Stochastic recruitment alters the frequencies of alternative life histories in age‐structured populations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lukas B DeFilippo ◽  
Jan Ohlberger
Keyword(s):  
Life Histories ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Stochastic Recruitment

scholarly journals Importance of age structure in models of the response of upper trophic levels to fishing and climate change

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (6) ◽  
pp. 1270-1283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis W. Botsford ◽  
Matthew D. Holland ◽  
Jameal F. Samhouri ◽  
J. Wilson White ◽  
Alan Hastings
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Age Structure ◽  
Life Histories ◽  
Resonance Effect ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Ecosystem Model ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Trophic Levels ◽  
Ecosystem Models ◽  
Age Structured

Abstract Botsford, L. W., Holland, M. D., Samhouri, J. F., White, J. W., and Hastings, A. 2011. Importance of age structure in models of the response of upper trophic levels to fishing and climate change. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 1270–1283. There is a growing effort to use predictions of the physical state of the ocean under climate change to forecast the response of marine ecosystems. Many of these forecasts use ecosystem models rather than age-structured population models to describe upper trophic level (UTL) species. We illustrate the potential effects of climate on age-structured populations, then illustrate the ways in which ecosystem models might not depict adequately: (i) long-term changes in abundance, and (ii) variability attributable to cohort resonance. We simulated two generic species with different life histories, a short-lived semelparous species (e.g. salmon), and a long-lived iteroparous species (e.g. cod). For both species, juvenile survival was varied, first with white noise, then with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation as environmental signals. Variability in recruitment increased with fishing and became particularly sensitive to forcing at time-scales near the mean age of reproduction, consistent with the cohort resonance effect. Ecosystem models without age structure do not predict this behaviour, particularly when the ecosystem model incorrectly predicts the effective steepness of the stock–recruitment relationship, or the age structure is approximated by a stage-structured model. We suggest that ecosystem models of UTLs include full representations of age structure, fitted to available population data.

scholarly journals AgeStrucNb: Software for Simulating and Detecting Changes in the Effective Number of Breeders (Nb)

2020 ◽  
Vol 111 (5) ◽  
pp. 491-497 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiago Antao ◽  
Ted Cosart ◽  
Brian Trethewey ◽  
Robin S Waples ◽  
Mike W Ackerman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Life Histories ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Effective Number ◽  
Population Declines ◽  
Effective Number Of Breeders ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Publication Quality

Abstract Estimation of the effective number of breeders per reproductive event (Nb) using single sample DNA-marker-based methods has rapidly grown in recent years. However, estimating Nb is difficult in age-structured populations because the performance of estimators is influenced by the Nb / Ne ratio, which varies among species with different life histories. We provide a computer program, AgeStrucNb, to simulate age-structured populations (including life history) and also estimate Nb. The AgeStrucNb program is composed of 4 major components to simulate, subsample, estimate, and then visualize Nb time series data. AgeStrucNb allows users to also quantify the precision and accuracy of any set of loci or sample size to estimate Nb for many species and populations. AgeStrucNb allows users to conduct power analysis to evaluate sensitivity to detect changes in Nb or the power to detect a correlation between trends in Nb and environmental variables (e.g., temperature, habitat quality, predator or pathogen abundance) that could be driving changes in Nb. The software provides Nb estimates for empirical data sets using the LDNe (linkage disequilibrium) method, includes publication-quality output graphs, and outputs genotype files in Genepop format for use in other programs. AgeStrucNb will help advance the application of genetic markers for monitoring Nb, which will help biologists to detect population declines and growth, which is crucial for research and conservation of natural and managed populations.

scholarly journals Frequency responses of age-structured populations: Pacific salmon as an example

2010 ◽  
Vol 78 (4) ◽  
pp. 239-249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lee Worden ◽  
Louis W. Botsford ◽  
Alan Hastings ◽  
Matthew D. Holland
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Salmon ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Frequency Responses ◽  
Age Structured

POTENTIAL YIELD OF A ROCK SHRIMP STOCK, SICYONIA PENICILLATA IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA

Crustaceana ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 72 (6) ◽  
pp. 581-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juana Lopez-Martinez ◽  
Edgar Alcantara-Razo ◽  
Sergio Hernandez-Vazquez ◽  
Ernesto Chavez
Keyword(s):  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Potential Yield ◽  
Natural Oscillations ◽  
Recruitment Pattern ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Stochastic Recruitment ◽  
Age Structured Model ◽  
Compensatory Effect

