Coseismic Coulomb stress changes imparted by the 1996 Minahasa M w7.9 earthquake on the 2018 Palu M w7.5 earthquake and expected seismicity rate changes

Terra Nova ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-52
Author(s):  
Dongning Lei ◽  
Jianchao Wu ◽  
Gang Yang
2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 1157
Author(s):  
M. K. Leptokaropoulos ◽  
E. E. Papadimitriou ◽  
B. Orlecka–Sikora ◽  
G. V. Karakostas ◽  
F. Vallianatos

The Dieterich (1994) Rate/State formulation was applied for the seismicity rate changes in the western part of the Hellenic arc to be investigated. The completeness magnitude of the shallow seismicity (h<60km) was firstly evaluated for different time windows. The spatio-temporal changes of these seismicity rates (reference rates) were studied then for the interevent periods between successive strong(M≥6.0) earthquakes. These changes were correlated with the Coulomb stress changes (ΔCFF) produced by the stronger events, through a Rate/State model which incorporates physical parameters associated with fault dynamics such as the tectonic stressing rate, fault constitutive parameters and frictional response of the rupture zones. The influence of the former parameters in the model performance wastested by evaluating the linear correlation coefficient between modeled and real earthquake production rates along with their confidence limits. Application of different parameter values was attempted for the sensitivity of the calculated seismicity rates and their fit to the real data to be tested. Given the geographical peculiarity of the Hellenic Subduction zone, that yields to high uncertainties in the earthquake focal parameter determination, the results demonstrate that the present formulation and the available data sets are sufficient enough to contribute to a robust seismic hazard assessment. 


2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 2093
Author(s):  
K. M. Leptokaropoulos ◽  
E. E. Papadimitriou ◽  
B. Orlecka–Sikora ◽  
V. G. Karakostas

The region of northern Aegean has suffered several strong earthquakes since the beginning of the 20th century, causing extensive damage and loss of lives. For the seismic hazard assessment in the area, several studies have been accomplished, among them being the ones dealing with the Coulomb stress changes due to the seismic slip caused by major earthquakes, in addition with the constant tectonic loading on the major regional faults. The aim of the present study is to evaluate if seismicity rate changes from 1964 to 2008 are associated with changes in the stress field. For this purpose the stronger events (Μw>5.8) that occurred in this period were considered and their contribution to the stress field evolution was investigated by calculations performed just before and after their occurrence. This influence was then examined in connection with the occurrence rate of small events (Μw > 3.8) for the respective time intervals. After defining the probability density function (PDF) of the small events distribution, a rate/state model was used to correlate static stress changes with seismicity rate and to compare the observed with the expected seismicity rate for each time period.


Author(s):  
R. Alac Barut ◽  
J. Trinder ◽  
C. Rizos

On August 17&lt;sup&gt;th&lt;/sup&gt; 1999, a M&lt;sub&gt;w&lt;/sub&gt; 7.4 earthquake struck the city of Izmit in the north-west of Turkey. This event was one of the most devastating earthquakes of the twentieth century. The epicentre of the Izmit earthquake was on the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) which is one of the most active right-lateral strike-slip faults on earth. However, this earthquake offers an opportunity to study how strain is accommodated in an inter-segment region of a large strike slip fault. In order to determine the Izmit earthquake post-seismic effects, the authors modelled Coulomb stress changes of the aftershocks, as well as using the deformation measurement techniques of Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). The authors have shown that InSAR and GNSS observations over a time period of three months after the earthquake combined with Coulomb Stress Change Modelling can explain the fault zone expansion, as well as the deformation of the northern region of the NAF. It was also found that there is a strong agreement between the InSAR and GNSS results for the post-seismic phases of investigation, with differences less than 2mm, and the standard deviation of the differences is less than 1mm.


2014 ◽  
Vol 971-973 ◽  
pp. 2172-2175
Author(s):  
Dong Ning Lei ◽  
Jian Chao Wu ◽  
Yong Jian Cai

TheCoulomb stress changes are usually adopted to make analysis on faultinteractions and stress triggering. This paper mainly deals with Coulomb stresschange of mainshock and affect on aftershocks. We preliminarily conclude thatthe mainshock produce Coulomb stress change on aftershocks most behavingpositive and triggered them. By calculating it is obvious that more aftershocksfell into stress increasing area and triggering percentage is up to ninety ofmaximum and seventy-one of minimum.


2015 ◽  
Vol 173 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. M. Leptokaropoulos ◽  
E. E. Papadimitriou ◽  
B. Orlecka–Sikora ◽  
V. G. Karakostas

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-34
Author(s):  
Xiong-lin Hu ◽  
Xiao-ping Wu ◽  
Run-hai Yang ◽  
Hong Fu ◽  
Jia-fu Hu ◽  
...  

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