Two-stage stochastic model of unit commitment with wind farm

Author(s):  
Zhang Ningyu ◽  
Liu Jiankun ◽  
Zhou Qian
2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 947-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Che ◽  
Lixin Tang ◽  
Jianhui Wang

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 3586 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sizhou Sun ◽  
Jingqi Fu ◽  
Ang Li

Given the large-scale exploitation and utilization of wind power, the problems caused by the high stochastic and random characteristics of wind speed make researchers develop more reliable and precise wind power forecasting (WPF) models. To obtain better predicting accuracy, this study proposes a novel compound WPF strategy by optimal integration of four base forecasting engines. In the forecasting process, density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) is firstly employed to identify meaningful information and discard the abnormal wind power data. To eliminate the adverse influence of the missing data on the forecasting accuracy, Lagrange interpolation method is developed to get the corrected values of the missing points. Then, the two-stage decomposition (TSD) method including ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and wavelet transform (WT) is utilized to preprocess the wind power data. In the decomposition process, the empirical wind power data are disassembled into different intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residual (Res) by EEMD, and the highest frequent time series IMF1 is further broken into different components by WT. After determination of the input matrix by a partial autocorrelation function (PACF) and normalization into [0, 1], these decomposed components are used as the input variables of all the base forecasting engines, including least square support vector machine (LSSVM), wavelet neural networks (WNN), extreme learning machine (ELM) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), to make the multistep WPF. To avoid local optima and improve the forecasting performance, the parameters in LSSVM, ELM, and WNN are tuned by backtracking search algorithm (BSA). On this basis, BSA algorithm is also employed to optimize the weighted coefficients of the individual forecasting results that produced by the four base forecasting engines to generate an ensemble of the forecasts. In the end, case studies for a certain wind farm in China are carried out to assess the proposed forecasting strategy.


2015 ◽  
Vol 737 ◽  
pp. 9-13
Author(s):  
Jun Zhang ◽  
Yuan Hao Wang ◽  
Ying Yi Li ◽  
Feng Guo

With the wind farm data from the southeast coast this paper builds a two-stage combination forecasting model of output power based on data preprocessing which include filling up missing data and pre-decomposition. The first stage is a composite prediction of decomposed power sequence in which a time series and optimized BP neural network predict the general trend and the correlation of various factors respectively. The second stage is BP neural network with its input is the results of first stage. The effectiveness and accuracy of the two-stage combination model are verified by comparing the mean square error of the combination model and other models.


Author(s):  
Ning Quan ◽  
Harrison Kim

The power maximizing grid-based wind farm layout optimization problem seeks to determine the layout of a given number of turbines from a grid of possible locations such that wind farm power output is maximized. The problem in general is a nonlinear discrete optimization problem which cannot be solved to optimality, so heuristics must be used. This article proposes a new two stage heuristic that first finds a layout that minimizes the maximum pairwise power loss between any pair of turbines. The initial layout is then changed one turbine at a time to decrease sum of pairwise power losses. The proposed heuristic is compared to the greedy algorithm using real world data collected from a site in Iowa. The results suggest that the proposed heuristic produces layouts with slightly higher power output, but are less robust to changes in the dominant wind direction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 6857-6867 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammadreza Daneshvar ◽  
Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo ◽  
Kazem Zare ◽  
Somayeh Asadi

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