scholarly journals Musical prediction error responses similarly reduced by predictive uncertainty in musicians and non-musicians

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.R. Quiroga-Martinez ◽  
N.C. Hansen ◽  
A. Højlund ◽  
M. Pearce ◽  
E. Brattico ◽  
...  

AbstractAuditory prediction error responses elicited by surprising sounds can be reliably recorded with musical stimuli that are more complex and realistic than those typically employed in EEG or MEG oddball paradigms. However, these responses are reduced as the predictive uncertainty of the stimuli increases. In this study, we investigate whether this effect is modulated by musical expertise. Magnetic mismatch negativity (MMNm) responses were recorded from 26 musicians and 24 non-musicians while they listened to low-and high-uncertainty melodic sequences in a musical multi-feature paradigm that included pitch, slide, intensity, and timbre deviants. When compared to non-musicians, musically trained participants had significantly larger pitch and slide MMNm responses. However, both groups showed comparable reductions of pitch and slide MMNm amplitudes in the high-uncertainty condition compared to the low-uncertainty condition. In a separate, behavioral deviance detection experiment, musicians were more accurate and confident about their responses than non-musicians, but deviance detection in both groups was similarly affected by the uncertainty of the melodies. In both experiments, the interaction between uncertainty and expertise was not significant, suggesting that the effect is comparable in both groups. Consequently, our results replicate the modulatory effect of predictive uncertainty on prediction error; show that it is present across different types of listeners; and suggest that expertise-related and stimulus-driven modulations of predictive precision are dissociable and independent.

Medicina ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 319
Author(s):  
Ivajlo Popov ◽  
Veronika Popova ◽  
Juraj Sekac ◽  
Vladimir Krasnik

Background and Objectives: To evaluate the performance of intraocular lenses (IOLs) using power calculation formulas on different types of IOL. Materials and Methods: 120 eyes and four IOL types (BioLine Yellow Accurate Aspheric IOL (i-Medical), TECNIS ZCB00, TECNIS ZA9003 (Johnson & Johnson) (3-piece IOL) and Softec HD (Lenstec)) were analyzed. The performance of Haigis, Barret Universal II and SKR-II formulas were compared between IOL types. The mean prediction error (ME) and mean absolute prediction error (MAE) were analyzed. Results: The overall percentage of eyes predicted within ±0.25 diopters (D) was 40.8% for Barret; 39.2% Haigis and 31.7% for SRK-II. Barret and Haigis had a significantly lower MAE than SRK-II (p < 0.05). The results differed among IOL types. The largest portion of eyes predicted within ±0.25 D was with the Barret formula in ZCB00 (33.3%) and ZA9003 (43.3%). Haigis was the most accurate in Softec HD (50%) and SRK-II in Biolline Yellow IOL (50%). ZCB00 showed a clinically significant hypermetropic ME compared to other IOLs. Conclusions: In general, Barret formulas had the best performance as a universal formula. However, the formula should be chosen according to the type of IOL in order to obtain the best results. Constant optimizations are necessary for the Tecnis IOL ZCB00 and ZA9003, as all of the analyzed formulas achieved a clinically significant poor performance in this type of IOL. ZCB00 also showed a hypermetropic shift in ME in all the formulas.


2018 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 1615-1651 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guido Baltussen ◽  
Sjoerd van Bekkum ◽  
Bart van der Grient

Stocks with high uncertainty about risk, as measured by the volatility of expected volatility (vol-of-vol), robustly underperform stocks with low uncertainty about risk by 8% per year. This vol-of-vol effect is distinct from (combinations of) at least 20 previously documented return predictors, survives many robustness checks, and holds in the United States and across European stock markets. We empirically explore the pricing mechanism behind the vol-of-vol effect. The evidence points toward preference-based explanations and away from alternative explanations. Collectively, our results show that uncertainty about risk is highly relevant for stock prices.


2021 ◽  
pp. 107554702110481
Author(s):  
Yan Huang ◽  
Wenlin Liu

The study examines how framing, psychological uncertainty, and agency type influence campaign effectiveness in promoting coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines. A 2 (gain vs. loss frame) × 2 (high vs. low uncertainty) × 2 (national vs. local agency) between-subjects experiment was conducted among Houston residents ( N = 382). Findings revealed that a loss frame was more effective among participants primed with high uncertainty through a thought-listing task; however, it was less persuasive under conditions of low uncertainty due to increased psychological reactance. Moreover, there was an interaction effect between uncertainty and agency type on vaccine beliefs. The study contributes to the framing literature by identifying psychological uncertainty as a moderator and provides useful suggestions for vaccine message design.


