scholarly journals Accuracy of genomic breeding values revisited: Assessment of two established approaches and a novel one to determine the accuracy in two-step genomic prediction

2017 ◽  
Vol 134 (3) ◽  
pp. 242-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Ni ◽  
S. Kipp ◽  
H. Simianer ◽  
M. Erbe
Animals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 2050
Author(s):  
Beatriz Castro Dias Cuyabano ◽  
Gabriel Rovere ◽  
Dajeong Lim ◽  
Tae Hun Kim ◽  
Hak Kyo Lee ◽  
...  

It is widely known that the environment influences phenotypic expression and that its effects must be accounted for in genetic evaluation programs. The most used method to account for environmental effects is to add herd and contemporary group to the model. Although generally informative, the herd effect treats different farms as independent units. However, if two farms are located physically close to each other, they potentially share correlated environmental factors. We introduce a method to model herd effects that uses the physical distances between farms based on the Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinates as a proxy for the correlation matrix of these effects that aims to account for similarities and differences between farms due to environmental factors. A population of Hanwoo Korean cattle was used to evaluate the impact of modelling herd effects as correlated, in comparison to assuming the farms as completely independent units, on the variance components and genomic prediction. The main result was an increase in the reliabilities of the predicted genomic breeding values compared to reliabilities obtained with traditional models (across four traits evaluated, reliabilities of prediction presented increases that ranged from 0.05 ± 0.01 to 0.33 ± 0.03), suggesting that these models may overestimate heritabilities. Although little to no significant gain was obtained in phenotypic prediction, the increased reliability of the predicted genomic breeding values is of practical relevance for genetic evaluation programs.


Animals ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 672 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz Castro Dias Castro Dias Cuyabano ◽  
Hanna Wackel ◽  
Donghyun Shin ◽  
Cedric Gondro

Genomic models that incorporate dense marker information have been widely used for predicting genomic breeding values since they were first introduced, and it is known that the relationship between individuals in the reference population and selection candidates affects the prediction accuracy. When genomic evaluation is performed over generations of the same population, prediction accuracy is expected to decay if the reference population is not updated. Therefore, the reference population must be updated in each generation, but little is known about the optimal way to do it. This study presents an empirical assessment of the prediction accuracy of genomic breeding values of production traits, across five generations in two Korean pig breeds. We verified the decay in prediction accuracy over time when the reference population was not updated. Additionally we compared the prediction accuracy using only the previous generation as the reference population, as opposed to using all previous generations as the reference population. Overall, the results suggested that, although there is a clear need to continuously update the reference population, it may not be necessary to keep all ancestral genotypes. Finally, comprehending how the accuracy of genomic prediction evolves over generations within a population adds relevant information to improve the performance of genomic selection.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (12) ◽  
pp. e0261274
Author(s):  
Harrison J. Lamb ◽  
Ben J. Hayes ◽  
Imtiaz A. S. Randhawa ◽  
Loan T. Nguyen ◽  
Elizabeth M. Ross

Most traits in livestock, crops and humans are polygenic, that is, a large number of loci contribute to genetic variation. Effects at these loci lie along a continuum ranging from common low-effect to rare high-effect variants that cumulatively contribute to the overall phenotype. Statistical methods to calculate the effect of these loci have been developed and can be used to predict phenotypes in new individuals. In agriculture, these methods are used to select superior individuals using genomic breeding values; in humans these methods are used to quantitatively measure an individual’s disease risk, termed polygenic risk scores. Both fields typically use SNP array genotypes for the analysis. Recently, genotyping-by-sequencing has become popular, due to lower cost and greater genome coverage (including structural variants). Oxford Nanopore Technologies’ (ONT) portable sequencers have the potential to combine the benefits genotyping-by-sequencing with portability and decreased turn-around time. This introduces the potential for in-house clinical genetic disease risk screening in humans or calculating genomic breeding values on-farm in agriculture. Here we demonstrate the potential of the later by calculating genomic breeding values for four traits in cattle using low-coverage ONT sequence data and comparing these breeding values to breeding values calculated from SNP arrays. At sequencing coverages between 2X and 4X the correlation between ONT breeding values and SNP array-based breeding values was > 0.92 when imputation was used and > 0.88 when no imputation was used. With an average sequencing coverage of 0.5x the correlation between the two methods was between 0.85 and 0.92 using imputation, depending on the trait. This suggests that ONT sequencing has potential for in clinic or on-farm genomic prediction, however, further work to validate these findings in a larger population still remains.


