Bayesian Approach for Clinical Trial Safety Data Using an Ising Prior

Biometrics ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 69 (3) ◽  
pp. 661-672 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bradley W. McEvoy ◽  
Rajesh R. Nandy ◽  
Ram C. Tiwari
Author(s):  
Chak Sing Lau ◽  
Yi-Hsing Chen ◽  
Keith Lim ◽  
Marc de Longueville ◽  
Catherine Arendt ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction/objectives To evaluate the incidence rate (IR) of tuberculosis (TB) and viral hepatitis B and C (HBV/HCV) during certolizumab pegol (CZP) treatment, worldwide and in Asia-Pacific countries, across clinical trials and post-marketing reports (non-interventional studies and real-world practice). Method CZP safety data were pooled across 49 clinical trials from 1998 to June 2017. Post-marketing reports were from initial commercialization until March 2015 (TB)/February 2017 (HBV/HCV). All suspected TB and HBV/HCV cases underwent centralized retrospective review by external experts. Incidence rates (IRs) were calculated per 100 patient-years (PY) of CZP exposure. Results Among 11,317 clinical trial patients (21,695 PY), 62 TB cases were confirmed (IR 0.29/100 PY) including 2 in Japan (0.10/100 PY) and 3 in other Asia-Pacific countries (0.58/100 PY). From > 238,000 PY estimated post-marketing CZP exposure, there were 31 confirmed TB cases (0.01/100 PY): 5 in Japan (0.05/100 PY), 1 in other Asia-Pacific countries (0.03/100 PY). Reported regional TB IRs were highest in eastern Europe (0.17/100 PY), central Europe (0.09/100 PY), and Mexico (0.16/100 PY). Across clinical trials, there was 1 confirmed HBV reactivation and no HCV cases. From > 420,000 PY estimated post-marketing CZP exposure, 5 HBV/HCV cases were confirmed (0.001/100 PY): 2 HCV reactivations; 1 new HCV; plus 2 HBV reactivations in Japan (0.008/100 PY). Conclusions CZP TB risk is aligned with nationwide TB rates, being slightly higher in Asia-Pacific countries excluding Japan. Overall, TB and HBV/HCV risk with CZP treatment is currently relatively low, as risk can be minimized with patient/physician education, screening, and vigilant treatment, according to international guidelines. Key Points:• TB rates were highest in eastern/central Europe, Mexico, and Asia-Pacific regions.• With the implementation of stricter TB screening and risk evaluations in 2007, especially in high TB incidence countries, there was a notable reduction TB occurrence.• Safety profile of biologics in real-world settings complements controlled studies.• TB and hepatitis (HBV/HCV) risk with certolizumab pegol (CZP) treatment is low.


2021 ◽  
Vol 97 (4) ◽  
pp. 80-91
Author(s):  
Luis Puig ◽  
Andrey L. Bakulev ◽  
Muza M. Kokhan ◽  
Alexey V. Samtsov ◽  
Vladislav R. Khairutdinov ◽  
...  

