Prediction of Asian Steel Price Index Using Fuzzy Time Series

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Tao Chou
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series

Fuzzy Autocorrelation Model with Fuzzy Confidence Intervals and its Evaluation

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 512-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshiyuki Yabuuchi ◽  
◽  
Takayuki Kawaura ◽  
Junzo Watada ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Fuzzy Theory ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Time Series Model ◽  
Fuzzy Regression ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series ◽  
Time Series Models

Interval models based on fuzzy regression and fuzzy time-series can illustrate the possibilities of a system using the intervals in the model. Thus, the aim is to minimize the vagueness of the model in order to describe the possible states of the system. In the present study, we consider on an interval fuzzy time-series model based on a Box–Jenkins model, a fuzzy autocorrelation model proposed by Yabuuchi, and a fuzzy regressive model proposed by Ozawa. We examine two models by analyzing the Japanese national consumer price index and demonstrate that our approach improves the accuracy of predictions. The utility and predictive accuracy of fuzzy time-series models are validated using two concepts of fuzzy theory and statistics. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the fuzzy autocorrelation model with fuzzy confidence intervals.

About One Approach to Defuzzifikation of Outputs of Fuzzy Time Series Model

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (9) ◽  
pp. 562-566
Author(s):  
Ramin Rzayev ◽  
◽  
Musa Agamaliyev ◽  
Nijat Askerov
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Model ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series

Peramalan Data IHSG Menggunakan Metode Backpropagation

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-30
Author(s):  
Seng Hansun
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Soft Computing ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series

Jaringan saraf tiruan merupakan salah satu metode soft computing yang banyak digunakan dan diterapkan di berbagai disiplin ilmu, termasuk analisis data runtun waktu. Tujuan utama dari analisis data runtun waktu adalah untuk memprediksi data runtun waktu yang dapat digunakan secara luas dalam berbagai data runtun waktu real, termasuk data harga saham. Banyak peneliti yang telah berkontribusi dalam analisis data runtun waktu dengan menggunakan berbagai pendekatan berbeda. Chen dan Hsu, Jilani dkk., Stevenson dan Porter, dan Hansun telah menggunakan metode fuzzy time series untuk meramalkan data mendatang, sementara beberapa peneliti lainnya menggunakan metode hibrid, seperti yang dilakukan oleh Subanar dan Suhartono, Popoola dkk, Popoola, Hansun dan Subanar. Di dalam penelitian ini, penulis mencoba untuk menerapkan metode jaringan saraf tiruan backpropagation pada salah satu indikator perubahan harga saham, yakni IHSG (Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan). Penelitian dilanjutkan dengan menghitung tingkat akurasi dan kehandalan metode yang telah diterapkan pada data IHSG. Pendekatan ini diharapkan dapat menjadi salah satu cara alternatif dalam meramalkan data IHSG sebagai salah satu indikator perubahan harga saham di Indonesia. Kata kunci—jaringan saraf tiruan, backpropagation, analisis data runtun waktu, soft computing, IHSG

A Distributed Algorithm for Scalable Fuzzy Time Series

2019 ◽  
pp. 42-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petrônio Cândido de Lima e Silva ◽  
Patrícia de Oliveira e Lucas ◽  
Frederico Gadelha Guimarães
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Distributed Algorithm ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series

Fuzzy time series for predicting phenological stages of apple trees

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiago Boechel ◽  
Lucas Micol Policarpo ◽  
Gabriel de Oliveira Ramos ◽  
Rodrigo da Rosa Righi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series ◽  
Phenological Stages ◽  
Apple Trees

Evolving Fuzzy Time Series for Spatio-temporal Forecasting in Renewable Energy Systems

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos A. Severiano ◽  
Petrônio de Cândido de Lima e Silva ◽  
Miri Weiss Cohen ◽  
Frederico Gadelha Guimarães
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Energy Systems ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series ◽  
Renewable Energy Systems ◽  
Spatio Temporal
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