scholarly journals Predictive coding with neural transmission delays: a real-time temporal alignment hypothesis

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hinze Hogendoorn ◽  
Anthony N Burkitt

AbstractHierarchical predictive coding is an influential model of cortical organization, in which sequential hierarchical layers are connected by feedback connections carrying predictions, as well as feedforward connections carrying prediction errors. To date, however, predictive coding models have neglected to take into account that neural transmission itself takes time. For a time-varying stimulus, such as a moving object, this means that feedback predictions become misaligned with new sensory input. We present an extended model implementing both feed-forward and feedback extrapolation mechanisms that realigns feedback predictions to minimize prediction error. This realignment has the consequence that neural representations across all hierarchical stages become aligned in real-time. Using visual motion as an example, we show that the model is neurally plausible, that it is consistent with evidence of extrapolation mechanisms throughout the visual hierarchy, that it predicts several known motion-position illusions, and that it provides a solution to the temporal binding problem.

eNeuro ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. ENEURO.0412-18.2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hinze Hogendoorn ◽  
Anthony N. Burkitt

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noam Gordon ◽  
Roger Koenig-Robert ◽  
Naotsugu Tsuchiya ◽  
Jeroen van Boxtel ◽  
Jakob Hohwy

AbstractUnderstanding the integration of top-down and bottom-up signals is essential for the study of perception. Current accounts of predictive coding describe this in terms of interactions between state units encoding expectations or predictions, and error units encoding prediction error. However, direct neural evidence for such interactions has not been well established. To achieve this, we combined EEG methods that preferentially tag different levels in the visual hierarchy: Steady State Visual Evoked Potential (SSVEP at 10Hz, tracking bottom-up signals) and Semantic Wavelet-Induced Frequency Tagging (SWIFT at 1.3Hz tracking top-down signals). Importantly, we examined intermodulation components (IM, e.g., 11.3Hz) as a measure of integration between these signals. To examine the influence of expectation and predictions on the nature of such integration, we constructed 50-second movie streams and modulated expectation levels for upcoming stimuli by varying the proportion of images presented across trials. We found SWIFT, SSVEP and IM signals to differ in important ways. SSVEP was strongest over occipital electrodes and was not modified by certainty. Conversely, SWIFT signals were evident over temporo- and parieto-occipital areas and decreased as a function of increasing certainty levels. Finally, IMs were evident over occipital electrodes and increased as a function of certainty. These results link SSVEP, SWIFT and IM signals to sensory evidence, predictions, prediction errors and hypothesis-testing - the core elements of predictive coding. These findings provide neural evidence for the integration of top-down and bottom-up information in perception, opening new avenues to studying such interactions in perception while constraining neuronal models of predictive coding.SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENTThere is a growing understanding that both top-down and bottom-up signals underlie perception. But how do these signals interact? And how does this process depend on the signals’ probabilistic properties? ‘Predictive coding’ theories of perception describe this in terms how well top-down predictions fit with bottom-up sensory input. Identifying neural markers for such signal integration is therefore essential for the study of perception and predictive coding theories in particular. The novel Hierarchical Frequency Tagging method simultaneously tags top-down and bottom-up signals in EEG recordings, while obtaining a measure for the level of integration between these signals. Our results suggest that top-down predictions indeed integrate with bottom-up signals in a manner that is modulated by the predictability of the sensory input.


Author(s):  
Roberto Limongi ◽  
Angélica M. Silva

Abstract. The Sternberg short-term memory scanning task has been used to unveil cognitive operations involved in time perception. Participants produce time intervals during the task, and the researcher explores how task performance affects interval production – where time estimation error is the dependent variable of interest. The perspective of predictive behavior regards time estimation error as a temporal prediction error (PE), an independent variable that controls cognition, behavior, and learning. Based on this perspective, we investigated whether temporal PEs affect short-term memory scanning. Participants performed temporal predictions while they maintained information in memory. Model inference revealed that PEs affected memory scanning response time independently of the memory-set size effect. We discuss the results within the context of formal and mechanistic models of short-term memory scanning and predictive coding, a Bayes-based theory of brain function. We state the hypothesis that our finding could be associated with weak frontostriatal connections and weak striatal activity.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Heffner ◽  
Jae-Young Son ◽  
Oriel FeldmanHall

People make decisions based on deviations from expected outcomes, known as prediction errors. Past work has focused on reward prediction errors, largely ignoring violations of expected emotional experiences—emotion prediction errors. We leverage a new method to measure real-time fluctuations in emotion as people decide to punish or forgive others. Across four studies (N=1,016), we reveal that emotion and reward prediction errors have distinguishable contributions to choice, such that emotion prediction errors exert the strongest impact during decision-making. We additionally find that a choice to punish or forgive can be decoded in less than a second from an evolving emotional response, suggesting emotions swiftly influence choice. Finally, individuals reporting significant levels of depression exhibit selective impairments in using emotion—but not reward—prediction errors. Evidence for emotion prediction errors potently guiding social behaviors challenge standard decision-making models that have focused solely on reward.


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 17-26
Author(s):  
Mustafa Yagimli ◽  
Huseyin Kursat Tezer

Abstract The real-time voice command recognition system used for this study, aims to increase the situational awareness, therefore the safety of navigation, related especially to the close manoeuvres of warships, and the courses of commercial vessels in narrow waters. The developed system, the safety of navigation that has become especially important in precision manoeuvres, has become controllable with voice command recognition-based software. The system was observed to work with 90.6% accuracy using Mel Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCC) and Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) parameters and with 85.5% accuracy using Linear Predictive Coding (LPC) and DTW parameters.


