Illinois Superconductor Corp.: Forecasting Demand for Superconducting Filters

Author(s):  
Mohanbir Sawhney ◽  
Lisa Damkroger ◽  
Greg McGuirk ◽  
Julie Milbratz ◽  
John Rountree

Illinois Superconductor Corp. a technology start-up, came up with an innovative new superconducting filter for use in cellular base stations. It needed to estimate the demand for its filters. The manager came up with a simple chain-ratio-based forecasting model that, while simple and intuitive, was too simplistic. The company had also commissioned a research firm to develop a model-based forecast. The model-based forecast used diffusion modeling, analogy-based forecasting, and conjoint analysis to create a forecast that incorporated customer preferences, diffusion effects, and competitive dynamics.To use the data to generate a model-based forecast and to reconcile the model-based forecast with the manager's forecast. Requires sophisticated spreadsheet modeling and the application of advanced forecasting techniques.

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Hongjiang Ma ◽  
Xu Luo

The irrationality between the procurement and distribution of the logistics system increases unnecessary circulation links and greatly reduces logistics efficiency, which not only causes a waste of transportation resources, but also increases logistics costs. In order to improve the operation efficiency of the logistics system, based on the improved neural network algorithm, this paper combines the logistic regression algorithm to construct a logistics demand forecasting model based on the improved neural network algorithm. Moreover, according to the characteristics of the complexity of the data in the data mining task itself, this article optimizes the ladder network structure, and combines its supervisory decision-making part with the shallow network to make the model more suitable for logistics demand forecasting. In addition, this paper analyzes the performance of the model based on examples and uses the grey relational analysis method to give the degree of correlation between each influencing factor and logistics demand. The research results show that the model constructed in this paper is reasonable and can be analyzed from a practical perspective.


2020 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 101084 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaolei Sun ◽  
Mingxi Liu ◽  
Zeqian Sima

ACS Omega ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (44) ◽  
pp. 28579-28586
Author(s):  
Rong Liang ◽  
Xintan Chang ◽  
Pengtao Jia ◽  
Chengyixiong Xu

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