scholarly journals Evaluation of the causal effects of blood lipid levels on gout with summary level GWAS data: two-sample Mendelian randomization and mediation analysis

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinghao Yu ◽  
Haimiao Chen ◽  
Shuiping Huang ◽  
Ping Zeng

AbstractObjectiveMany observational studies have identified that gout patients are often comorbid with dyslipidemia, which is typically characterized by a decrease in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) and an increase in triglycerides (TG). However, the relationship between dyslipidemia and gout is still unclear.MethodsWe first performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to evaluate the causal effect of four lipid traits on gout and serum urate based on summary association statistics available from large scale genome-wide association studies (up to ∼100,000 for lipid, 69,374 for gout and 110,347 for serum urate). We adopted multivariable Mendelian randomization to estimate the causal effect independently. We also assessed the mediated effect by serum urate between lipids and gout with a mediation analysis. The MR results were validated with extensive sensitive analyses.ResultsGenetically lower HDL was positively associated with the risk of gout and serum urate concentration. Each standard deviation (SD) (∼12.26 mg/dL) increase was genetically associated with an odds ratio of gout of 0.75 (95% CI 0.62 ∼ 0.91, p = 3.31E-3) and with a 0.09 mg/dL (95% CI: -0.12 ∼ -0.05, p = 7.00E-04) decrease in serum urate concentration. Genetically higher TG was positively associated with the serum urate concentration. Each SD (∼112.33 mg/dL) increase was genetically associated with a 0.10 mg/dL (95% CI: 0.06 ∼ 0.14, p = 9.87E-05) increase in serum urate concentration. Those results were robust against various sensitive analyses. In addition, the multivariable Mendelian randomization confirmed the independent effect of HDL and TG on the gout/serum urate after adjustment for the other lipids. Finally, the mediation analysis showed that both HDL and TG could indirectly affect gout morbidity via the pathway of serum urate. The mediation effect accounted for about 13.0% or 28.0% of the total effect of HDL and TG, respectively.ConclusionOur study confirmed the causal associations between HDL/TG and gout/serum urate. Furthermore, the effect of HDL or TG on gout could also be mediated by serum urate.Key MessagesEpidemiological studies have identified an accompanying association between lipid and gout. However, whether the association is causal is unclear.Mendelian randomization with genetic variants as instrumental variables is a useful tool facilitate the validation of a causal relationship for modifiable risk factors.The direct and indirect effects of lipids on gout, controlling for the serum urate concentration, can be estimated by a mediation analysis with serum urate serving as a mediator.We confirmed that elevated HDL levels can directly and indirectly lead to the decreased risk of gout, whereas elevation of TG levels can directly and indirectly elevate the risk of gout.

2022 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong-Bo Wang ◽  
Si-Yu Yan ◽  
Xu-Hui Li ◽  
Qiao Huang ◽  
Li-Sha Luo ◽  
...  

Background: Previous observational studies have reported a bidirectional association between periodontitis and type 2 diabetes, but the causality of these relationships remains unestablished. We clarified the bidirectional causal association through two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR).Methods: We obtained summary-level data for periodontitis and type 2 diabetes from several published large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of individuals of European ancestry. For the casual effect of periodontitis on type 2 diabetes, we used five independent single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) specific to periodontitis from three GWAS. The summary statistics for the associations of exposure-related SNPs with type 2 diabetes were drawn from the GWAS in the Diabetes Genetics Replication and Meta-analysis (DIAGRAM) consortium and the FinnGen consortium R5 release, respectively. For the reversed causal inference, 132 and 49 SNPs associated with type 2 diabetes from the DIAGRAM consortium and the FinnGen consortium R5 release were included, and the summary-level statistics were obtained from the Gene-Lifestyle Interactions in Dental Endpoints consortium. Multiple approaches of MR were carried out.Results: Periodontitis was not causally related with the risk of type 2 diabetes (all p > 0.05). No causal effect of type 2 diabetes on periodontitis was found (all p > 0.05). Estimates were consistent across multiple MR analyses.Conclusion: This study based on genetic data does not support a bidirectional causal association between periodontitis and type 2 diabetes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoqing Chen ◽  
Qiuling Wang ◽  
Ranran Xue ◽  
Xia Liu ◽  
Hao Yu

