scholarly journals STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONS: CHECKING IDENTIFYING LONG-RUN RESTRICTIONS VIA HETEROSKEDASTICITY

2014 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 377-392 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helmut Lütkepohl ◽  
Anton Velinov
Author(s):  
Luca Gambetti

Structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) represent a prominent class of time series models used for macroeconomic analysis. The model consists of a set of multivariate linear autoregressive equations characterizing the joint dynamics of economic variables. The residuals of these equations are combinations of the underlying structural economic shocks, assumed to be orthogonal to each other. Using a minimal set of restrictions, these relations can be estimated—the so-called shock identification—and the variables can be expressed as linear functions of current and past structural shocks. The coefficients of these equations, called impulse response functions, represent the dynamic response of model variables to shocks. Several ways of identifying structural shocks have been proposed in the literature: short-run restrictions, long-run restrictions, and sign restrictions, to mention a few. SVAR models have been extensively employed to study the transmission mechanisms of macroeconomic shocks and test economic theories. Special attention has been paid to monetary and fiscal policy shocks as well as other nonpolicy shocks like technology and financial shocks. In recent years, many advances have been made both in terms of theory and empirical strategies. Several works have contributed to extend the standard model in order to incorporate new features like large information sets, nonlinearities, and time-varying coefficients. New strategies to identify structural shocks have been designed, and new methods to do inference have been introduced.


2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-121
Author(s):  
Guillaume Chevillon ◽  
Sophocles Mavroeidis ◽  
Zhaoguo Zhan

Long-run restrictions are a very popular method for identifying structural vector autoregressions, but they suffer from weak identification when the data is very persistent, i.e., when the highest autoregressive roots are near unity. Near unit roots introduce additional nuisance parameters and make standard weak-instrument-robust methods of inference inapplicable. We develop a method of inference that is robust to both weak identification and strong persistence. The method is based on a combination of the Anderson-Rubin test with instruments derived by filtering potentially nonstationary variables to make them near stationary using the IVX instrumentation method of Magdalinos and Phillips (2009). We apply our method to obtain robust confidence bands on impulse responses in two leading applications in the literature.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 187-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleg Deev ◽  
Martin Hodula

Abstract This article investigates the validity of the money superneutrality concept for the large panel of European economies. While focusing exclusively on endogenous growth theories including the Mundell-Tobin effect, we examine the long-run response of real output to a permanent inflation shock in every studied country using a structural vector autoregressive framework. For the majority of countries in our sample, the longrun superneutrality concept is confirmed since the original increase/decrease in output growth fades in time. We also test the additional hypothesis of whether the group of countries with smaller in-sample inflation mean forms the exception to the long-run money superneutrality. As the result, modern economies might be better described from the viewpoint of Sidrauski.


Author(s):  
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde ◽  
Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sydney Ludvigson ◽  
Sai Ma ◽  
Serena Ng

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