Author(s):  
Hans-Jürgen Auinger ◽  
Christina Lehermeier ◽  
Daniel Gianola ◽  
Manfred Mayer ◽  
Albrecht E. Melchinger ◽  
...  

Abstract Key message Model training on data from all selection cycles yielded the highest prediction accuracy by attenuating specific effects of individual cycles. Expected reliability was a robust predictor of accuracies obtained with different calibration sets. Abstract The transition from phenotypic to genome-based selection requires a profound understanding of factors that determine genomic prediction accuracy. We analysed experimental data from a commercial maize breeding programme to investigate if genomic measures can assist in identifying optimal calibration sets for model training. The data set consisted of six contiguous selection cycles comprising testcrosses of 5968 doubled haploid lines genotyped with a minimum of 12,000 SNP markers. We evaluated genomic prediction accuracies in two independent prediction sets in combination with calibration sets differing in sample size and genomic measures (effective sample size, average maximum kinship, expected reliability, number of common polymorphic SNPs and linkage phase similarity). Our results indicate that across selection cycles prediction accuracies were as high as 0.57 for grain dry matter yield and 0.76 for grain dry matter content. Including data from all selection cycles in model training yielded the best results because interactions between calibration and prediction sets as well as the effects of different testers and specific years were attenuated. Among genomic measures, the expected reliability of genomic breeding values was the best predictor of empirical accuracies obtained with different calibration sets. For grain yield, a large difference between expected and empirical reliability was observed in one prediction set. We propose to use this difference as guidance for determining the weight phenotypic data of a given selection cycle should receive in model retraining and for selection when both genomic breeding values and phenotypes are available.


2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (No. 4) ◽  
pp. 160-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bryan Irvine Lopez ◽  
Vanessa Viterbo ◽  
Choul Won Song ◽  
Kang Seok Seo

Abstract: Genetic parameters and accuracy of genomic prediction for production traits in a Duroc population were estimated. Data were on 24 828 purebred Duroc pigs born in 2000–2016. After quality control procedures, 30 263 single nucleotide polymorphism markers and 560 animals remained that were used to predict the genomic breeding values of individuals. Accuracies of predicted breeding values for average daily gain (ADG), backfat thickness (BF), loin muscle area (LMA), lean percentage (LP) and age at 90 kg (D90) between pedigree-based and single-step methods were compared. Analyses were carried out with a multivariate animal model to estimate genetic parameters for production traits while univariate analyses were performed to predict the genomic breeding values of individuals. Heritability estimates from pedigree analysis were moderate to high. Heritability estimates and standard error for ADG, BF, LMA, LP and D90 were 0.35 ± 0.01, 0.35 ± 0.11, 0.24 ± 0.04, 0.42 ± 0.11 and 0.37 ± 0.03, respectively. Genetic correlations of ADG with BF and LP were low and negative. Genetic correlations of LMA with ADG, BF, LP and D90 were –0.37, –0.27, 0.48 and 0.31, respectively. High correlations were observed between ADG and D90 (–0.98), and also between BF and LP (–0.93). Accuracies of genomic breeding values for ADG, BF, LMA, LP and D90 were 0.30, 0.33, 0.38, 0.40 and 0.28, respectively. Corresponding accuracies using pedigree-based method were 0.29, 0.32, 0.38, 0.39 and 0.27, respectively. The results showed that the single-step method did not show significant advantage compared to the pedigree-based method.


2020 ◽  
Vol 60 (6) ◽  
pp. 772
Author(s):  
Francisco J. Jahuey-Martínez ◽  
Gaspar M. Parra-Bracamonte ◽  
Dorian J. Garrick ◽  
Nicolás López-Villalobos ◽  
Juan C. Martínez-González ◽  
...  