Background: Observational studies that have supported the role of the leptin level in schizophrenia (SCZ) risk are conflicting. Therefore, we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate whether the circulating leptin and soluble plasma leptin receptor (sOB-R) levels play a causal role in SCZ risk.Methods: We first selected five independent single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with the circulating leptin level and three independent SNPs associated with the sOB-R level from two genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of European individuals. Then, we extracted their associations with SCZ using a large-scale GWAS that consisted of 40,675 patients with SCZ and 64,643 controls of European ancestry. We performed an MR analysis using the inverse variance-weighted (IVW) method to examine the causal effect of leptin on SCZ risk. Moreover, we performed sensitivity analyses to verify our MR results using the weighted median and MR-Egger methods.Results: According to the IVW method, genetically predicted circulating leptin levels were not associated with SCZ risk (OR = 1.98, for per 1-SD unit increase in leptin level; 95% CI, 0.87–4.53; p = 0.10). In addition, the sOB-R level showed no causal effect on the SCZ risk using IVW (OR = 0.98 for per 1-SD unit increase in sOB-R level; 95% CI, 0.97–1.00; p = 0.06). Our sensitivity analysis results confirmed our MR findings.Conclusions: By estimating the causal effect of leptin on SCZ risk using the MR methods, we identified no effect of genetically predicted circulating leptin or the sOB-R level on SCZ. As such, our study suggests that leptin might not be a risk factor for SCZ.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanzhu Chen ◽  
Shuai Mi ◽  
Jiahao Zhu ◽  
Weidong Jin ◽  
Yasong Li ◽  
...  

Background: Accumulating evidence from observational studies suggested that circulating adiponectin levels are associated with the risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but the causality remains unknown. We aimed to assess the causal relationship of adiponectin with RA risk.Methods: Based on summary statistics from large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS), we quantified the genetic correlation between adiponectin and RA. Then bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to assess the causal relationship. Twenty single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with adiponectin were selected as instrumental variables from a recent GWAS (n = 67,739). We applied theses SNPs to a large-scale GWAS for RA (14,361 cases and 43,923 controls) with replication using RA data from the FinnGen consortium (6,236 cases and 147,221 controls) and the UK Biobank (5,201 cases and 457,732 controls). The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) and multiple pleiotropy-robust methods were used for two-sample MR analyses.Results: Our analyses showed no significant genetic correlation between circulating adiponectin levels and RA [rG = 0.127, 95% confidence interval (CI): –0.012 to 0.266, P = 0.074]. In MR analyses, genetically predicted adiponectin levels were not significantly associated with the RA risk (odds ratio: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.88–1.09, P = 0.669). In the reverse direction analysis, there is little evidence supporting an association of genetic susceptibility to RA with adiponectin (β: 0.007, 95% CI: –0.003 to 0.018, P = 0.177). Replication analyses and sensitivity analyses using different models yielded consistent results.Conclusions: Our findings provided no evidence to support the causal effect of adiponectin levels on RA risk and of RA on circulating adiponectin levels.


Author(s):  
Fernando Pires Hartwig ◽  
Kate Tilling ◽  
George Davey Smith ◽  
Deborah A Lawlor ◽  
Maria Carolina Borges

