Time Series Prediction Using Lyapunov Exponents In Embedding Phase Space

Author(s):  
J. Zhang ◽  
K.F. Man ◽  
J.Y. Ke
2004 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Zhang ◽  
K.C. Lam ◽  
W.J. Yan ◽  
Hang Gao ◽  
Yuan Li

2021 ◽  
Vol 256 ◽  
pp. 02038
Author(s):  
Xin Ji ◽  
Haifeng Zhang ◽  
Jianfang Li ◽  
Xiaolong Zhao ◽  
Shouchao Li ◽  
...  

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of high-dimensional data time series, a high-dimensional data multivariate time series prediction method based on deep reinforcement learning is proposed. The deep reinforcement learning method is used to solve the time delay of each variable and mine the data characteristics. According to the principle of maximum conditional entropy, the embedding dimension of the phase space is expanded, and a multivariate time series model of high-dimensional data is constructed. Thus, the conversion of reconstructed coordinates from low-dimensional to high-dimensional can be kept relatively stable. The strong independence and low redundancy of the final reconstructed phase space construct an effective model input vector for multivariate time series forecasting. Numerical experiments of classical multivariable chaotic time series show that the method proposed in this paper has better forecasting effect, which shows the forecasting effectiveness of this method.


2013 ◽  
Vol 182 ◽  
pp. 71-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Fengchun Tian ◽  
Shouqiong Liu ◽  
Lijun Dang ◽  
Xiongwei Peng ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 128-129 ◽  
pp. 233-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Lan Chen ◽  
Yi Chen ◽  
Qing Huang

Based on the fundamental principles of the wavelet analysis combining with BP neural network, the paper can obtain the minimum embedding dimension and delay time. According to the chaos theory, the phase space of the magnitude time series can be reconstructed by Takens theorem. The paper uses wavelet neural network to train and test the nonlinear magnitude time series in the reconstructed phase space. The simulation results show that the predictive effect of the magnitude time series is remarkable and the predictive performance of single-step prediction is superior to that of multi-step prediction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 1221-1228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingjing Li ◽  
Qijin Zhang ◽  
Yumei Zhang ◽  
Xiaojun Wu ◽  
Xiaoming Wang ◽  
...  

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