Projecting the impacts of climate change on skipjack tuna abundance and spatial distribution

2014 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 742-753 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sibylle Dueri ◽  
Laurent Bopp ◽  
Olivier Maury
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Skipjack Tuna ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Climate, ticks and disease

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Disease Ecology ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Expert Opinions ◽  
The World ◽  
Host Pathogen ◽  
The Future ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Abstract This book is a collection of 77 expert opinions arranged in three sections. Section 1 on "Climate" sets the scene, including predictions of future climate change, how climate change affects ecosystems, and how to model projections of the spatial distribution of ticks and tick-borne infections under different climate change scenarios. Section 2 on "Ticks" focuses on ticks (although tick-borne pathogens creep in) and whether or not changes in climate affect the tick biosphere, from physiology to ecology. Section 3 on "Disease" focuses on the tick-host-pathogen biosphere, ranging from the triangle of tick-host-pathogen molecular interactions to disease ecology in various regions and ecosystems of the world. Each of these three sections ends with a synopsis that aims to give a brief overview of all the expert opinions within the section. The book concludes with Section 4 (Final Synopsis and Future Predictions). This synopsis attempts to summarize evidence provided by the experts of tangible impacts of climate change on ticks and tick-borne infections. In constructing their expert opinions, contributors give their views on what the future might hold. The final synopsis provides a snapshot of their expert thoughts on the future.

A Study of the Impacts of Climate Change Scenarios on the Plant Hardiness Zones of Albania

2017 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 615-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zydi Teqja ◽  
Albert Kopali ◽  
Zamir Libohova ◽  
Phillip R. Owens
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
New Species ◽  
Cold Season ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
Temperature Trends ◽  
Plant Hardiness ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

AbstractMaps of plant hardiness zones are useful tools for determining the extreme limits for the survival of plants. Exploration of projected climate change effects on hardiness zones can help identify areas most affected by climate change. Such studies are important in areas with high risks related to climate change, such as the Mediterranean Sea region. The objectives of this study were to (i) map plant hardiness zones for Albania and (ii) assess the projected effects of climate scenarios on the distribution of hardiness zones. Hardiness zones were affected by IPCC AR5 climate scenarios. The most extreme hardiness zone (6a) disappeared while a new, warmer zone (10b) appeared, reflecting rising temperature trends during the cold season. The shifts in spatial distribution of hardiness zones may represent opportunities for introducing new species to Albanian agriculture and forestry; however, the introduction of new species would require further studies on the variability of plant hardiness zones at local scales.

scholarly journals Periodic synchronization of dengue epidemics in Thailand: the roles played by temperature and immunity

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardo García-Carreras ◽  
Bingyi Yang ◽  
Mary K Grabowski ◽  
Lawrence W Sheppard ◽  
Angkana T Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Seasonal Variation ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Large Impact ◽  
Haemorrhagic Fever ◽  
Disease Patterns ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Dengue Epidemics ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

The spatial distribution of dengue and its vectors (spp. Aedes) may be the widest it has ever been, and projections suggest that climate change may allow the expansion to continue. However, the largest impacts of climate change on dengue might be in regions where the pathogen is already endemic. In these areas, the waxing and waning of immunity has a large impact on temporal dynamics of cases of dengue haemorrhagic fever. Here, we use 51 years of data across 72 provinces and characterise spatio-temporal patterns of dengue in Thailand, where dengue has caused almost 1.5 million cases over the last thirty years, and examine the roles played by temperature and dynamics of immunity in giving rise to those patterns. We find that timescales of multiannual oscillations in dengue vary in space and time and uncover an interesting spatial phenomenon: Thailand has experienced multiple, periodic synchronization events. We show that patterns in synchrony of dengue are consistent with those observed in temperature. Applying a temperature-driven dengue model, we explore how dynamics of immunity interact with temperature to produce the observed multiannual dynamics and patterns in synchrony. While multiannual oscillations are readily produced by immunity in absence of multiannual timescales in temperature, synchrony in temperature can synchronise dengue dynamics in different locations. However, at higher mean temperatures and lower seasonal variation, immune dynamics become more predominant, and dengue dynamics become more insensitive to multiannual fluctuations in temperature. These findings can help underpin predictions of disease patterns as global temperatures rise.

scholarly journals Configuration of the thermal landscape determines thermoregulatory performance of ectotherms

2016 ◽  
Vol 113 (38) ◽  
pp. 10595-10600 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael W. Sears ◽  
Michael J. Angilletta ◽  
Matthew S. Schuler ◽  
Jason Borchert ◽  
Katherine F. Dilliplane ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Spatial Structure ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Natural Environments ◽  
Space And Time ◽  
Spatially Explicit Models ◽  
Thermal Resources ◽  
Environmental Temperatures ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Although most organisms thermoregulate behaviorally, biologists still cannot easily predict whether mobile animals will thermoregulate in natural environments. Current models fail because they ignore how the spatial distribution of thermal resources constrains thermoregulatory performance over space and time. To overcome this limitation, we modeled the spatially explicit movements of animals constrained by access to thermal resources. Our models predict that ectotherms thermoregulate more accurately when thermal resources are dispersed throughout space than when these resources are clumped. This prediction was supported by thermoregulatory behaviors of lizards in outdoor arenas with known distributions of environmental temperatures. Further, simulations showed how the spatial structure of the landscape qualitatively affects responses of animals to climate. Biologists will need spatially explicit models to predict impacts of climate change on local scales.

The economywide impacts of climate change on Philippine agriculture

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Impacts of Climate Change on Length of Growing Period

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Growing Period ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change
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