Traffic speed prediction using deep learning method

Author(s):  
Yuhan Jia ◽  
Jianping Wu ◽  
Yiman Du
2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 531-536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhan Jia ◽  
Jianping Wu ◽  
Moshe Ben-Akiva ◽  
Ravi Seshadri ◽  
Yiman Du

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pan Wu ◽  
Zilin Huang ◽  
Yuzhuang Pian ◽  
Lunhui Xu ◽  
Jinlong Li ◽  
...  

Short-term traffic speed prediction is a promising research topic in intelligent transportation systems (ITSs), which also plays an important role in the real-time decision-making of traffic control and guidance systems. However, the urban traffic speed has strong temporal, spatial correlation and the characteristic of complex nonlinearity and randomness, which makes it challenging to accurately and efficiently forecast short-term traffic speeds. We investigate the relevant literature and found that although most methods can achieve good prediction performance with the complete sample data, when there is a certain missing rate in the database, it is difficult to maintain accuracy with these methods. Recent studies have shown that deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory (LSTM) models, have good results in short-term traffic flow prediction. Furthermore, the attention mechanism can properly assign weights to distinguish the importance of traffic time sequences, thereby further improving the computational efficiency of the prediction model. Therefore, we propose a framework for short-term traffic speed prediction, including data preprocessing module and short-term traffic prediction module. In the data preprocessing module, the missing traffic data are repaired to provide a complete dataset for subsequent prediction. In the prediction module, a combined deep learning method that is an attention-based LSTM (ATT-LSTM) model for predicting short-term traffic speed on urban roads is proposed. The proposed framework was applied to the urban road network in Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China, with a 30-day traffic speed dataset (floating car data) used as the experimental sample. Results show that the proposed method outperforms other deep learning algorithms (such as recurrent neural network (RNN) and convolutional neural network (CNN)) in terms of both calculating efficiency and prediction accuracy. The attention mechanism can significantly reduce the error of the LSTM model (up to 12.4%) and improves the prediction performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Yuren Chen ◽  
Yu Chen ◽  
Bo Yu

Driving speed is one of the most critical indicators in safety evaluation and network monitoring in freight transportation. Speed prediction model serves as the most efficient method to obtain the data of driving speed. Current speed prediction models mostly focus on operating speed, which is hard to reveal the overall condition of driving speed on the road section. Meanwhile, the models were mostly developed based on the regression method, which is inconsistent with natural driving process. Recurrent neural network (RNN) is a distinctive type of deep learning method to capture the temporary dependency in behavioral research. The aim of this paper is to apply the deep learning method to predict the general condition of driving speed in consideration of the road geometry and the temporal evolutions. 3D mobile mapping was applied to obtain road geometry information with high precision, and driving simulation experiment was then conducted with the help of the road geometry data. Driving speed was characterized by the bimodal Gauss mixture model. RNN and its variants including long short-term memory (LSTM) and RNN and gated recurrent units (GRUs) were utilized to predict speed distribution in a spatial-temporal dimension with KL divergence being the loss function. The result proved the applicability of the model in speed distribution prediction of freight vehicles, while LSTM holds the best performance with the length of input sequence being 400 m. The result can be related to the threshold of drivers’ information processing on mountainous freeway. Multiple linear regression models were constructed to be a contrast with the LSTM model, and the results showed that LSTM was superior to regression models in terms of the model accuracy and interpretability of the driving process and the formation of vehicle speed. This study may help to understand speed change behavior of freight vehicles on mountainous freeways, while providing the feasible method for safety evaluation or network efficiency analysis.


IEEE Access ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 9116-9127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiandong Zhao ◽  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Zhenzhen Yang ◽  
Jiangtao Li ◽  
Yingzi Feng ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 396 ◽  
pp. 438-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kunpeng Zhang ◽  
Liang Zheng ◽  
Zijian Liu ◽  
Ning Jia

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