Author(s):  
Emrah Gecili ◽  
Rui Huang ◽  
Jane C. Khoury ◽  
Eileen King ◽  
Mekibib Altaye ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: To identify phenotypes of type 1 diabetes based on glucose curves from continuous glucose-monitoring (CGM) using functional data (FD) analysis to account for longitudinal glucose patterns. We present a reliable prediction model that can accurately predict glycemic levels based on past data collected from the CGM sensor and real-time risk of hypo-/hyperglycemic for individuals with type 1 diabetes. Methods: A longitudinal cohort study of 443 type 1 diabetes patients with CGM data from a completed trial. The FD analysis approach, sparse functional principal components (FPCs) analysis was used to identify phenotypes of type 1 diabetes glycemic variation. We employed a nonstationary stochastic linear mixed-effects model (LME) that accommodates between-patient and within-patient heterogeneity to predict glycemic levels and real-time risk of hypo-/hyperglycemic by creating specific target functions for these excursions. Results: The majority of the variation (73%) in glucose trajectories was explained by the first two FPCs. Higher order variation in the CGM profiles occurred during weeknights, although variation was higher on weekends. The model has low prediction errors and yields accurate predictions for both glucose levels and real-time risk of glycemic excursions. Conclusions: By identifying these distinct longitudinal patterns as phenotypes, interventions can be targeted to optimize type 1 diabetes management for subgroups at the highest risk for compromised long-term outcomes such as cardiac disease or stroke. Further, the estimated change/variability in an individual’s glucose trajectory can be used to establish clinically meaningful and patient-specific thresholds that, when coupled with probabilistic predictive inference, provide a useful medical-monitoring tool.


2020 ◽  
Vol 53 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 679-690
Author(s):  
Nadia Sultan ◽  
Muhammad Najam ul Islam ◽  
Asif Mahmood Mughal

Postural stability and balance regulation is an intricate neurophysiological task which entails coordination of movements for successful execution. This task is proficiently regulated by central nervous system. The sensory feedback through muscles via proprioceptors has neural transmission delays which make the movement coordination and computations by central nervous system a complex problem to deal with. This paper addresses a nonlinear robust technique based on feedback linearization for postural stabilization of a single-link biomechanical model in the presence of physiological latencies. We included neural transmission delays in sensory feedback from proprioceptors. We developed [Formula: see text] optimal controller and integrated it with feedback linearization to calculate the joint torque for the biomechanical task. This modeling scheme is simulated in MATLAB/SimMechanics, and the simulation results for the nonlinear biomechanical model are developed. The joint torque compensates for the delays and settles the motion profiles within anatomical constraints. The position profile shows a bit higher overshoot (0.02, 0.03 rad) in case of delays; however, the settling time is same for the profiles with and without delay. The extensor torque is same for all profiles; however, the flexion torque increases for the delayed case. The simulation results show the applicability of this scheme for further analysis of the biomechanical task.


2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 3923-3936 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. Xie ◽  
S. Meng ◽  
S. Liang ◽  
Y. Yao

Abstract. The challenge of streamflow predictions at ungauged locations is primarily attributed to various uncertainties in hydrological modelling. Many studies have been devoted to addressing this issue. The similarity regionalization approach, a commonly used strategy, is usually limited by subjective selection of similarity measures. This paper presents an application of a partitioned update scheme based on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) to reduce the prediction uncertainties. This scheme performs real-time updating for states and parameters of a distributed hydrological model by assimilating gauged streamflow. The streamflow predictions are constrained by the physical rainfall-runoff processes defined in the distributed hydrological model and by the correlation information transferred from gauged to ungauged basins. This scheme is successfully demonstrated in a nested basin with real-world hydrological data where the subbasins have immediate upstream and downstream neighbours. The results suggest that the assimilated observed data from downstream neighbours have more important roles in reducing the streamflow prediction errors at ungauged locations. The real-time updated model parameters remain stable with reasonable spreads after short-period assimilation, while their estimation trajectories have slow variations, which may be attributable to climate and land surface changes. Although this real-time updating scheme is intended for streamflow predictions in nested basins, it can be a valuable tool in separate basins to improve hydrological predictions by assimilating multi-source data sets, including ground-based and remote-sensing observations.


2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 50-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jérémy Patrix ◽  
Abdel-Illah Mouaddib ◽  
Sylvain Gatepaille

In case of emergency and evacuation, it is often impossible to interpret manually the complex behaviour of a crowd, essentially due to the lack of staff and time needed to understand a situation. In the literature, a monitored system using data fusion methods makes it possible to perform automatic situation awareness. Using Swarm Intelligence domain, the authors propose an approach based on multi-agent system to simulate and detect primitive collective behaviours emerging from a crowd panic. It enables anticipating collective behaviours in real-time as well as their anomalies according to specific scenarios. Detection is the possibility to learn, recognize and anticipate different behaviours by a probabilistic model. The collective behaviour detection of a crowd panic in real-time is based on a learning method on an extended model of Hidden Markov Model. This paper presents experiments of simulation and detection using an implementation of a virtual environment.


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