Evaluating the utility of the Gulf Stream Index for predicting recruitment of Southern New England-Mid Atlantic yellowtail flounder

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haikun Xu ◽  
Timothy J. Miller ◽  
Sultan Hameed ◽  
Larry A. Alade ◽  
Janet A. Nye
Keyword(s):  
New England ◽  
Gulf Stream ◽  
Yellowtail Flounder ◽  
Southern New England

A state-space approach to incorporating environmental effects on recruitment in an age-structured assessment model with an application to southern New England yellowtail flounder

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (8) ◽  
pp. 1261-1270 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy J. Miller ◽  
Jonathan A. Hare ◽  
Larry A. Alade
Keyword(s):  
New England ◽  
State Space ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Model Framework ◽  
Yellowtail Flounder ◽  
Southern New England ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock

The state-space model framework provides a natural, probabilistic approach to stock assessment by modeling the stochastic nature of population survival and recruitment separately from sampling uncertainty inherent in observations on the population. We propose a state-space assessment model that is expanded to simultaneously treat environmental covariates as stochastic processes and estimate their effects on recruitment. We apply the model to southern New England yellowtail flounder (Limanda ferruginea) using data from the most recent benchmark assessment to evaluate evidence for effects of the mid-Atlantic cold pool and spawning stock biomass on recruitment. Based on Akaike’s information criterion, both the cold pool and spawning stock biomass were important predictors of recruitment and led to annual variation in estimated biomass reference points and associated yield. We also demonstrate the effect of the stochasticity of the mid-Atlantic cold pool on short-term forecasts of the stock size, biomass reference point, and stock status.

The forests of Southern New England, 2012

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brett J. Butler ◽  
Susan J. Crocker ◽  
Grant M. Domke ◽  
Cassandra M. Kurtz ◽  
Tonya W. Lister ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
New England ◽  
Southern New England
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