scholarly journals Evaluation of flood prediction capability of the distributed Grid‐Xinanjiang model driven by weather research and forecasting precipitation

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (S1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Yao ◽  
Jinyin Ye ◽  
Zhixin He ◽  
Satish Bastola ◽  
Ke Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Xinanjiang Model ◽  
Flood Prediction ◽  
Model Driven ◽  
Prediction Capability ◽  
Weather Research

scholarly journals Evaluation of Flood Prediction Capability of the WRF-Hydro Model Based on Multiple Forcing Scenarios

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 874
Author(s):  
Mingkun Sun ◽  
Zhijia Li ◽  
Cheng Yao ◽  
Zhiyu Liu ◽  
Jingfeng Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Numerical Weather Prediction Model ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Xinanjiang Model ◽  
Flood Prediction ◽  
Model Driven ◽  
Land Data Assimilation ◽  
Land Data Assimilation System ◽  
Mean Square Errors ◽  
Prediction Capability

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Hydro model as a physical-based, fully-distributed, multi-parameterization modeling system easy to couple with numerical weather prediction model, has potential for operational flood forecasting in the small and medium catchments (SMCs). However, this model requires many input forcings, which makes it difficult to use it for the SMCs without adequate observed forcings. The Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), the WRF outputs and the ideal forcings generated by the WRF-Hydro model can provide all forcings required in the model for these SMCs. In this study, seven forcing scenarios were designed based on the products of GLDAS, WRF and ideal forcings, as well as the observed and merged rainfalls to assess the performance of the WRF-Hydro model for flood simulation. The model was applied to the Chenhe catchment, a typical SMC located in the Midwestern China. The flood prediction capability of the WRF-Hydro model was also compared to that of widely used Xinanjiang model. The results show that the three forcing scenarios, including the GLDAS forcings with observed rainfall, the WRF forcings with observed rainfall and GLDAS forcings with GLDAS-merged rainfall, are optimal input forcings for the WRF-Hydro model. Their mean root mean square errors (RMSE) are 0.18, 0.18 and 0.17 mm/h, respectively. The performance of the WRF-Hydro model driven by these three scenarios is generally comparable to that of the Xinanjiang model (RMSE = 0.17 mm/h).

PERBANDINGAN SEBARAN CURAH HUJAN HASIL OBSERVASI SATELIT GPM DENGAN MODEL CUACA WRF (Studi Kasus: Siklon Tropis Cempaka Dan Dahlia, 27 Nov – 3 Des 2017)

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 1063
Author(s):  
Fatkhuroyan Fatkhuroyan
Keyword(s):  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Precipitation Measurement ◽  
Global Precipitation Measurement ◽  
Global Precipitation ◽  
Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency ◽  
Weather Research

Satelit GPM (Global Precipitation Measurement) merupakan proyek kerjasama antara NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) dan JAXA (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency) serta lembaga internasional lainnya untuk membuat satelit generasi terbaru dalam rangka pengamatan curah hujan di bumi sejak 2014. Model Cuaca WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) merupakan model cuaca numerik yang telah dipakai oleh BMKG (Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika) untuk pelayan prediksi cuaca harian kepada masyarakat. Pada tanggal 27 November – 3 Desember 2017 telah terjadi bencana alam siklon tropis Cempaka dan Dahlia di samudra Hindia sebelah selatan pulau Jawa. Tujuan Penelitian ialah untuk mengetahui sebaran akumulasi curah hujan antara observasi satelit GPM dan model cuaca WRF, serta keakuratan model WRF terhadap observasi satelit GPM saat terjadinya bencana alam tersebut. Metode yang dipakai ialah dengan melakukan analisa meteorologi pertumbuhan terjadinya siklon tropis tersebut hingga terjadinya hujan sangat lebat secara temporal maupun spasial. Dari hasil analisa disimpulkan bahwa satelit GPM memiliki luasan sebaran curah hujan yang lebih kecil daripada sebaran hujan model cuaca WRF pada saat siklon tropis Cempaka dan Dahlia. Bias akumulasi sebaran hujan model cuaca WRF juga cukup bagus terhadap satelit GPM sehingga dapat dilakukan antisipasi dampak hujan lebat yang terjadi.

scholarly journals Land-Use Improvements in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model over Complex Mountainous Terrain and Comparison of Different Grid Sizes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessio Golzio ◽  
Silvia Ferrarese ◽  
Claudio Cassardo ◽  
Gugliemina Adele Diolaiuti ◽  
Manuela Pelfini
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Mixing Layer ◽  
Local Area ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Mountainous Terrain ◽  
Weather Research

AbstractWeather forecasts over mountainous terrain are challenging due to the complex topography that is necessarily smoothed by actual local-area models. As complex mountainous territories represent 20% of the Earth’s surface, accurate forecasts and the numerical resolution of the interaction between the surface and the atmospheric boundary layer are crucial. We present an assessment of the Weather Research and Forecasting model with two different grid spacings (1 km and 0.5 km), using two topography datasets (NASA Shuttle Radar Topography Mission and Global Multi-resolution Terrain Elevation Data 2010, digital elevation models) and four land-cover-description datasets (Corine Land Cover, U.S. Geological Survey land-use, MODIS30 and MODIS15, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer land-use). We investigate the Ortles Cevadale region in the Rhaetian Alps (central Italian Alps), focusing on the upper Forni Glacier proglacial area, where a micrometeorological station operated from 28 August to 11 September 2017. The simulation outputs are compared with observations at this micrometeorological station and four other weather stations distributed around the Forni Glacier with respect to the latent heat, sensible heat and ground heat fluxes, mixing-layer height, soil moisture, 2-m air temperature, and 10-m wind speed. The different model runs make it possible to isolate the contributions of land use, topography, grid spacing, and boundary-layer parametrizations. Among the considered factors, land use proves to have the most significant impact on results.

Predicting lightning activity in Greece with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model

2015 ◽  
Vol 156 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theodore M. Giannaros ◽  
Vassiliki Kotroni ◽  
Konstantinos Lagouvardos
Keyword(s):  
Wrf Model ◽  
Lightning Activity ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Weather Research

Parallelization Strategies for the GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation with a Nonlocal Operator in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (9) ◽  
pp. 2008-2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Ying-Hwa Kuo ◽  
Shu-Ya Chen ◽  
Xiang-Yu Huang ◽  
Ling-Feng Hsiao
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radio Occultation ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Observation Operator ◽  
Gps Radio Occultation ◽  
Phase Observation ◽  
Excess Phase ◽  
Weather Research

Abstract The nonlocal excess phase observation operator for assimilating the global positioning system (GPS) radio occultation (RO) sounding data has been proven by some research papers to produce significantly better analyses for numerical weather prediction (NWP) compared to the local refractivity observation operator. However, the high computational cost and the difficulties in parallelization associated with the nonlocal GPS RO operator deter its application in research and operational NWP practices. In this article, two strategies are designed and implemented in the data assimilation system for the Weather Research and Forecasting Model to demonstrate the capability of parallel assimilation of GPS RO profiles with the nonlocal excess phase observation operator. In particular, to solve the parallel load imbalance problem due to the uneven geographic distribution of the GPS RO observations, round-robin scheduling is adopted to distribute GPS RO observations among the processing cores to balance the workload. The wall clock time required to complete a five-iteration minimization on a demonstration Antarctic case with 106 GPS RO observations is reduced from more than 3.5 h with a single processing core to 2.5 min with 106 processing cores. These strategies present the possibility of application of the nonlocal GPS RO excess phase observation operator in operational data assimilation systems with a cutoff time limit.

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