Improved RBF Neural Network Ensemble Prediction Model for PMI

Author(s):  
Leilei Pan ◽  
Xudong Li
2013 ◽  
Vol 805-806 ◽  
pp. 1421-1424
Author(s):  
Xue Feng ◽  
Wuyunbilige Bao ◽  
Ben Ha

Choose factors which influence the energy demand by the method of path analysis, build radial basis function (RBF) neural network model to predict energy demand in China. The RBF neural network is trained with the actual data of the main factors affecting energy demand during 1989-2003 and energy demand during 1993-2007 as learning sample with a good fitting effect. After testing network with the actual data of the main factors affecting energy demand during 2004-2007 and energy demand during 2008-2011, higher prediction accuracy can be obtained. By comparison with the BP network, RBF network prediction model outperforms BP network prediction model, finally RBF network is applied to make prediction of energy consumption for the year 2013-2015.


2012 ◽  
Vol 182-183 ◽  
pp. 1358-1361
Author(s):  
Le Xiao ◽  
Min Peng Hu

According to the fact that the use of electricity in grain depot is nonlinear time series, the article introduces the prediction model of electricity based on Radial Basis Function Neural Network, and conducts the modeling and prediction by adopting the historical electricity consumption of a typical grain depot. As the result of simulation shows, the model obtains better forecasting results in grain depot electricity.


2011 ◽  
Vol 467-469 ◽  
pp. 923-927
Author(s):  
Ai She Shui ◽  
Wei Min Chen ◽  
Li Chuan Liu ◽  
Yong Hong Shui

This paper focuses on the problem of detecting sensor faults in feedback control systems with multistage RBF neural network ensemble-based estimators. The sensor fault detection framework is introduced. The modeling process of the estimator is presented. Fault detection is accomplished by evaluating residuals, which are the differences between the actual values of sensor outputs and the estimated values. The particular feature of the fault detection approach is using the data sequences of multi-sensor readings and controller outputs to establish the bank of estimators and fault-sensitive detectors. A detectability study has also been done with the additive type of sensor faults. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated by means of three tank system experiment results.


Author(s):  
Lean Yu ◽  
Shouyang Wang

In this study, a multistage confidence-based radial basis function (RBF) neural network ensemble learning model is proposed to design a reliable delinquent prediction system for credit risk management. In the first stage, a bagging sampling approach is used to generate different training datasets. In the second stage, the RBF neural network models are trained using various training datasets from the previous stage. In the third stage, the trained RBF neural network models are applied to the testing dataset and some prediction results and confidence values can be obtained. In the fourth stage, the confidence values are scaled into a unit interval by logistic transformation. In the final stage, the multiple different RBF neural network models are fused to obtain the final prediction results by means of confidence measure. For illustration purpose, two publicly available credit datasets are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed confidence-based RBF neural network ensemble learning paradigm.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 2476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fu-Qing Cui ◽  
Zhi-Yun Liu ◽  
Jian-Bing Chen ◽  
Yuan-Hong Dong ◽  
Long Jin ◽  
...  

Soil thermal conductivity is a dominant parameter of an unsteady heat-transfer process, which further influences the stability and sustainability of engineering applications in permafrost regions. In this work, a laboratory test for massive specimens is performed to reveal the distribution characteristics and the parameter-influencing mechanisms of soil thermal conductivity along the Qinghai–Tibet Engineering Corridor (QTEC). Based on the measurement data of 638 unfrozen and 860 frozen soil specimens, binary fitting, radial basis function (RBF) neural network and ternary fitting (for frozen soils) prediction models of soil thermal conductivity have been developed and compared. The results demonstrate that, (1) particle size and intrinsic heat-conducting capacity of the soil skeleton have a significant influence on the soil thermal conductivity, and the typical specimens in the QTEC can be classified as three clusters according to their thermal conductivity probability distribution and water-holding capacity; (2) dry density as well as water content sometimes does not have a strong positive correlation with thermal conductivity of natural soil samples, especially for multiple soil types and complex compositions; (3) both the RBF neural network method and ternary fitting method have favorable prediction accuracy and a wide application range. The maximum determination coefficient (R2) and quantitative proportion of relative error within ±10% ( P ± 10 % ) of each prediction model reaches up to 0.82, 0.88, 81.4% and 74.5%, respectively. Furthermore, because the ternary fitting method can only be used for frozen soils, the RBF neural network method is considered the optimal approach among all three prediction methods. This study can contribute to the construction and maintenance of engineering applications in permafrost regions.


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