Application of Time Series Based SVM Model on Next-Day Electricity Price Forecasting Under Deregulated Power Market

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Sun ◽  
Jian-chang Lu ◽  
Ming Meng
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Power Market ◽  
Electricity Price ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Electricity Price Forecasting ◽  
Svm Model

scholarly journals Recent Development in Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Computational Intelligence Techniques in Deregulated Power Market

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (19) ◽  
pp. 6104
Author(s):  
Alireza Pourdaryaei ◽  
Mohammad Mohammadi ◽  
Mazaher Karimi ◽  
Hazlie Mokhlis ◽  
Hazlee A. Illias ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Power Market ◽  
Electricity Price ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Feature Selection Technique ◽  
Selection Technique ◽  
Backtracking Search ◽  
Electricity Price Forecasting ◽  
Input Variables

The development of artificial intelligence (AI) based techniques for electricity price forecasting (EPF) provides essential information to electricity market participants and managers because of its greater handling capability of complex input and output relationships. Therefore, this research investigates and analyzes the performance of different optimization methods in the training phase of artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for the accuracy enhancement of EPF. In this work, a multi-objective optimization-based feature selection technique with the capability of eliminating non-linear and interacting features is implemented to create an efficient day-ahead price forecasting. In the beginning, the multi-objective binary backtracking search algorithm (MOBBSA)-based feature selection technique is used to examine various combinations of input variables to choose the suitable feature subsets, which minimizes, simultaneously, both the number of features and the estimation error. In the later phase, the selected features are transferred into the machine learning-based techniques to map the input variables to the output in order to forecast the electricity price. Furthermore, to increase the forecasting accuracy, a backtracking search algorithm (BSA) is applied as an efficient evolutionary search algorithm in the learning procedure of the ANFIS approach. The performance of the forecasting methods for the Queensland power market in the year 2018, which is well-known as the most competitive market in the world, is investigated and compared to show the superiority of the proposed methods over other selected methods.

scholarly journals An efficient framework for short-term electricity price forecasting in deregulated power market

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Alireza Pourdaryaei ◽  
Mohammad Mohammadi ◽  
MunirAzam Muhammad ◽  
Junaid Bin Fakhrul Islam ◽  
Mazaher Karimi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Power Market ◽  
Electricity Price ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Electricity Price Forecasting

FUZZY TIME SERIES FOR ELECTRICITY PRICE FORECASTING

2017 ◽  
Vol 0 (3) ◽  
pp. 45-50
Author(s):  
Volodymyr Andriiovych Popov ◽  
Petro Oleksandrovych Zamkovyi ◽  
Л. В. Охота ◽  
Д. С. Поплавець
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Electricity Price ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Electricity Price Forecasting
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document