Time series forecasting using massively parallel genetic programming

Author(s):  
S.E. Eklund
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahsa Mostowfi

This work proposes a hybrid algorithm called Probabilistic Incremental Cartesian Genetic Pro- gramming (PI-CGP), which integrates an Estimation of Distribution Algorithm (EDA) with Carte- sian Genetic Programming (CGP). PI-CGP uses a fixed-length problem representation and the algorithm constructs a probabilistic model of promising solutions. PI-CGP was evaluated on sym- bolic regression problems and next trading day stock price forecasting. On the symbolic regression problems PI-CGP did not outperform other approaches. The reason could be premature convergence and being trapped at a local minimum. However, PI-CGP was competitive at stock market forecasting. It was comparable to a fusion model employing a Hidden Markov Model (HMM). HMMs are extensively used for time-series forecasting. This result is promising considering the volatile nature of the stock market and that PI-CGP was not customized toward forecasting.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahsa Mostowfi

This work proposes a hybrid algorithm called Probabilistic Incremental Cartesian Genetic Pro- gramming (PI-CGP), which integrates an Estimation of Distribution Algorithm (EDA) with Carte- sian Genetic Programming (CGP). PI-CGP uses a fixed-length problem representation and the algorithm constructs a probabilistic model of promising solutions. PI-CGP was evaluated on sym- bolic regression problems and next trading day stock price forecasting. On the symbolic regression problems PI-CGP did not outperform other approaches. The reason could be premature convergence and being trapped at a local minimum. However, PI-CGP was competitive at stock market forecasting. It was comparable to a fusion model employing a Hidden Markov Model (HMM). HMMs are extensively used for time-series forecasting. This result is promising considering the volatile nature of the stock market and that PI-CGP was not customized toward forecasting.


2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 2728-2733 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos A. Martinez ◽  
Juan David Velasquez

Author(s):  
Mariana Macedo ◽  
Carlos Henrique Macedo dos Santos ◽  
Eronita Maria Luizines Van Leijden ◽  
Joao Fausto Lorenzato de Oliveira ◽  
Fernando Buarque de Lima Neto ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Graff ◽  
Hugo Jair Escalante ◽  
Fernando Ornelas-Tellez ◽  
Eric S. Tellez

2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Javier Martínez Canillas ◽  
Roberto Sánchez ◽  
Benjamín Barán

The use of decision rules and estimation techniques is increasingly common for decision mak-ing. In recent years studies were conducted which applies Genetic Programming (GP) to obtainrules to make predictions. A new branch in the area of Evolutionary Algorithms (EA) is LinearGenetic Programming (LGP). LGP evolves instructions sequences of an imperative programminglanguage. This paper proposes estimation models generation for time series forecasting using LGP.The forecasting result for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the price of soybeans per ton showsthe potential of this new proposal.


Author(s):  
Luzia Vidal de Souza ◽  
Aurora T. R. Pozo ◽  
Anselmo C. ◽  
Joel M. C. da Ros

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