scholarly journals Projecting Global Biodiversity Indicators under Future Development Scenarios

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piero Visconti ◽  
Michel Bakkenes ◽  
Daniele Baisero ◽  
Thomas Brooks ◽  
Stuart H. M. Butchart ◽  
...  
2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 489-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris J. Mcowen ◽  
Sarah Ivory ◽  
Matthew J. R. Dixon ◽  
Eugenie C. Regan ◽  
Andreas Obrecht ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 01030
Author(s):  
Ladislav Vagner

Research background: The disease, which broke out in December 2019 in the Chinese city of Wuhan and caused a pandemic around the world, has a constant impact on the economies of the countries even after almost two years. The issue of the effect of COVID-19 on the global economy and overall earnings management persists. Due to the topicality of the problem, we focused on the impacts and measures affecting the company’s operation. Purpose of the article: The purpose of this research article is to summarize current information on coronavirus and its effects almost two years after the outbreak. Additionally, outline three different scenarios that could occur. We also took into consideration scientific sources that deal with the shock of COVID-19. In addition, we summarize the opinions of scientific authors. Methods: Within the methodology, we used mainly the analysis and obtaining an objective picture of the current situation in the world. Following the outbreak of the pandemic, there have been significant inconstancies in GDP. Subsequently, we focus on the development of individual selected macro indicators that best describe the global economy. Findings & Value added: Finally, we offer three scenarios that outline three different situations that may occur, which we worked on based on a scenario analysis based on a modification of the sensitivity analysis, to specify future development scenarios based on macroeconomic indicators.


2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 450-457 ◽  
Author(s):  
JULIA P. G. JONES ◽  
BEN COLLEN ◽  
GILES ATKINSON ◽  
PETER W. J. BAXTER ◽  
PHILIP BUBB ◽  
...  

PLoS ONE ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. e41128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily Nicholson ◽  
Ben Collen ◽  
Alberto Barausse ◽  
Julia L. Blanchard ◽  
Brendan T. Costelloe ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 148 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
Judit K. Szabo ◽  
Stuart H.M. Butchart ◽  
Hugh P. Possingham ◽  
Stephen T. Garnett

Author(s):  
Falko Buschke

In May, nations of the world will meet to negotiate the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework under the Convention on Biological Diversity. An influential ambition is “bending the curve of biodiversity loss”, which aims to reverse the decline of global biodiversity indicators. A second relevant, yet less prominent, milestone is the 20th anniversary of the publication of The Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity and Biogeography. Here, I apply neutral theory to show how global biodiversity indicators for population size (Living Planet Index) and extinction threat (Red List Index) decline under neutral ecological drift. This demonstrates that declining indicators alone do not necessarily reflect deterministic species-specific or geographical patterns of biodiversity loss. Thus, “bending the curve” could be assessed relative to a counterfactual based on neutral theory, rather than static baselines. If used correctly, the 20-year legacy of neutral theory can be extended to make a valuable contribution to the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 114-126
Author(s):  
A. S. Stoylova

A step-by-step construction of data harmonized models makes it possible to gradually eliminate unnecessary information in terms of forest complex and at the same time to increase the functionality necessary for further calculations, with each model in the complex used for certain purposes contributing to the calculations of the forest complex. This article provides a step-by-step construction of the Optimization Interregional Intersectoral Model (OIIM) modification for the forest complex. The proposed stages contain a brief description of transition from the national economic model in value terms (OIIM) to the sectoral production-transport type model of the forest complex in volume terms (PTM-FC). The obtained results based on the industry model can be used to analyze the current economic situation, identify the gaps in the industry and project its future development. Besides, the article contains the results of preliminary calculations based on point industry model of the forest complex (PIM-FC), which were used to outline the development scenarios for forest complex until 2030 as described in 2030 Forestry Development Strategy. The analysis of the calculation data shows that the estimate of the domestic market and the volume of exports in 2030 Forestry Development Strategy seems to be overestimated; as a result, the growth rate set out therein may well be jeopardized.


Author(s):  
Jonas Geldmann ◽  
Marine Deguignet ◽  
Andrew Balmford ◽  
Neil D. Burgess ◽  
Nigel Dudley ◽  
...  

Work has begun in earnest to formulate a post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework which will outline the vision and targets for the next decade of biodiversity conservation and beyond. However, the performance of the 2011-2020 Strategic Plan for Biodiversity suggests that even a meaningful target can fail to deliver if not accompanied by fit-for-purpose indicators. Here we provide a review of how ‘protected area’ effectiveness was addressed in the 2011-2020 plan and based on this, provide recommendations for fit-for-purpose indicators that will measure how such efforts contribute to the conservation of biodiversity. Indicators need to be built on quantitative data from site-level biodiversity monitoring of species and ecosystems combined with measurements of the state of nature in near-time, informed by remote-sensed products and other technologies. Additionally, indicators need to capture whether the essential elements of good management are in place including the identification of ecological values, threats, and objectives, equitable governance, and sufficient management resources and capacity. These fit-for-purpose indicators will require multilateral collaboration to galvanize support for, and resources to develop, the necessary infrastructure to collate and store information from countries.


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