AbstractA stock of rock shrimp Sicyonia penicillata was assessed in a fishery recently opened at Bahoa Kino, Sonora, Mexico. An age-structured model with stochastic recruitment was developed, which considers growth rate, natural mortality, and fishing mortality by age. Age groups were followed year by year with a stock-recruitment Ricker function where the seasonal recruitment pattern was defined as well. Simulations might be interpreted as showing a stable population with four year cycles, reflecting a density-dependent process. In 1996, fishing intensity had an apparent compensatory effect on the stock, decreasing the amplitude of natural oscillations and maintaining the stock at a biomass level similar to the size observed in a condition of no exploitation. The stock was found currently underexploited. As a result of the seasonal accessibility and the age of first-catch fishing (adult shrimp), the stock might be capable to withstand high fishing pressure without being overexploited. Se evaluo una poblacion de camaron de roca Sicyonia penicillata, de una pesqueroa recientemente abierta en Bahoa Kino, Sonora, Mexico. Se desarrollo un modelo basado en la estructura por edades que considera reclutamiento estocastico, tasa de crecimiento, mortalidad natural y mortalidad por pesca por grupo de edad. Estos grupos de edad fueron determinados ano tras ano mediante la funcion de reclutamiento de Ricker, en los que tambien se definio el patron estacional de reclutamiento. Las simulaciones muestran una poblacion estable con ciclos de cuatro anos, que indican un proceso de densodependencia. En 1996, la intensidad de pesca tuvo un efecto compensatorio sobre la poblacion, reduciendo la amplitud de las oscilaciones naturales y manteniendo al stock en un nivel de biomasa similar al observado en la condicion sin explotacion. Se encontro que el recurso esta subexplotado. Como resultado de la accesibilidad estacional y de que la edad de primera captura corresponde a camaron adulto, el recurso soporta alta presion de pesca sin dar evidencias de sobreexplotacion.

scholarly journals The effect of life-history and mode of inheritance on neutral genetic variability

2001 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
BRIAN CHARLESWORTH
Keyword(s):  
Sequence Variation ◽  
Adult Mortality ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Human Populations ◽  
Effective Population ◽  
Transmission Modes ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Infinite Sites Model ◽  
Site Diversity

Formulae for the effective population sizes of autosomal, X-linked, Y-linked and maternally transmitted loci in age-structured populations are developed. The approximations used here predict both asymptotic rates of increase in probabilities of identity, and equilibrium levels of neutral nucleotide site diversity under the infinite-sites model. The applications of the results to the interpretation of data on DNA sequence variation in Drosophila, plant, and human populations are discussed. It is concluded that sex differences in demographic parameters such as adult mortality rates generally have small effects on the relative effective population sizes of loci with different modes of inheritance, whereas differences between the sexes in variance in reproductive success can have major effects, either increasing or reducing the effective population size for X-linked loci relative to autosomal or Y-linked loci. These effects need to be accounted for when trying to understand data on patterns of sequence variation for genes with different transmission modes.

Evolution in Age-Structured Populations.

1995 ◽  
Vol 83 (3) ◽  
pp. 548
Author(s):  
Tom J. de Jong ◽  
B. Charlesworth
Keyword(s):  
Structured Populations ◽  
Age Structured

scholarly journals Towards a better understanding of the dynamics of Aphis spiraecola Patch (Homoptera: Aphididae) populations in commercial alpine yarrow fields

2010 ◽  
Vol 42 (2) ◽  
pp. 103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zulfaidah Penata Gama ◽  
Pablo Morlacchi ◽  
Giuseppe Carlo Lozzia ◽  
Johann Baumgärtner ◽  
Anna Giorgi
Keyword(s):  
Natural Enemy ◽  
Distributed Delay ◽  
Structured Populations ◽  
Temperature Dependent ◽  
Optimum Sample Size ◽  
Aphis Spiraecola ◽  
Different Temperatures ◽  
Mechanistic Basis ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Optimum Sample

The spatial distribution of Aphis spiraecola Patch was studied in two commercial yarrow fields located in the Swiss and Italian Alps and represented by Taylor’s (1961) power law. The respective parameters indicate a highly aggregated distribution and lead to a high optimum sample size of 400-500 plants in the design of a sampling program. Opportunities for reducing the sampling efforts are discussed. The infestation patterns were studied on the basis of Vansickle’s (1977) time varying distributed delay adequate for modelling the dynamics of age-structured populations. Published literature data were used to parametrize the functions representing the temperature-dependent duration and survival of the nymphal and adult stage. Likewise, literature data were available to obtain reliable estimates for the parameters of the fecundity function comprising the reproductive profile and the number of nymphs produced at different temperatures. The field data were used to parametrize the functions for wing formation and a compound mortality compromising the effects of plant senescence, stem cutting and natural enemies. The model satisfactorily represented the observed infestation patterns. However, there are opportunities for improving parameter estimation and validation. Moreover, the separation of the compound mortality into host plant and natural enemy effects would improve the mechanistic basis of the model and lead towards a tool that could be used to study bottom-up and top-down effects in the yarrow-aphid-natural enemy system.

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