Background. Netakimab (NTK), an original humanized anti-interleukin-17 monoclonal antibody, showed therapeutic efficacy in moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in a phase 2 clinical study. Herein we report the results of 54 weeks of a phase 3 trial. Aim. To evaluate the efficacy and safety of two NTK regimens vs. placebo in moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. Methods. PLANETA is the ongoing randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial. 213 patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis were randomly assigned to receive NTK 120 mg once every 2 weeks (NTK Q2W), NTK 120 mg once every 4 weeks (NTK Q4W) or placebo. During the first 3 weeks, patients received subcutaneous injections of NTK or placebo (according to the allocation) once a week. Patients in the NTK Q2W group then received NTK at weeks 4, 6, 8, and 10. Subjects in the NTK Q4W group received NTK at weeks 6 and 10 and placebo at weeks 4 and 8. Patients in the placebo group received placebo injections at weeks 4, 6, 8, and 10. Treatment was unblinded at week 12. During the open-label phase, patients in both NTK groups continued to receive NTK Q4W. The primary efficacy endpoint was the proportion of patients in each group who achieved a 75% or greater reduction from baseline in psoriasis area and severity index (PASI 75) at week 12. Results. A total of 77.7%, 83.3%, and 0% of patients had a PASI 75 response at week 12 in the NTK Q2W, NTK Q4W, and placebo groups, respectively (P 0.0001, Fishers exact test, ITT). The effect was maintained throughout the 1-year treatment. NTK showed a good safety profile and low immunogenicity. Conclusion. Treatment with NTK results in high rates of sustained clinical response in patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. The study is ongoing; thus, long-term use efficacy and safety data are forthcoming.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Junhao Liu ◽  
Jo Wick ◽  
Renee’ H. Martin ◽  
Caitlyn Meinzer ◽  
Dooti Roy ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Monitoring and reporting of drug safety during a clinical trial is essential to its success. More recent attention to drug safety has encouraged statistical methods development for monitoring and detecting potential safety signals. This paper investigates the potential impact of the process of the blinded investigator identifying a potential safety signal, which should be further investigated by the Data and Safety Monitoring Board with an unblinded safety data analysis. Methods In this paper, two-stage Bayesian hierarchical models are proposed for safety signal detection following a pre-specified set of interim analyses that are applied to efficacy. At stage 1, a hierarchical blinded model uses blinded safety data to detect a potential safety signal and at stage 2, a hierarchical logistic model is applied to confirm the signal with unblinded safety data. Results Any interim safety monitoring analysis is usually scheduled via negotiation between the trial sponsor and the Data and Safety Monitoring Board. The proposed safety monitoring process starts once 53 subjects have been enrolled into an eight-arm phase II clinical trial for the first interim analysis. Operating characteristics describing the performance of this proposed workflow are investigated using simulations based on the different scenarios. Conclusions The two-stage Bayesian safety procedure in this paper provides a statistical view to monitor safety during the clinical trials. The proposed two-stage monitoring model has an excellent accuracy of detecting and flagging a potential safety signal at stage 1, and with the most important feature that further action at stage 2 could confirm the safety issue.


2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 290-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arvin Ighani ◽  
Jorge R. Georgakopoulos ◽  
Linda L. Zhou ◽  
Scott Walsh ◽  
Neil Shear ◽  
...  

Background: Apremilast is a new oral drug for the treatment of moderate to severe plaque psoriasis that reduces inflammation by inhibiting phosphodiesterase 4. Its efficacy and safety data are limited; hence, real-world outcomes are important for elucidating the full spectrum of its adverse events (AEs) and expanding generalizability of clinical trial findings. Objective: Assess the efficacy and safety of apremilast monotherapy in real-world practice. Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted in 2 academic dermatology practices. Efficacy was measured as the proportion of patients achieving a ≥75% reduction from baseline Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score (PASI-75) or a Psoriasis Global Assessment (PGA) score of 0 (clear) or 1 (almost clear) at 16 weeks. Safety was measured as the proportion of patients reporting ≥1 AE at 16 weeks. Results: Thirty-four patients were included. Efficacy: 19 patients (55.9%) achieved PASI-75 or PGA 0/1. Safety: 23 patients (67.6%) experienced ≥1 AEs. Five patients (14.7%) withdrew treatment prior to week 16 due to AEs. One patient withdrew treatment due to mood lability and depression. Common AEs included headache (32.4%), nausea (20.6%), diarrhoea (14.7%), weight loss (8.8%), and loose stool (8.8%). Conclusion: Apremilast monotherapy had higher efficacy with similar safety outcomes in the real world compared to clinical trials. There were higher proportions of reported headaches compared to clinical trials. This study supports the apremilast monotherapy clinical trial findings, suggesting that it has an acceptable safety profile and significantly reduces the severity of moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. Limitations include the retrospective nature of the study.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (27_suppl) ◽  
pp. 214-214
Author(s):  
T. B. Stacy ◽  
A. A. Heintz ◽  
K. Dopson ◽  
K. McLane ◽  
M. E. Haas

