methods: The gene methylation, gene expression dataset and clinical information of HCC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Methylation-driven genes were screened with a Pearson’s correlation coefficient less than -0.3 and a P value less than 0.05. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to construct a risk score model and identify independent prognostic factors from the clinical parameters of HCC patients. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) technique was used to construct a nomogram that might act to predict an individual’s OS, and then C-index, ROC curve and calibration plot were used to test the practicability. The correlation between clinical parameters and core methylation-driven genes of HCC patients was explored with Student’s t-test.Results: In this study, 44 methylation-driven genes were discovered, and three prognostic signatures (LCAT, RPS6KA6, and C5orf58) were screened to construct a prognostic risk model of HCC patients. Five clinical factors, including T stage, risk score, cancer status, surgical method and new tumor events, were identified from 13 clinical parameters as pretreatment-independent prognostic factors. To avoid overfitting, LASSO analysis was used to construct a nomogram that could be used to calculate the OS in HCC patients. The C-index was superior to that from previous studies (0.75 vs 0.717, 0.676). Furthermore, LCAT was found to be correlated with T stage and new tumor events, and RPS6KA6 was found to be correlated with T stage.Conclusion: We identified novel therapeutic targets and constructed an individual prognostic model that can be used to guide personalized treatment in HCC patients.

scholarly journals Identification and validation of a pyroptosis-related prognostic signature for thyroid cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pu Wu ◽  
Jinyuan Shi ◽  
Wei Sun ◽  
Hao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Thyroid Cancer ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prognostic Signature ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background Pyroptosis is a form of programmed cell death triggered by inflammasomes. However, the roles of pyroptosis-related genes in thyroid cancer (THCA) remain still unclear. Objective This study aimed to construct a pyroptosis-related signature that could effectively predict THCA prognosis and survival. Methods A LASSO Cox regression analysis was performed to build a prognostic model based on the expression profile of each pyroptosis-related gene. The predictive value of the prognostic model was validated in the internal cohort. Results A pyroptosis-related signature consisting of four genes was constructed to predict THCA prognosis and all patients were classified into high- and low-risk groups. Patients with a high-risk score had a poorer overall survival (OS) than those in the low-risk group. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves assessed and verified the predictive performance of this signature. Multivariate analysis showed the risk score was an independent prognostic factor. Tumor immune cell infiltration and immune status were significantly higher in low-risk groups, which indicated a better response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Of the four pyroptosis-related genes in the prognostic signature, qRT-PCR detected three of them with significantly differential expression in THCA tissues. Conclusion In summary, our pyroptosis-related risk signature may have an effective predictive and prognostic capability in THCA. Our results provide a potential foundation for future studies of the relationship between pyroptosis and the immunotherapy response.

scholarly journals Development of a Novel Simple Model to Predict Mortality in Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinyan Guo ◽  
Zhen Huang ◽  
Maoxin Huang ◽  
Yujie He ◽  
Bing Han ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Systemic Lupus Erythematosus ◽  
Intensive Care Unit ◽  
Intensive Care ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Lupus Erythematosus ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Systemic Lupus ◽  
Icu Mortality

Background: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) may sometimes require admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and the outcome is poor. The aim of this study was to explore the clinical features of patients with SLE in the ICU, identify prognostic factors, and develop and evaluate a prognostic model to predict in-ICU mortality of patients with SLE.Patients and Methods: This was a single center retrospective study in a tertiary medical institution in China. A total of 480 SLE patients with 505 ICU admissions from 2010 to 2019 were screened, and 391 patients were enrolled. The clinical feature and outcomes of the patients were analyzed. According to the random number table, patients were divided into two mutually exclusively groups named derivation (n = 293) and validation (n = 98). Prognostic factors were identified by a Cox model with Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation and evaluated by latent analysis. The risk score was developed based on the derivation group and evaluated using the validation group.Results: Among the 391 patients, 348 (89.0%) patients were females. The median age of patients was 34 years, and the median course of SLE was 6 months. The median APACHE II and SLEDAI were 17 and 10, respectively. The average in-ICU mortality was 53.4% (95% CI, 48.5–58.4%). A total of 186 patients were admitted to the ICU due to infection. Pneumonia (320/391, 81.8%) was the most common clinical manifestation, followed by renal disease (246/391, 62.9%). Nine prognostic factors were identified. The model had C statistic of 0.912 (95% CI, 0.889–0.948) and 0.807 (95% CI 0.703–0.889), with predictive range of 5.2–98.3% and 6.3–94.7% for the derivation and validation groups, respectively. Based on distribution of the risk score, 25.3, 49.5, and 25.2% of patients were stratified into the high, average, and low-risk groups, with corresponding in-ICU mortality of 0.937, 0.593, and 0.118, respectively.Conclusion: Nine prognostic factors including age, white blood cell count, alanine transaminase, uric acid, intracranial infection, shock, intracranial hemorrhage, respiratory failure, and cyclosporin A/tacrolimus usage were identified. A prognostic model was developed and evaluated to predict in-ICU mortality of patients with SLE. These findings may help clinicians to prognostically stratify patients into different risk groups of in-ICU mortality, and provide patients with intensive and targeted management.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document