2009 ◽  
Vol 102 (6) ◽  
pp. 3384-3391 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vivian V. Valentin ◽  
John P. O'Doherty

Prediction error signals have been reported in human imaging studies in target areas of dopamine neurons such as ventral and dorsal striatum during learning with many different types of reinforcers. However, a key question that has yet to be addressed is whether prediction error signals recruit distinct or overlapping regions of striatum and elsewhere during learning with different types of reward. To address this, we scanned 17 healthy subjects with functional magnetic resonance imaging while they chose actions to obtain either a pleasant juice reward (1 ml apple juice), or a monetary gain (5 cents) and applied a computational reinforcement learning model to subjects' behavioral and imaging data. Evidence for an overlapping prediction error signal during learning with juice and money rewards was found in a region of dorsal striatum (caudate nucleus), while prediction error signals in a subregion of ventral striatum were significantly stronger during learning with money but not juice reward. These results provide evidence for partially overlapping reward prediction signals for different types of appetitive reinforcers within the striatum, a finding with important implications for understanding the nature of associative encoding in the striatum as a function of reinforcer type.


2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 585-596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dariusz Lisiak ◽  
Karol Borzuta ◽  
Piotr Janiszewski ◽  
Fabian Magda ◽  
Eugenia Grześkowiak ◽  
...  

AbstractFour manual classification devices for estimating pork carcass meat content, i.e. CGM, Fat-OMeat’er II, IM-03 and UltraFom 300 were tested. The experiment was carried out with properly selected raw material (n=141 pigs) from current deliveries for pig slaughter at the Meat Plant SKIBA S.A. in Chojnice. Pork raw material was derived from three different Polish regions and represented different types of fatness, different carcass weights (from 60 to 120 kg) and different sexes (half were gilts and half were barrows). The applied testing procedure was consistent with European Union regulations. The research resulted in the development of regression equations for estimating pork carcass meat content in Poland. These equations are of rectilinear type and use four (in the case of UltraFom 300) or two (in the case of other devices) measurements of backfat and longissimus dorsi muscle thickness located at a distance of 6 cm (CGM, IM-03) or 7 cm (Fat-OMeat’er II, UltraFom 300) from the backfat edge at the section between 3rd and 4th rib, counting ribs from the end (CGM, IM-03, Fat-O-Meat’er II) and also at the height of the last rib section (UltraFom 300). The prediction error does not exceed the termination value of 2.50% established by EU regulations and amounts to 2.16% for CGM, 2.18% for Fat-O-Meat’er II, 1.89% for IM-03 and 2.07% for UltraFom 300. New regression equations have been applied in the meat industry since 12 December 2011.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. e82663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoyo Isoguchi Shiramatsu ◽  
Ryohei Kanzaki ◽  
Hirokazu Takahashi

2014 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 446-458 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verner Knott ◽  
Danielle Impey ◽  
Tristan Philippe ◽  
Dylan Smith ◽  
Joelle Choueiry ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Baiq Handayani Rinuastuti ◽  
Rusdan Rusdan ◽  
Junaidi Sagir ◽  
Darwini Darwini

This research aim is to get a depth understanding to the potential of difference in shopping style related to the culture orientation to avoid uncertainty in the tourist group. This research was conducted in three tourist sites, namely: Senggigi Beach, Gili Terawangan, and Kuta Beach. With Manova analysis known that tourists who have high uncertainty avoidance orientation tend to have decision-making style that prioritizes; quality, value, well-known brand, loyal to the brand, and confusion because of the many options. While at Travelers who have low uncertainty avoidance orientation tend to have a decision-making style that characterized expenditure: fashion consciousness, orientation recreational, and impulsive. By knowing the relationship between uncertainty avoidance cultural orientation and style tourist spending will bring enormous benefits to the tourism industry and government in promoting the activities of tourist spending, especially for the domestic market segment. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mendapatkan pemahaman yang mendalam terhadap potensi perbedaan gaya belanja yang terkait dengan orientasi budaya untuk menghindari ketidakpastian dalam kelompok wisatawan. Penelitian ini dilakukan di tiga lokasi wisata, yaitu : senggigi beach, termasuk gili terawangan dan pantai kuta. Dengan analisis manova tahu bahwa wisatawan yang memiliki ketidakpastian tinggi penghindaran orientasi cenderung memiliki gaya pengambilan keputusan yang mengutamakan; kualitas, nilai, merek terkenal, setia kepada merek dan kebingungan karena banyaknya pilihan. Sementara pada wisatawan yang memiliki orientasi penghindaran ketidakpastian rendah cenderung memiliki keputusan-membuat gaya yang dicirikan pengeluaran : Mode kesadaran, orientasi rekreasi dan impulsif. Dengan mengetahui hubungan antara ketidakpastian penghindaran budaya orientasi dan gaya pengeluaran wisata akan membawa manfaat besar bagi industri pariwisata dan pemerintah dalam mempromosikan kegiatan wisata belanja, terutama untuk pasar domestik segmen.Keywords :Shopping style, uncertainty avoidance, domestic travelers


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