Improving time series classification using Hidden Markov Models

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bilal Esmael ◽  
Arghad Arnaout ◽  
Rudolf K. Fruhwirth ◽  
Gerhard Thonhauser
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Hidden Markov Models ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Time Series Classification

scholarly journals Permutation Entropy: Enhancing Discriminating Power by Using Relative Frequencies Vector of Ordinal Patterns Instead of Their Shannon Entropy

Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 1013 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Cuesta-Frau ◽  
Antonio Molina-Picó ◽  
Borja Vargas ◽  
Paula González
Keyword(s):  
Nonlinear Dynamics ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Classification Accuracy ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Permutation Entropy ◽  
Time Series Classification ◽  
Discriminating Power ◽  
Ordinal Patterns ◽  
Temperature Records

Many measures to quantify the nonlinear dynamics of a time series are based on estimating the probability of certain features from their relative frequencies. Once a normalised histogram of events is computed, a single result is usually derived. This process can be broadly viewed as a nonlinear I R n mapping into I R , where n is the number of bins in the histogram. However, this mapping might entail a loss of information that could be critical for time series classification purposes. In this respect, the present study assessed such impact using permutation entropy (PE) and a diverse set of time series. We first devised a method of generating synthetic sequences of ordinal patterns using hidden Markov models. This way, it was possible to control the histogram distribution and quantify its influence on classification results. Next, real body temperature records are also used to illustrate the same phenomenon. The experiments results confirmed the improved classification accuracy achieved using raw histogram data instead of the PE final values. Thus, this study can provide a very valuable guidance for the improvement of the discriminating capability not only of PE, but of many similar histogram-based measures.

scholarly journals A Hidden Markov Model for the Linguistic Analysis of the Voynich Manuscript

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Acedo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Models ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Mathematical Linguistics ◽  
Underlying Structure ◽  
Internal States ◽  
Consonant Sounds

Hidden Markov models are a very useful tool in the modeling of time series and any sequence of data. In particular, they have been successfully applied to the field of mathematical linguistics. In this paper, we apply a hidden Markov model to analyze the underlying structure of an ancient and complex manuscript, known as the Voynich manuscript, which remains undeciphered. By assuming a certain number of internal states representations for the symbols of the manuscripts, we train the network by means of the α and β -pass algorithms to optimize the model. By this procedure, we are able to obtain the so-called transition and observation matrices to compare with known languages concerning the frequency of consonant andvowel sounds. From this analysis, we conclude that transitions occur between the two states with similar frequencies to other languages. Moreover, the identification of the vowel and consonant sounds matches some previous tentative bottom-up approaches to decode the manuscript.

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