Uncovering the effects of Müllerian mimicry on the evolution of conspicuousness in colour patterns
AbstractThe conspicuousness of colour pattern in defended species associates with a high detectability by predators, making its evolution puzzling. Müllerian mimicry, the convergence of warning coloration among defended prey species, is pervasive in communities of conspicuous prey, and mimicry switches, with mutant individuals having the same colour pattern as other co-mimetic species, may often associate with changes in conspicuousness. Yet, the implication of mimicry for the evolution of conspicuousness has not been considered. Here, we build a model describing the population dynamics of conspicuous defended prey to explore the invasion conditions of mutants that differ from other individuals by their conspicuousness. We assume that predation risk depends not only on the number of individuals sharing a given colour pattern within the population but also on the presence of co-mimetic species. We compare the evolutionary fates of mutant colour patterns (1) that are similar to the ancestral colour pattern and thus belong to the same mimicry ring (assemblage of co-mimetic species), or (2) that are different from the ancestral colour pattern and thus potentially belong to a distinct mimicry ring. Our analytical derivations show that (1) less conspicuous colour patterns are more likely to be selected within mimicry ring, and that (2) a mimicry switch lowering predation risk can promote the invasion of a more conspicuous colour pattern. We thus highlight that the variation in conspicuousness observed in the wild results not only from the characteristics of the colour pattern (detectability, salience) but also from the local composition of mimetic communities.