A generalized Intelligent-agent-based fuzzy group forecasting model for oil price prediction

Author(s):  
Lean Yu ◽  
Shouyang Wang ◽  
Kin Keung Lai
2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (11) ◽  
pp. 947-969 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. H. Fazel Zarandi ◽  
Esmaeil Hadavandi ◽  
I. B. Turksen

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 681
Author(s):  
László Barna Iantovics

Current machine intelligence metrics rely on a different philosophy, hindering their effective comparison. There is no standardization of what is machine intelligence and what should be measured to quantify it. In this study, we investigate the measurement of intelligence from the viewpoint of real-life difficult-problem-solving abilities, and we highlight the importance of being able to make accurate and robust comparisons between multiple cooperative multiagent systems (CMASs) using a novel metric. A recent metric presented in the scientific literature, called MetrIntPair, is capable of comparing the intelligence of only two CMASs at an application. In this paper, we propose a generalization of that metric called MetrIntPairII. MetrIntPairII is based on pairwise problem-solving intelligence comparisons (for the same problem, the problem-solving intelligence of the studied CMASs is evaluated experimentally in pairs). The pairwise intelligence comparison is proposed to decrease the necessary number of experimental intelligence measurements. MetrIntPairII has the same properties as MetrIntPair, with the main advantage that it can be applied to any number of CMASs conserving the accuracy of the comparison, while it exhibits enhanced robustness. An important property of the proposed metric is the universality, as it can be applied as a black-box method to intelligent agent-based systems (IABSs) generally, not depending on the aspect of IABS architecture. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the MetrIntPairII metric, we provide a representative experimental study, comparing the intelligence of several CMASs composed of agents specialized in solving an NP-hard problem.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 3167-3187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco García-Sánchez ◽  
Rafael Valencia-García ◽  
Rodrigo Martínez-Béjar ◽  
Jesualdo T. Fernández-Breis

2019 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
pp. 363-388
Author(s):  
Serkan Aras ◽  
Manel Hamdi

When the literature regarding applications of neural networks is investigated, it appears that a substantial issue is what size the training data should be when modelling a time series through neural networks. The aim of this paper is to determine the size of training data to be used to construct a forecasting model via a multiple-breakpoint test and compare its performance with two general methods, namely, using all available data and using just two years of data. Furthermore, the importance of the selection of the final neural network model is investigated in detail. The results obtained from daily crude oil prices indicate that the data from the last structural change lead to simpler architectures of neural networks and have an advantage in reaching more accurate forecasts in terms of MAE value. In addition, the statistical tests show that there is a statistically significant interaction between data size and stopping rule.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ganapathy ◽  
P. Yogesh ◽  
A. Kannan

Intrusion detection systems were used in the past along with various techniques to detect intrusions in networks effectively. However, most of these systems are able to detect the intruders only with high false alarm rate. In this paper, we propose a new intelligent agent-based intrusion detection model for mobile ad hoc networks using a combination of attribute selection, outlier detection, and enhanced multiclass SVM classification methods. For this purpose, an effective preprocessing technique is proposed that improves the detection accuracy and reduces the processing time. Moreover, two new algorithms, namely, an Intelligent Agent Weighted Distance Outlier Detection algorithm and an Intelligent Agent-based Enhanced Multiclass Support Vector Machine algorithm are proposed for detecting the intruders in a distributed database environment that uses intelligent agents for trust management and coordination in transaction processing. The experimental results of the proposed model show that this system detects anomalies with low false alarm rate and high-detection rate when tested with KDD Cup 99 data set.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document