Abstract Background Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) allows the use of freely accessible summary association results from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to estimate causal effects of modifiable exposures on outcomes. Some GWAS adjust for heritable covariables in an attempt to estimate direct effects of genetic variants on the trait of interest. One, both or neither of the exposure GWAS and outcome GWAS may have been adjusted for covariables. Methods We performed a simulation study comprising different scenarios that could motivate covariable adjustment in a GWAS and analysed real data to assess the influence of using covariable-adjusted summary association results in two-sample MR. Results In the absence of residual confounding between exposure and covariable, between exposure and outcome, and between covariable and outcome, using covariable-adjusted summary associations for two-sample MR eliminated bias due to horizontal pleiotropy. However, covariable adjustment led to bias in the presence of residual confounding (especially between the covariable and the outcome), even in the absence of horizontal pleiotropy (when the genetic variants would be valid instruments without covariable adjustment). In an analysis using real data from the Genetic Investigation of ANthropometric Traits (GIANT) consortium and UK Biobank, the causal effect estimate of waist circumference on blood pressure changed direction upon adjustment of waist circumference for body mass index. Conclusions Our findings indicate that using covariable-adjusted summary associations in MR should generally be avoided. When that is not possible, careful consideration of the causal relationships underlying the data (including potentially unmeasured confounders) is required to direct sensitivity analyses and interpret results with appropriate caution.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Haworth ◽  
Pik Fang Kho ◽  
Pernilla Lif Holgerson ◽  
Liang-Dar Hwang ◽  
Nicholas J. Timpson ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundHypothesis-free Mendelian randomization studies provide a way to assess the causal relevance of a trait across the human phenome but can be limited by statistical power or complicated by horizontal pleiotropy. The recently described latent causal variable (LCV) approach provides an alternative method for causal inference which might be useful in hypothesis-free experiments.MethodsWe developed an automated pipeline for phenome-wide tests using the LCV approach including steps to estimate partial genetic causality, filter to a meaningful set of estimates, apply correction for multiple testing and then present the findings in a graphical summary termed a causal architecture plot. We apply this process to body mass index and lipid traits as exemplars of traits where there is strong prior expectation for causal effects and dental caries and periodontitis as exemplars of traits where there is a need for causal inference.ResultsThe results for lipids and BMI suggest that these traits are best viewed as creating consequences on a multitude of traits and conditions, thus providing additional evidence that supports viewing these traits as targets for interventions to improve health. On the other hand, caries and periodontitis are best viewed as a downstream consequence of other traits and diseases rather than a cause of ill health.ConclusionsThe automated process is available as part of the MASSIVE pipeline from the Complex-Traits Genetics Virtual Lab (https://vl.genoma.io) and results are available in (https://view.genoma.io). We propose causal architecture plots based on phenome-wide partial genetic causality estimates as a way visualizing the overall causal map of the human phenome.Key messagesThe latent causal variable approach uses summary statistics from genome-wide association studies to estimate a parameter termed genetic causality proportion.Systematic estimation of genetic causality proportion for many pairs of traits provides an alternative method for phenome-wide causal inference with some theoretical and practical advantages compared to phenome-wide Mendelian randomization.Using this approach, we confirm that lipid traits are an upstream risk factor for other traits and diseases, and we identify that dental diseases are predominantly a downstream consequence of other traits rather than a cause of poor systemic health.The method assumes no bidirectional causality and no confounding by environmental correlates of genotypes, so care is needed when these assumptions are not met.We developed an automated and accessible pipeline for estimating phenome-wide causal relationships and generating interactive visual summaries.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuquan Wang ◽  
Tingting Li ◽  
Liwan Fu ◽  
Siqian Yang ◽  
Yue-Qing Hu

Mendelian randomization makes use of genetic variants as instrumental variables to eliminate the influence induced by unknown confounders on causal estimation in epidemiology studies. However, with the soaring genetic variants identified in genome-wide association studies, the pleiotropy, and linkage disequilibrium in genetic variants are unavoidable and may produce severe bias in causal inference. In this study, by modeling the pleiotropic effect as a normally distributed random effect, we propose a novel mixed-effects regression model-based method PLDMR, pleiotropy and linkage disequilibrium adaptive Mendelian randomization, which takes linkage disequilibrium into account and also corrects for the pleiotropic effect in causal effect estimation and statistical inference. We conduct voluminous simulation studies to evaluate the performance of the proposed and existing methods. Simulation results illustrate the validity and advantage of the novel method, especially in the case of linkage disequilibrium and directional pleiotropic effects, compared with other methods. In addition, by applying this novel method to the data on Atherosclerosis Risk in Communications Study, we conclude that body mass index has a significant causal effect on and thus might be a potential risk factor of systolic blood pressure. The novel method is implemented in R and the corresponding R code is provided for free download.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (15) ◽  
pp. 4374-4376
Author(s):  
Ninon Mounier ◽  
Zoltán Kutalik