Context Genomic prediction is now routinely used in many livestock species to rank individuals based on genomic breeding values (GEBV). Aims This study reports the first assessment aimed to evaluate the accuracy of direct GEBV for birth (BW) and weaning (WW) weights of registered Charolais cattle in Mexico. Methods The population assessed included 823 animals genotyped with an array of 77000 single nucleotide polymorphisms. Genomic prediction used genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP), Bayes C (BC), and single-step Bayesian regression (SSBR) methods in comparison with a pedigree-based BLUP method. Key results Our results show that the genomic prediction methods provided low and similar accuracies to BLUP. The prediction accuracy of GBLUP and BC were identical at 0.31 for BW and 0.29 for WW, similar to BLUP. Prediction accuracies of SSBR for BW and WW were up to 4% higher than those by BLUP. Conclusions Genomic prediction is feasible under current conditions, and provides a slight improvement using SSBR. Implications Some limitations on reference population size and structure were identified and need to be addressed to obtain more accurate predictions in liveweight traits under the prevalent cattle breeding conditions of Mexico.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Lamb ◽  
Ben Hayes ◽  
Imtiaz Randhawa ◽  
Loan Nguyen ◽  
Elizabeth Ross

Most traits in livestock, crops and humans are polygenic, that is, a large number of loci contribute to genetic variation. Effects at these loci lie along a continuum ranging from common low-effect to rare high-effect variants that cumulatively contribute to the overall phenotype. Statistical methods to calculate the effect of these loci have been developed and can be used to predict phenotypes in new individuals. In agriculture, these methods are used to select superior individuals using genomic breeding values; in humans these methods are used to quantitatively measure an individual’s disease risk, termed polygenic risk scores. Both fields typically use SNP array genotypes for the analysis.  Recently, genotyping-by-sequencing has become popular, due to lower cost and greater genome coverage (including structural variants).   Oxford Nanopore Technologies’ (ONT) portable sequencers have the potential to combine the benefits genotyping-by-sequencing with portability and decreased turn-around time. This introduces the potential for in-house clinical genetic disease risk screening in humans or calculating genomic breeding values on-farm in agriculture. Here we demonstrate the potential of the later by calculating genomic breeding values for four traits in cattle using low-coverage ONT sequence data and comparing these breeding values to breeding values calculated from SNP arrays. At sequencing coverages between 2X and 4X the correlation between ONT breeding values and SNP array-based breeding values was > 0.92 when imputation was used and > 0.88 when no imputation was used. With an average sequencing coverage of 0.5x the correlation between the two methods was between 0.85 and 0.92 using imputation, depending on the trait.  This demonstrates that ONT sequencing has great potential for in clinic or on-farm genomic prediction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 98 (Supplement_4) ◽  
pp. 245-246
Author(s):  
Cláudio U Magnabosco ◽  
Fernando Lopes ◽  
Valentina Magnabosco ◽  
Raysildo Lobo ◽  
Leticia Pereira ◽  
...  

Abstract The aim of the study was to evaluate prediction methods, validation approaches and pseudo-phenotypes for the prediction of the genomic breeding values of feed efficiency related traits in Nellore cattle. It used the phenotypic and genotypic information of 4,329 and 3,594 animals, respectively, which were tested for residual feed intake (RFI), dry matter intake (DMI), feed efficiency (FE), feed conversion ratio (FCR), residual body weight gain (RG), and residual intake and body weight gain (RIG). Six prediction methods were used: ssGBLUP, BayesA, BayesB, BayesCπ, BLASSO, and BayesR. Three validation approaches were used: 1) random: where the data was randomly divided into ten subsets and the validation was done in each subset at a time; 2) age: the division into the training (2010 to 2016) and validation population (2017) were based on the year of birth; 3) genetic breeding value (EBV) accuracy: the data was split in the training population being animals with accuracy above 0.45; and validation population those below 0.45. We checked the accuracy and bias of genomic value (GEBV). The results showed that the GEBV accuracy was the highest when the prediction is obtained with ssGBLUP (0.05 to 0.31) (Figure 1). The low heritability obtained, mainly for FE (0.07 ± 0.03) and FCR (0.09 ± 0.03), limited the GEBVs accuracy, which ranged from low to moderate. The regression coefficient estimates were close to 1, and similar between the prediction methods, validation approaches, and pseudo-phenotypes. The cross-validation presented the most accurate predictions ranging from 0.07 to 0.037. The prediction accuracy was higher for phenotype adjusted for fixed effects than for EBV and EBV deregressed (30.0 and 34.3%, respectively). Genomic prediction can provide a reliable estimate of genomic breeding values for RFI, DMI, RG and RGI, as to even say that those traits may have higher genetic gain than FE and FCR.


animal ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 2235-2245 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.A. Grossi ◽  
L.F. Brito ◽  
M. Jafarikia ◽  
F.S. Schenkel ◽  
Z. Feng

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