214 Background: Due to the volume and pace of scientific advances within oncology, the timely dissemination of clinical trial results and discussion regarding the appropriate incorporation into therapeutic decision making is necessary to provide the highest quality patient care. Increasing awareness in the breast cancer community on similarities and differences amongst practice management strategies helps to identify practice patterns and benchmark individual knowledge and competence against one’s professional peers. Methods: During 2010 and 2011, educational outcomes assessments were gathered during 83 independent continuing medical education (CME) activities held within community and academic institutions across the USA. Participants were asked a series of case-based questions via an audience response system to assess baseline knowledge, competence, and identify practice patterns. Assessments were repeated post a 1-hour CME certified activity, with an additional 6-week electronic follow-up. Barriers to implementing the information learned were also captured. Educational gaps were identified through documentation and comparison of current best practices versus actual participant responses. Results: To date, a total of 1,515 healthcare providers have participated in the initiative. Number of years in practice ranged from <10 to >30. The number of breast cancer patients seen per month ranged from ≤10 to >40. Provider competency in applying recent literature to the patient care setting was both assessed and measured. Results of neoadjuvant data knowledge, adjuvant therapy selection, relapsed HER2+ disease treatment strategies, and competence in discussing efficacy and safety data from recent clinical trials will be presented. Participants reported a number of barriers to applying data learned at the activities into clinical practice. Responses included lack of reimbursement, treatment side effects, newness of treatment data, and perceived efficacy. Conclusions: The results suggest the education of providers on the most currently available clinical trial results and expert discussion of how to optimize translation of this information into patient care increases breast cancer provider knowledge and competence.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 439-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunil R. Hingorani ◽  
William Proctor Harris ◽  
Tara Elisabeth Seery ◽  
Lei Zheng ◽  
Darren Sigal ◽  
...  

439 Background: Poor outcome in pancreatic cancer (PDA) is associated partly with stromal hyaluronan (HA) accumulation, which compromises chemotherapy perfusion. PEGPH20, PEGylated recombinant human hyaluronidase, potentiates chemotherapy by depleting HA in tumors. Methods: In an ongoing, phase II, open-label, randomized study of PEGPH20+nab-paclitaxel (Nab)+Gemcitabine (Gem) (PAG) vs Nab+Gem (AG) in previously untreated stage IV PDA, pts receive PEGPH20 3 µg/kg twice weekly (C1), then weekly (C2+) with standard AG dosing. HA status was tested retrospectively. After a temporary clinical hold (Apr-Jul 2014) for an imbalance in thromboembolic (TE) events (29% PAG vs 15% AG), the protocol was amended to exclude high-TE-risk pts and add enoxaparin (LMWH) prophylaxis. Endpoints are PFS and TE events (primary); PFS and ORR by HA level and OS (secondary). Efficacy and safety data through Dec 2014 are for pts enrolled up to clinical hold (Stage 1); TE data are through Sep 2015 (Stage 2). Results: 135 pts were treated (74 PAG, 61 AG). PFS results are shown below (median follow-up 7 mo). In HA-high pts receiving PAG vs AG, ORR was 52% (1 CR) vs 24% (P=.038); ORR was 37% vs 38% in HA-low pts. OS was 12 mo vs 9 mo (HR=0.62) despite 12/23 PAG pts discontinuing PEGPH20 at clinical hold. Common ADRs (PAG vs AG) included peripheral edema (58% vs 31%), muscle spasms (55% vs 1.6%), and neutropenia (32% vs 18%). TE events were: Stage 1 42% vs 25% (no LMWH); Stage 2 (with LMWH; 40 mg/d or 40 mg/d increased to 1 mg/kg/d) 28% vs 29%; (1 mg/kg/d) 5% vs 6%; overall (40 mg/d or 1 mg/kg/d) 13% each arm (to be updated). Conclusions: Pts with HA-high tumors receiving PAG, vs AG, showed significant improvements in PFS and ORR and a trend toward improved OS. PAG was well tolerated, with TE events reduced with LMWH prophylaxis. A global phase III trial of PAG will initiate Q1 2016. Clinical Trial Information: NCT01839487. Clinical trial information: NCT01839487. [Table: see text]


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