Abstract Summary Increasing sample size is not the only strategy to improve discovery in Genome Wide Association Studies (GWASs) and we propose here an approach that leverages published studies of related traits to improve inference. Our Bayesian GWAS method derives informative prior effects by leveraging GWASs of related risk factors and their causal effect estimates on the focal trait using multivariable Mendelian randomization. These prior effects are combined with the observed effects to yield Bayes Factors, posterior and direct effects. The approach not only increases power, but also has the potential to dissect direct and indirect biological mechanisms. Availability and implementation bGWAS package is freely available under a GPL-2 License, and can be accessed, alongside with user guides and tutorials, from https://github.com/n-mounier/bGWAS. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 485-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Subhi Arafat ◽  
Camelia C. Minică

The Barker hypothesis states that low birth weight (BW) is associated with higher risk of adult onset diseases, including mental disorders like schizophrenia, major depressive disorder (MDD), and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). The main criticism of this hypothesis is that evidence for it comes from observational studies. Specifically, observational evidence does not suffice for inferring causality, because the associations might reflect the effects of confounders. Mendelian randomization (MR) — a novel method that tests causality on the basis of genetic data — creates the unprecedented opportunity to probe the causality in the association between BW and mental disorders in observation studies. We used MR and summary statistics from recent large genome-wide association studies to test whether the association between BW and MDD, schizophrenia and ADHD is causal. We employed the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method in conjunction with several other approaches that are robust to possible assumption violations. MR-Egger was used to rule out horizontal pleiotropy. IVW showed that the association between BW and MDD, schizophrenia and ADHD is not causal (all p > .05). The results of all the other MR methods were similar and highly consistent. MR-Egger provided no evidence for pleiotropic effects biasing the estimates of the effects of BW on MDD (intercept = -0.004, SE = 0.005, p = .372), schizophrenia (intercept = 0.003, SE = 0.01, p = .769), or ADHD (intercept = 0.009, SE = 0.01, p = .357). Based on the current evidence, we refute the Barker hypothesis concerning the fetal origins of adult mental disorders. The discrepancy between our results and the results from observational studies may be explained by the effects of confounders in the observational studies, or by the existence of a small causal effect not detected in our study due to weak instruments. Our power analyses suggested that the upper bound for a potential causal effect of BW on mental disorders would likely not exceed an odds ratio of 1.2.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingshu Wang ◽  
Qingyuan Zhao ◽  
Jack Bowden ◽  
Gilbran Hemani ◽  
George Davey Smith ◽  
...  

Over a decade of genome-wide association studies have led to the finding that significant genetic associations tend to spread across the genome for complex traits. The extreme polygenicity where "all genes affect every complex trait" complicates Mendelian Randomization studies, where natural genetic variations are used as instruments to infer the causal effect of heritable risk factors. We reexamine the assumptions of existing Mendelian Randomization methods and show how they need to be clarified to allow for pervasive horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneous effect sizes. We propose a comprehensive framework GRAPPLE (Genome-wide mR Analysis under Pervasive PLEiotropy) to analyze the causal effect of target risk factors with heterogeneous genetic instruments and identify possible pleiotropic patterns from data. By using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies, GRAPPLE can efficiently use both strong and weak genetic instruments, detect the existence of multiple pleiotropic pathways, adjust for confounding risk factors, and determine the causal direction. With GRAPPLE, we analyze the effect of blood lipids, body mass index, and systolic blood pressure on 25 disease outcomes, gaining new information on their causal relationships and the potential pleiotropic pathways.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (12) ◽  
pp. e0261020
Author(s):  
Masahiro Yoshikawa ◽  
Kensuke Asaba ◽  
Tomohiro Nakayama

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation are both major burdens on the health care system worldwide. Several observational studies have reported clinical associations between CKD and atrial fibrillation; however, causal relationships between these conditions remain to be elucidated due to possible bias by confounders and reverse causations. Here, we conducted bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses using publicly available summary statistics of genome-wide association studies (the CKDGen consortium and the UK Biobank) to investigate causal associations between CKD and atrial fibrillation/flutter in the European population. Our study suggested a causal effect of the risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter on the decrease in serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and revealed a causal effect of the risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter on the risk of CKD (odds ratio, 9.39 per doubling odds ratio of atrial fibrillation/flutter; 95% coefficient interval, 2.39–37.0; P = 0.001), while the causal effect of the decrease in eGFR on the risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter was unlikely. However, careful interpretation and further studies are warranted, as the underlying mechanisms remain unknown. Further, our sample size was relatively small and selection bias was possible.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document