Global potential distribution of three underappreciated arboviruses vectors ( Aedes japonicus , Ae. vexans, and Ae. vittatus ) under current and future climate conditions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Outammassine Abdelkrim ◽  
Zouhair Said ◽  
Loqman Souad
Keyword(s):  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Aedes Japonicus ◽  
Climate Conditions

scholarly journals Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuezhen Ge ◽  
Chao Jiang ◽  
Linghong Chen ◽  
Shuang Qiu ◽  
Yuxiang Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Climate Conditions

scholarly journals Climate change and the potential distribution of Xylella fastidiosa in Europe

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Godefroid ◽  
Astrid Cruaud ◽  
Jean-Claude Streito ◽  
Jean-Yves Rasplus ◽  
Jean-Pierre Rossi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Integrated Management ◽  
Xylella Fastidiosa ◽  
Agricultural Practices ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Climate Conditions

AbstractThe bacterium Xylella fastidiosa (Xf) is a plant endophyte native to the Americas that causes worldwide concern. Xf has been recently detected in several regions outside its natural range including Europe. In that context, accurate estimates of its response to climate change are required to design cost-efficient and environment-friendly control strategies. In the present study, we collected data documenting the native and invaded ranges of the three main subspecies of Xf: fastidiosa, pauca and multiplex, as well as two strains of Xf subsp. multiplex recently detected in southern France (ST6 and ST7). We fitted bioclimatic species distribution models (SDMs) to forecast their potential geographic range and impact in Europe under current and future climate conditions. According to model predictions, the geographical range of Xf as presently reported in Europe is small compared to the large extent of suitable areas. The European regions most threatened by Xf encompass the Mediterranean coastal areas of Spain, Greece, Italy and France, the Atlantic coastal areas of France, Portugal and Spain as well as the south-western regions of Spain and lowlands in southern Italy. Potential distribution of the different subspecies / strains are contrasted but all are predicted to increase by 2050, which could threaten several of the most economically important wine-, olive- and fruit-producing regions of Europe, warranting the design of control strategies. Bioclimatic models also predict that the subspecies multiplex might represent a threat to most of Europe under current and future climate conditions. These results may serve as a basis for future design of a spatially informed European-scale integrated management strategy, including early detection surveys in plants and insect vectors, quarantine measures as well as agricultural practices.

Design of a rubble mound breakwater under the combined effect of wave heights and water levels, under present and future climate conditions

2021 ◽  
Vol 112 ◽  
pp. 102711
Author(s):  
Soheil Radfar ◽  
Mehdi Shafieefar ◽  
Hassan Akbari ◽  
Panagiota A. Galiatsatou ◽  
Ahmad Rezaee Mazyak
Keyword(s):  
Water Levels ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Combined Effect ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Wave Heights ◽  
Rubble Mound

scholarly journals Projections for Mexico’s Tropical Rainforests Considering Ecological Niche and Climate Change

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Antonio Fidel Santos-Hernández ◽  
Alejandro Ismael Monterroso-Rivas ◽  
Diódoro Granados-Sánchez ◽  
Antonio Villanueva-Morales ◽  
Malinali Santacruz-Carrillo
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Ecological Niche ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Tropical Rainforest ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Tropical Regions ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Ecological Importance

The tropical rainforest is one of the lushest and most important plant communities in Mexico’s tropical regions, yet its potential distribution has not been studied in current and future climate conditions. The aim of this paper was to propose priority areas for conservation based on ecological niche and species distribution modeling of 22 species with the greatest ecological importance at the climax stage. Geographic records were correlated with bioclimatic temperature and precipitation variables using Maxent and Kuenm software for each species. The best Maxent models were chosen based on statistical significance, complexity and predictive power, and current potential distributions were obtained from these models. Future potential distributions were projected with two climate change scenarios: HADGEM2_ES and GFDL_CM3 models and RCP 8.5 W/m2 by 2075–2099. All potential distributions for each scenario were then assembled for further analysis. We found that 14 tropical rainforest species have the potential for distribution in 97.4% of the landscape currently occupied by climax vegetation (0.6% of the country). Both climate change scenarios showed a 3.5% reduction in their potential distribution and possible displacement to higher elevation regions. Areas are proposed for tropical rainforest conservation where suitable bioclimatic conditions are expected to prevail.

Spatial distribution modeling of the wild boar (Sus scrofa) under current and future climate conditions in Iraq

Biologia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nabaz R. Khwarahm ◽  
Korsh Ararat ◽  
Barham A. HamadAmin ◽  
Peshawa M. Najmaddin ◽  
Azad Rasul ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Wild Boar ◽  
Sus Scrofa ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Distribution Modeling
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