Blockchain adoption will grow amid bitcoin volatility

Subject Crypto market dynamics. Significance The market capitalisation of cryptocurrencies fell to below 250 billion dollars on April 6 from a record high of 827 billion on January 7. Greater regulation, coupled with more volatile global equity markets and the April 15 US tax filing deadline had prompted substantial cryptocurrency selling. However, the valuation has since recovered to more than 325 billion dollars, supported by the US deadline passing, a seminal paper on April 10 by Blossom Finance declaring bitcoin investment allowable under Sharia law and, most importantly, interest in uses for blockchain continuing to grow. Impacts Many crypto hedge funds have shut, many ICOs have failed and this will continue, but among the blockchain firms there will be big successes. The Swiss stock exchange plans to launch a cryptocurrency version of the Swiss franc; Switzerland will expand as an ICO hub. The rise in financial market volatility since February will intensify and persist as global trade tensions are increasing.

Significance Furthermore, liquidity injections by central banks are supressing bond yields. However, even a hint from major central banks that inflation is picking up faster than anticipated could roil stock markets, whose lofty valuations depend on yields remaining ultra-low. Impacts A communication blunder by a major central bank could exacerbate any bond market volatility and cause a sharp sell-off in equity markets. More transmissible coronavirus strains are reaching more nations and reigniting fears about the speed and efficacy of vaccine rollout. A record USD18tn of public and corporate debt is yielding a negative return, fuelling demand for higher-yield EM bonds and currencies. The trade-weighted dollar has fallen by nearly 4% since end-September to the lowest since April 2018; it is set to stay under pressure.


Significance The combination of more COVID-19 cases in parts of the United States and unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus is straining the dollar. In parallel, the euro is benefiting from a push for closer euro-area integration. Nevertheless, the US MSCI equity index has risen by 6.3% this year, with the tech sub-index gaining 25%. Europe’s MSCI equity index is down 7.4%. Impacts ‘Big Tech’ accounts for 40% of the market capitalisation of the S&P 500 equity index and looks set to continue powering the equity rally. The world stock of negative-yielding sovereign and corporate bonds has almost doubled from end-February to over USD15tn; it may rise more. The euro reached its highest level to the dollar in over two years this month; Europe’s stimulus package should help it maintain momentum. Dollars make up nearly two-thirds of the world stock of foreign exchange reserves; this share will fall very gradually, over years.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Saifur Rahman ◽  
Shahari Farihana

Purpose This paper aims to examine whether the US influences the ASEAN + 3 financial market integration. Design/methodology/approach A two-stage cointegration test is used in the estimation by using equity indices from selected member economies and the USA. Findings The finding of this study shows that the equity markets of ASEAN + 3 are integrated especially after the Asian crisis period reflecting the regional cooperation. There is a strong market nexus between ASEAN + 3 and the USA, but the ASEAN + 3 financial cooperation agreement does not depend on the US financial market. Originality/value The study offers invaluable policy implications for developing the nexus in the regional equity markets.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 463-475
Author(s):  
Selma Izadi ◽  
Abdullah Noman

Purpose The existence of the weekend effect has been reported from the 1950s to 1970s in the US stock markets. Recently, Robins and Smith (2016, Critical Finance Review, 5: 417-424) have argued that the weekend effect has disappeared after 1975. Using data on the market portfolio, they document existence of structural break before 1975 and absence of any weekend effects after that date. The purpose of this study is to contribute some new empirical evidences on the weekend effect for the industry-style portfolios in the US stock market using data over 90 years. Design/methodology/approach The authors re-examine persistence or reversal of the weekend effect in the industry portfolios consisting of The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), The American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and The National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations exchange (NASDAQ) stocks using daily returns from 1926 to 2017. Our results confirm varying dates for structural breaks across industrial portfolios. Findings As for the existence of weekend effects, the authors get mixed results for different portfolios. However, the overall findings provide broad support for the absence of weekend effects in most of the industrial portfolios as reported in Robins and Smith (2016). In addition, structural breaks for other weekdays and days of the week effects for other days have also been documented in the paper. Originality/value As far as the authors are aware, this paper is the first research that analyzes weekend effect for the industry-style portfolios in the US stock market using data over 90 years.


