Study of Support Vector Machines Based on Immunogenetic Particle Swarm Algorithm in Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Model

Author(s):  
Dongxiao Niu ◽  
Yongli Wang
Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1617
Author(s):  
Kang Qian ◽  
Xinyi Wang ◽  
Yue Yuan

Integrated energy services will have multiple values and far-reaching significance in promoting energy transformation and serving “carbon peak and carbon neutralization”. In order to balance the supply and demand of power system in integrated energy, it is necessary to establish a scientific model for power load forecasting. Different algorithms for short-term electric load forecasting considering meteorological factors are presented in this paper. The correlation between electric load and meteorological factors is first analyzed. After the principal component analysis (PCA) of meteorological factors and autocorrelation analysis of the electric load, the daily load forecasting model is established by optimal support vector machine (OPT-SVM), Elman neural network (ENN), as well as their combinations through linear weighted average, geometric weighted average, and harmonic weighted average method, respectively. Based on the actual data of an industrial park of Nantong in China, the prediction performance in the four seasons with the different models is evaluated. The main contribution of this paper is to compare the effectiveness of different models for short-term electric load forecasting and to give a guideline to build the proper methods for load forecasting.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 155014772092163
Author(s):  
Xianfei Yang ◽  
Xiang Yu ◽  
Hui Lu

Power load forecasting is an important guarantee of safe, stable, and economic operation of power systems. It is appropriate to use interval data to represent fuzzy information in power load forecasting. The dual possibilistic regression models approximate the observed interval data from the outside and inside directions, respectively, which can estimate the inherent uncertainty existing in the given fuzzy phenomenon well. In this article, efficient dual possibilistic regression models of support vector machines based on solving a group of quadratic programming problems are proposed. And each quadratic programming problem containing fewer optimization variables makes the training speed of the proposed approach fast. Compared with other interval regression approaches based on support vector machines, such as quadratic loss support vector machine approach and two smaller quadratic programming problem support vector machine approach, the proposed approach is more efficient on several artificial datasets and power load dataset.


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