scholarly journals Association of prevalence of electronic cigarette use with smoking cessation and cigarette consumption in England: a time–series analysis between 2006 and 2017

Addiction ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 115 (5) ◽  
pp. 961-974 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma Beard ◽  
Robert West ◽  
Susan Michie ◽  
Jamie Brown
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Smoking Cessation ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Electronic Cigarette ◽  
Cigarette Consumption ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Series Analysis

scholarly journals Evaluation of the London Smoking Cessation Transformation Programme: a time series analysis

The Lancet ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 394 ◽  
pp. S59
Author(s):  
Sarah E Jackson ◽  
Emma Beard ◽  
Robert West ◽  
Jamie Brown
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Smoking Cessation ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis

scholarly journals Impact of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control on global cigarette consumption: quasi-experimental evaluations using interrupted time series analysis and in-sample forecast event modelling

BMJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. l2287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven J Hoffman ◽  
Mathieu J P Poirier ◽  
Susan Rogers Van Katwyk ◽  
Prativa Baral ◽  
Lathika Sritharan
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Tobacco Control ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Cigarette Consumption ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Annual Consumption ◽  
Quasi Experimental ◽  
National Estimates

Abstract Objective To evaluate the impact of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) on global cigarette consumption. Design Two quasi-experimental impact evaluations, using interrupted time series analysis (ITS) and in-sample forecast event modelling. Setting and population 71 countries for which verified national estimates of cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2015 were available, representing over 95% of the world’s cigarette consumption and 85% of the world’s population. Main outcome measures The FCTC is an international treaty adopted in 2003 that aims to reduce harmful tobacco consumption and is legally binding on the 181 countries that have ratified it. Main outcomes were annual national estimates of cigarette consumption per adult from 71 countries since 1970, allowing global, regional, and country comparisons of consumption levels and trends before and after 2003, with counterfactual control groups modelled using pre-intervention linear time trends (for ITS) and in-sample forecasts (for event modelling). Results No significant change was found in the rate at which global cigarette consumption had been decreasing after the FCTC’s adoption in 2003, using either ITS or event modelling. Results were robust after realigning data to the year FCTC negotiations commenced (1999), or to the year when the FCTC first became legally binding in each country. By contrast to global consumption, high income and European countries showed a decrease in annual consumption by over 1000 cigarettes per adult after 2003, whereas low and middle income and Asian countries showed an increased annual consumption by over 500 cigarettes per adult when compared with a counterfactual event model. Conclusions This study finds no evidence to indicate that global progress in reducing cigarette consumption has been accelerated by the FCTC treaty mechanism. This null finding, combined with regional differences, should caution against complacency in the global tobacco control community, motivate greater implementation of proven tobacco control policies, encourage assertive responses to tobacco industry activities, and inform the design of more effective health treaties.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the London Smoking Cessation Transformation Programme: a time–series analysis

Addiction ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah E. Jackson ◽  
Emma Beard ◽  
Robert West ◽  
Jamie Brown
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Smoking Cessation ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis
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