2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 2-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose L. Huesca-Dorantes ◽  
Snejina Michailova ◽  
Christina Stringer

Purpose This paper provides an overview of the Aztec 13 – the top 13 multinational enterprises in Mexico. Different from research that groups countries and regions, the purpose of the paper is to deliver a nuanced picture of these multinationals in terms of their key characteristics and the strategies they follow when they internationalize. Design/methodology/approach All data sources that have been identified and reviewed are documents, printed and electronic. The Aztec multilatinas were identified using Forbes Global 2000 (2017). Other data sources such as media texts, company annual reports, reports filed with the Mexican Stock Exchange and the US Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as investor presentations, were collected and analyzed. Data sources were published in English and Spanish. The analytic procedure adopted entailed identifying, selecting, making sense of and synthesizing the data contained in the documents. Findings Aztec multilatinas have specific characteristics which, to a great extent, influence their internationalization strategies. Characteristics include the geographical location of their headquarters, their origin and history, their ownership structure and ties with families and government. These factors, combined, help to describe in greater nuance the internationalization strategies and activities of the Aztec 13. Such a detailed and focused description is a first necessary step for subsequent potential theorizing. Originality/value This paper contributes to the vibrant scholarly conversation on multinational enterprises from less researched regions and countries. Latin America is such a region and Mexico is such a country. Focusing on a single country and its top 13 multinationals allow a comprehensive description and disciplined analysis, with no dangerous generalizations to large regions and even larger settings such as emerging markets multinationals and with no false claims for theorizing.


2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 2-18
Author(s):  
Shanmugavel Rajeevan ◽  
Roshan Ajward

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the association between designated corporate governance attributes and the degree of earnings management in selected quoted companies in Sri Lanka. Design/methodology/approach In total, 70 listed companies in Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) were selected based on the highest market capitalisation for the period covering from 2015 to 2017 and representing beverage, food and tobacco, diversified, hotel and travel, manufacturing, oil palms and health care sectors, which accounted for 59.9 per cent of the total market capitalisation of CSE. Findings This study found a positive relationship between CEO-Chair duality and earnings management. Practical implications The insights may also provide investors, economic analysts and regulators with early caution indicators of potential problems in a corporation regarding corporate governance failures and aid stakeholders in assessing the effectiveness and efficiency of the board and corporate governance structure and earnings management methods. Originality/value This study extends the extant research on board characteristics and real earnings management by adopting prominent research design and modernised data. This study offers evidence on how selected audit and board committee’s characteristics influence real earnings management practices.


Significance This volatility is driven by expectations of further monetary stimulus in response to a slowing economy. Despite persistent concerns about the fallout from the anticipated tightening in US monetary policy and many country-specific risks, such as the standoff between Greece and its creditors, equity market sentiment remains supported by accommodative monetary policies worldwide and expectations of the US monetary policy tightening being gradual. Impacts Market volatility could increase further, as better-than-expected economic data in the euro-area vies with weaker-than-anticipated US data. Decoupling of surging equity prices and weak economic fundamentals threatens the rally's sustainability, increasing scope for volatility. This decoupling is most pronounced in China, where weak economic data prompt buying of equities in anticipation of stimulus measures. The greatest risk in equity markets is uncertainty surrounding US interest rates and their impact on emerging markets.


Subject Cryptocurrency classification. Significance The classification of crypto assets under US securities law is less clear than in Japan, China and South Korea, but a working group comprising senior officials of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is discussing it. The unclear status of Ethereum’s ether and Ripple’s XRP, the second- and third-largest crypto assets by market capitalisation, is the centre of attention. Impacts Mined crypto assets including bitcoin and litecoin are likely to remain classed as commodities. Ether and XRP are unlikely to be designated as commodities as they were initial coin offerings (ICOs) but also not as standard securities. As ICOs come under increasing regulatory scrutiny and control, more will fail, but a few may achieve notable success.


Significance The ECB's plan could tip the scales towards tighter credit conditions globally. However, there are concerns about global growth -- particularly in the euro-area -- and government bonds are proving extremely sensitive to hawkish policy, fuelling financial market volatility. Impacts The VIX index of anticipated US equities volatility is back near a record low, but volatility may rise and remain higher than recent years. Fed rate hikes and US growth outpacing the euro-area will strengthen the dollar although the euro briefly rose on the news of ECB tapering. The ECB trails the Fed by some years in policy tightening and forming a plan for unwinding QE; this divergence will also boost the dollar. The Bank of Japan is buying vast quantities of government bonds and has no plans to remove stimulus as inflation is far below the 2% target. Investors are appreciating and trusting Fed Chair Jay Powell's attempts to speak plainly and less formulaically than predecessor Yellen.


Subject The transition away from LIBOR. Significance The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) has been relied upon worldwide since 1970 for setting interest rates on syndicated loans, corporate debt, consumer loans, interest rate swaps and other derivatives. Following the 'LIBOR scandal' of 2008, the UK Financial Conduct Authority took over the regulation and administration of the rate, and no manipulation has emerged since 2013. Nevertheless, the United Kingdom and United States are determined to replace LIBOR. Impacts COVID-19 could prompt the US Fed to increase its support to the repo market, exacerbating fears that SOFR is not market determined. The scale and duration of COVID-19-related economic disruptions loom over banking sector profitability. Banks will struggle to balance immediate priorities triggered by COVID-19, and the need to devote staff and funds to the LIBOR transition.


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